Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
8 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. wakiash

    A moron surrounded by more morons.

    September 21, 2011 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  2. james Miller

    As long as anyone will listen, she`ll continue to stoke her ego and be a "cash cow" for herself and family.

    September 21, 2011 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  3. Tam

    She hasn't declared yet, so how can she be making gains? Maybe in the land of Jabberwocky, where she is fluent in the local dialect, maybe. But to be a candidate for President requires a knowledge of English (grammatical, full sentences, coherent), intelligence, education, and finesse. Case closed.

    September 21, 2011 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  4. Tim

    This article seems pretty odd. In any other poll, in any political conversation, in any opinion blog or thread, this woman is not well thought of. There always seem to be a few people that think she actually registers a coherent thought, but these percentages always seems very low.

    September 21, 2011 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  5. j

    ----- and on goes the romance between her and the cameras.

    September 21, 2011 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  6. NadineLynn

    I don't understand why she is even included in the polls, not being a declared candidate.

    September 21, 2011 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  7. Flint Rock

    yawn

    September 21, 2011 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  8. RINO Bil

    All the GOP needs to do is offer Palin enough money and she won't run. For those too dense to figure things out on their own, this has been her plan all along ... to get lots of money for not doing something. This is kind of like Republican-Tea Party welfare.

    September 21, 2011 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  9. Joe

    Palin will not run for two reasons. First, if she ran she would actually have to debate and answer grown-up questions, thereby exposing what a complete moron she really is. Second, she is making way too much money now. The presidency only pays $400,000 per year. That's probably one tenth what she makes now on speeches and reality shows and Fox commentary.

    September 21, 2011 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  10. birg

    I hope she does run I need a good laugh watching her try to say a sentence that makes sense in the debates!!!

    September 21, 2011 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  11. John

    Another made up story..but a good one. Anything to get her to run and mess up an already terrible field of GOP candidates. Please run Srah, please!!! Gosh I wish she would announce! I hope and pray we have a Perry/Bacuhman or a Perry/ Palin ticket so we can throughly trounce the GOP! Oh and for all you Obama haters out there...he has the ace of spades up his sleeve. Hopefully he will not have to use it to win but he does have it. Obama/Clinton ticket wins the race hands down! ......and Hill becomes the first female Prez in 16!

    September 21, 2011 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  12. David

    The GOP has officially lost what little credibility they had left...

    September 21, 2011 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  13. edpeters

    Sarah should run, it's obvious that she is better qualified (not to mention a lot brighter) than the others in the GOP field..

    September 21, 2011 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  14. SOUTHERN HOTTIE

    Ho hum.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012

    September 21, 2011 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  15. Me

    How can people opt to select someone that isn't even in the running? Sure, tea partiers, select Sarah.

    September 21, 2011 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  16. Sequoia

    Run Sarah Run! It would be hilarious to watch this idiot lose again.

    September 21, 2011 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  17. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Sarah bores me.

    September 21, 2011 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  18. Walked 5 miles to work in the snow... and liked it.

    Wow, I must say you have all been pretty mellow with your comments on S.P. so far today, quite surprising and quite refreshing for a change.

    September 21, 2011 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  19. Al-NY,NY

    please run Simple Sarah. You join a crew of unelectable fanatics who will get trounced in the general election

    September 21, 2011 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  20. EffortPA

    72% of Republicans don't want her to run, but about 90% of Democrats do. Don't worry about the numbers Sarah, I know they are hard to understand (Good thing you don't need to be a math genius to be President of the USA). The only thing you need to know is that there are millions of patriot Americans that do want you to run. Run Sarah, run!

    September 21, 2011 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  21. Marie MD

    The dumb down of this country continues to amaze me . We are no longer any type of super power when uneducated faux news reporters like this woman continue to pretend they are anything or anybody thans to the even dumber MSM!! What the heck is the the mcckatchy-marist poll? Did these people actually dig in the underworld planet that this imbecile came from and actually found more stupid creatures to poll?
    The only unconventional anything about this race is the list of teatards telling us they can run the country because "their god" told them to do so! GAWD!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    September 21, 2011 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  22. Mr. Moderate

    "unconventional election process"? Is that another one of her veiled threats?

    September 21, 2011 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  23. Garry

    ROTFLMAO–WHAT a joke..Palin couldn't even finish her run as Governor....and she is supposedly "gaining" ground...just goes to show you..Tea Partiers are NUTS if they want her...but then again, we KNEW that already!!

    September 21, 2011 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  24. Rudy NYC

    @Founders1791:
    Snap out of it. You are living in the past with those comments. THIS year the deadline to be on ballots in almost every state is Oct. 1. Even if she could get the thousands of signatures in *every* state needed to file, she *still* works for FOX. She cannot simply quit today and run tomorrow because the salary she draws meets the definition of an over the limit campaign contribution.

    If you do not like those facts, how about this fact. She makes far more easy money by not running. She's too soft in the head to do the tough jobs.

    September 21, 2011 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  25. Founders1791

    Me
    How can people opt to select someone that isn't even in the running? Sure, tea partiers, select Sarah.
    ---------–

    You failed to "read" the article or the poll.....INDEPENDENTS ARE SWITCHING TO SARAH PALIN....and that tells the whole story.

    All the other Candidates, and Obama, would "covet" those voters and Sarah Palin is getting them despite near complete Media hate and avarice.

    Be afraid Socialists Liberal Democrats......be very afraid of the next President Sarah Palin!

    September 21, 2011 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
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