Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
8 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    I don't think that she will run. People have already noted here that a run would result in a salary that is likely lower than what she is making now. I don't think that she likes all the scrutiny of her record which there needs to be more. Founder 1791 doesn't state where the information that is stated is coming from. We don't know which things she had the support from both sides of the isle for and what she lost it. As for the consevative values, her daughter didn't seem to listen, why should we?

    September 21, 2011 12:33 pm at 12:33 pm |
  2. ggwindsor

    she reminds of a aging movie star trying to get the right part withbig pay cheque

    September 21, 2011 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm |
  3. GeorgeBos95

    Palin is a tease.

    But, I want her to run for one reason...so she'll finally fall flat on her face and not be able to blame McCain or anyone else.

    Then, hopefully, she'll disappear into the woodwork.

    September 21, 2011 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  4. Smart move by Palin

    For the frist time I think this women maybe smart...
    Ok so now that everybody has stopped lughing, think about it guys.
    If she said she is running now than she would have to go on TV, do interviews and do debates and we all know how that will turn out for her...By not saying anything she can campain (bus tour) and not interview or debate those gottca questions and wait to the last possible mintue to declare she is running. All getts all the benfits of the bus tour/campain without opening her mount and shooting her self in the foot.

    September 21, 2011 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  5. Kweg Yung

    Evidently corporate America thrives on socialism. Why else would they move to communist China, where socialized health care and socialized education are the norm? Actions speak louder than words, louder than the nonsense emitted from the mouths of the G.O.P.

    September 21, 2011 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  6. Kweg Yung

    Stop calling it corporate America! Former American corporations are all in China now and pay zero tax in the U.S. But they do pay tax in China- supporting the communist government. Republicans don't get it, their representatives sold us (U.S.) out.

    September 21, 2011 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  7. Kweg Yung

    Corporate America needed extra cash to expand operations into China. That's why Bush's “Tax cuts for the rich” was initiated. Republican politicians lobby for the rich and are correct in saying 'it is the rich who create jobs'. But the the only place the rich invest is in communist China.

    September 21, 2011 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  8. Kweg Yung

    Bush's “Tax cuts for the rich” provided the revenue needed for corporate America's offshore expansion. He put us into debt while lining the pockets of his corporate buddies- giving them a head start offshore. The Republican party sold us (U.S.) out!

    September 21, 2011 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  9. Kweg Yung

    Socialized health care and socialized education are the norm in communist China! Must be a viable business model to attract so many American companies! Go Corporate Chinese America, go!

    September 21, 2011 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  10. Kweg Yung

    Corporate America's expansion into China was paid for by the American taxpayer. Bush's “tax cuts for the rich” policy funded this transition. That's why no American jobs were created but a lot of Chinese jobs were. Republican politicians represent the corporate rich, the 'job creators'. When was the last time you saw a job created in the U.S.? The rich don't pay tax in this country and their corporations are physically based in communist China; where, by the way, SOCIALIZED healthcare and SOCIALIZED education are the norm. Republican politicians sold us (U.S.) out.

    September 21, 2011 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  11. huxley

    Mitt / Palin in 2012!! We can call it 2008: The Sequel.

    Obama / Biden up against a centrist Republican Presidential candidate and his beguiling, one liner generating, sidekick.

    Everyone loves sequels. Plus, the special effects are usually better. Lets make it happen.

    September 21, 2011 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  12. Darth Vadik, CA

    OK folks, here is the thing about hypotheticals....

    ...they are just hypotheticals...

    Kerry was leading Bush 52-43 at this time 8 years ago...the further away you are form an election, the looser people get with their votes. Republicans just don't have a viable candidate, and people may be upset, but people are not crazy...

    ...and Republicans will learn that the hard way, just as Democrats did 🙂

    September 21, 2011 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  13. jam

    I remember reading the book Blind Allegiance, written by her main man, Frank Bialey, in her office when she was governor of Alaska, that when she was running for governor they knew all the tricks of the trade to impress the public. They even fixed the polling to benefit her. I have a feeling some fixing is going on here. She sooo knows how to play the game of deceit. I think she has spent a lifetime doing that.

    September 21, 2011 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  14. stta

    Maybe she thinks she has a chance since Michele Bachmann is making Sarah look smarter. Please GOP bring forward your smartest candidate that will do his or her best for the country. I want my vote to be for someone not against someone and not picking the best of the worst.

    September 21, 2011 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  15. Republican who supports President Obama

    Are you kidding me?!?!?!?!?!? Who did they ask? They certainly need to have their heads checked. She is NOT interested in being a leader. She is a glutton for attention and fame – nothing more.

    September 21, 2011 12:42 pm at 12:42 pm |
  16. Roxeanne

    Begs the question, how many times a day and how many physicians have told Palin that she is displaying severe narcissistic behavior with a below average intelligence level? Not a pretty sight going on there.

    September 21, 2011 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  17. Ted

    Why is CNN wasting their time with Palin? How can anybody consider running for President if they can't handle the job of Govenor? Concentrate on news, not hype.

    September 21, 2011 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  18. Marie MD

    @walked5 you posted way too early. You can start with my first post about this piece of hillbilly trailer trash dung!

    September 21, 2011 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  19. maximusvad

    you go girl. keep fracturing that party of hate.

    September 21, 2011 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  20. al in memphis

    When did America become the "laughing pot" of the world?

    The demise of every great nation has been when it shifted away from development/growth to greedy politic and self-serving interest groups.

    "We the people" has been replaced with "we the party"
    BTW - Kweg– Your right about China

    September 21, 2011 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  21. janedoe

    hypothetical, please stop hyping the lady up to embarrass the whole Republican party. She is not running says Lawrence O. It does say alot about her supporters who will sit back and allow her to take them to make a fool out of them. Very, very, very naive I will say.

    September 21, 2011 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  22. Common Sense

    Shame on CNN for writing an article like this. Must be hurting for some attention. Please focus on delivering real news.

    September 21, 2011 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  23. NoGr8rH8r

    Run for What? The Presidency? Please Do. Take as many votes away from the G.O.P as possible and go down as a 2 time loser.

    September 21, 2011 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  24. ketrout

    I really believe that Sarah Palin is the only one that CAN beat Obama in 2012!

    I would prefer Hillary Clinton to run for president in 2012, but if she does not, then I would votte for Palin if she decides to run.

    ANYONE IS BETTER THAN HAVING ANOTHER 4 YEARS OF OBAMA'S KIND OF CHANGE!!!

    September 21, 2011 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  25. lynn

    their smiling cause their about to do a cavity search.

    September 21, 2011 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
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