Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
8 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. Denise

    "Neither side can "buy" her and that earns my vote!" Au contrare....the Queen of Crosshairs and her page have been bought and those of you that think they haven't are woefully uneducated.

    September 21, 2011 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  2. Joshua Ludd

    Too bad she isn't running. I mean.. its too bad for those who support her and for the media that reports on her sneezing or eating breakfast. For the rest of us its nothing short of a relief that she won't run.

    September 21, 2011 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  3. snowdogg

    This woman is her own HOT AIR BALLOON

    September 21, 2011 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  4. Out of Texas

    After looking at the GOP presidential candidates, President Obama might as well keep the keys to the White House on his key chain.

    September 21, 2011 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  5. How to lie with statistics / polls

    I agree, some very silly blurb about some tiny poll. It looks at independents. Those who lean toward GOP and the GOP itself don't want her. That decides it right there. Independents leaning toward Obama won't support her. And as a stand-alone candidate Palin has only the extreme teaparty to fall back on. Can you imagine that shreaking Palin in a head 2 head discussion with Obama??? She'd drown herself in front of the national media.

    September 21, 2011 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  6. Reggie from LA

    Prescription for Palin:
    1) Milk the Fox thing for all it's worth.
    2) Show up at functions and continue to milk rubes for all they are worth, charging 10s and 100s of thousands.
    3) Coninue to convince folks that you have an agenda. Yeah right. You're a woman is not an agenda.
    4) Show up in major metros and convince diverse populations that you are their queen.
    5) Kick the current bunch of hopefuls to the curb. (Are you gathering up ammo (ooops wrong word for Palin) dirt on them?)
    Puh-lease. Who responded to this poll? Her appeal must really be doing a number on your libidos.

    September 21, 2011 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  7. Barking Alien

    The contrarian in chief has no intention of running or a chance of winning nomination. If she is gaining votes then that shows the GOP ship is rudderless.

    September 21, 2011 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  8. SunnYD

    and I thought electing GWB twice said alot about our country...can you imagine what it would say about this country if we put her in office as President? I'm guessing middle aged longtime married independant voters are the ones who tell a phone poll they prefer her over Obama. I mean is anyone suprised a guy would respond with the thoughts from the head down below? I mean we all know this isn't a sensible or intelligence based choice..right?

    September 21, 2011 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  9. David

    CNN has begun to insult us with thier clandestine attck on Obama presidency all be it terorizing the president with all kinds of polls, distracting our president from focusing on the affairs of the nation. With hand american voters dealt to the president with overzealous voting for an opposition that cause the problem in the fisrt place. let CNN stop highlighting criticisms of the president without correspondinly focussing on this candidates that have nothing to offer american. Obama said he will change Washington yes he is changing it by bringing civilty to the exulted position, willing to compromise even when it is detrimental. Will CNN ask this wanna be how they will work with a divded capitol hill. Obama is already working with them and he has shown that American is far more important than partisan gain

    September 21, 2011 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  10. Jamie from Riverside

    I wish she would run. Nobody can beat Obama anyways but if she ran (or was even the nominee) he wouldn't even have to campaign.

    September 21, 2011 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  11. Keith in NJ

    Run Pailin/Perry or Perry/Palin. It does not matter. They are both dumber than a bag of hammers and Obama will wipe the floor with either one. Go ahead Perry talk aabout repealing social security. Does 'You need the state of Florida to win" mean anything?

    September 21, 2011 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  12. 4F

    Palin making gains on Obama. Who couldn't gain on our unpopular, weak, apologizing president?

    September 21, 2011 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  13. How to lie with statistics / polls

    @Flounders1971 haha... There you go: "Be afraid Socialists Liberal Democrats......be very afraid of the next President Sarah Palin"
    Couldn't have said it better: Palin elected and her ilk would turn this country into some brainless dictatorship where threats and terror reign towards people who disagree. A fine example of patriotism and democracy you describe, Flounder. Nazis would have been proud of you.

    September 21, 2011 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  14. David

    GTH Palin!!! You cannot win and you already know it.

    September 21, 2011 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  15. Tina

    One day (snickers), Palin will look back on all this as an older woman with an inkling more of common sense – you'd think (snickers), and realize what she's done to herself and her family (snickers) in the public eye, and yet nobody in her inner circle (snickers) ever took her over to the side and told her out of concern (snickers) what a fo0l she grew into. She became an international laughing stock of a stooge at her own hands....what a legacy to have aspired to....

    September 21, 2011 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  16. Let's get rational now

    This latest news just makes me even more depressed about the American voter. I wish there were a candidate out there, republican or democrat, that had both leadership ability and the ability to stand up to the radical conservative/liberal/tea party etc. nuts in both parties. I would vote for that person in a second. As an independent voter I am dreading the 2012 election. What a miserable bunch of choices.

    September 21, 2011 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  17. Anonymous

    Palin are you kidding me? She is milking this for all she is worth. Maybe she feels like a rock star or something. She sure acts like one. Shows she can make money, but as for her being the next leader of our Country, forgetaboutit!

    September 21, 2011 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  18. Wayne

    Hee hee hee..HILARIOUS..Palin for President. Americans are so stupid.LOL..this is too funny..Americans consider candidates that are idiots..LOL...US will no longer be a super power and its because the voters are so dumb they will vote for their own demise. LOL..I cant stop giggling. ...

    September 21, 2011 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  19. MTATL67

    I am an Independent voter and I would never, ever vote for someone who has taken our political process of selecting a government and turned it into some variety show so she can make money. Is this what George Washington crossed the Delaware for, is this why Betsy Ross sewed the American flag or the Founding Fathers say "we pledge our lives our fortunes and our sacred honor". A quote I am sure Blamin Palin would not even know. I think they would be disgusted if they saw what she has turned this into. I know I am.

    September 21, 2011 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  20. S. Dogood

    Palin is rising in the polls for 2 reasons. First, she is out of the limelight so people have temporarily forgotten her total ignorance. Second, Rick Perry is so crazy Independant voters are starting to tell themselves, "she may be stupid but at least she's not insane." What a duo to choose from, a female Forrest Gump or an insane William Jennings Bryan!!

    September 21, 2011 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  21. Sniffit

    Nice picture. Is she showing us the thumb she uses to thumb her nose at common sense, facts, evidence and historical record?

    September 21, 2011 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  22. NN

    Two stories – Alarming drop in SAT scores and Palin trends higher against Obama . Links anyone!!

    September 21, 2011 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  23. Anonymous

    She is not going to run. That would mean the gravy train was over. She has made herselg a very rich woman by basically doing nothing. This country is not readdy for "H

    September 21, 2011 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  24. Sci1

    Here's my question to all who think she would be a good president...if she can't even decide if she want's to run for president and she quit her job in Alaska, then why do you think she will be a decisive leader that we can count on? Really people, she keeps you hanging on because it feeds her ego and keeps her in the news. It's all about her...not her concerns for you.

    September 21, 2011 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  25. Robert Cloosdoosch

    She is not going to run. That would mean that the gravy train is over. She has managed to make herself a very rich woman by basically doing nothing, and in spite of the fact that she is an idiot. This country can do without "Hee Haw" in the White House.

    September 21, 2011 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
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