Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
8 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. Jake

    If she ran she would have to do interviews with reporters other than Fox. It won't happen. She can hit softballs from Greta Van Susteren, but she would never survive a real reporter.

    September 21, 2011 05:36 pm at 5:36 pm |
  2. Terri

    I think Founders 1791 is none other than Shaunny Hannity – after all he has such a thing for her!

    September 21, 2011 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  3. Terri

    Just look at the faces of those dweebs next to her – those are her fans – men on the verge of their mid-life crises.........pitiful.

    September 21, 2011 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  4. Carlos

    CNN keeps lying, RON PAUL is leading almost all the polls, STOP LYING AND SAY THE TRUTH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 21, 2011 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  5. Eardley Ham Woodbury, MN

    Nice photo–Queen Killamoose and a bunch of rack-gawkers.

    September 21, 2011 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  6. patricia

    You have got to be kidding?! She would never win! She ruined john mccain's chance at being the president! She would not beat obama, she is too ignorant on many subjects.

    September 21, 2011 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
  7. frank

    Still dying to see how she can handle a corndog.She has mastered big ball players.Let`s be patient.Be nice to her.Please.

    September 21, 2011 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  8. trashcup

    Run Sarah Run. I hope she does then she can quit in the middle of her term and go give $100,000 speeches. We certainly don't want TODD in the White House, nor her kids constantly being paraded in front of us. Americans aren't stupid, they will NEVER vote for her for president. She doesn't have the cash either. You'd think the republicans could come up with some decent candidates instead of the group of clowns they have right now. NEVER will I vote for Palin. NEVER

    September 21, 2011 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  9. David B.

    Hypothetical Showdown. Was that a showdown at the OK Corral because that's the only place you will somebody who would vote for palin.

    September 21, 2011 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  10. me

    Outside of the media, no one cares much about Palin. I honestly think that the media has hyped her for the sake of sensationalism.

    September 21, 2011 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  11. Doug504

    I'm a liberal. I don't particularly like Palin. But I'm not some rabid liberal whacko frothing at the mouth worrying about Palin's plans.

    If she wants to run, she will run. If she doesn't, she doesn't. Personally I think she likes the PR and money more than the campaign but there are plenty of other folks who do the same thing. Some I like; some I don't; but I don't get excited for or against any of them.

    The fact is that at this point in the race the vast majority of people have only a vague idea of who they will vote for. About a year from now (Sept 2012) the poles will start to reflect what people actually think.

    September 21, 2011 06:03 pm at 6:03 pm |
  12. Ahuizotl

    Palin is harkening back to the Beatles:
    "Now give me mooooney. That's what I want."

    September 21, 2011 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  13. T'sah from Virginia

    I am bewildered – the latest poll has Palin up against Obama and she only trails by 2 or 3 points??????????????? What? I want to know who in the hell are they POLLING??? Jeez!

    September 21, 2011 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  14. carrie

    This multi- milliaire wanna be , will not run, it would take too much work , she would have to give up all the $$$$$ coming in from the radical right and fron the false news network. Not happining!

    September 21, 2011 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  15. smithie12

    palin-the national nightmare that we ca't wake up from !!! thanks for nothing john !!!

    September 21, 2011 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  16. Brad5013

    It's official . . . 49 percent of those polled are blithering idiots.

    September 21, 2011 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  17. KEYLARGO1

    I cannot believe that anyone just suddenly became a "Palin supporter", if she gets any new support its because some have forgotten what a bimbo she is.

    September 21, 2011 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  18. thomas

    Do you think the men surrounding Sarah Palin in this photo care what her political beliefs are ?

    Palin looks like Carol Dotta , missing the class

    September 21, 2011 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  19. Steve

    woodofpine: By far the funniest and most accurate post of the day. I hope you won't mind if I use it. LOL.

    September 21, 2011 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  20. paul

    She will not run because if she does it will most likely be a loss for her. It is much easier to stand on the sidelines and throw bombs. She is much better at that then sustance. Enough said.

    September 21, 2011 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  21. thomas

    @doug

    How many Republicans dos it take to change a lightbulb ?

    Only one , but the Republican must want to change it !

    Bachmann said her "Light Bulb Freedom of Choice Act" is needed because "government has no business telling an individual how to save energy !

    September 21, 2011 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  22. bailoutsos

    Obama, no. Palin, no way.

    September 21, 2011 06:35 pm at 6:35 pm |
  23. LouAz

    HaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHa !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    That's a good one CNN. But I thought we agreed that any thing about Snooki Palin would only appear in the ENTERTAINMENT SECTION !

    September 21, 2011 06:38 pm at 6:38 pm |
  24. Keeping it Real

    No surprise here. Radical left wing fools have fallen all over themselves to find ways to attack Palin. In doing so, have made her more popular as a victim of relentless mindless attacks from the liberal wackos. All one has to do is visit these boards when they post a story about Palin to know how liberals live their lives full of hate and fear.

    September 21, 2011 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  25. Tired of the nonsense

    But there are no gains in her I.Q. level, is there? It's still in the single digits.

    September 21, 2011 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
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