New polls on 2012 battles in Ohio & Pennsylvania
September 28th, 2011
09:06 AM ET
3 years ago

New polls on 2012 battles in Ohio & Pennsylvania

(CNN) - New polls in Ohio and Pennsylvania indicate that President Barack Obama has his work cut out for him to keep the two key battleground states in the Democratic column in next year's presidential election.

According to a Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday morning, 53 percent of Ohio voters disapprove of the job the president's doing in office, with 42 percent saying they approve of how Obama's handling his duties. The 42 percent approval rating matches the president's all-time low in Quinnipiac polling for Ohio. The survey also indicates that by a 51 to 43 percent margin, Buckeye State voters say the president doesn't deserve to be re-elected in 2012.

In hypothetical general election matchups against the top two Republican presidential candidates, the poll indicates things are pretty much all tied up, with Obama holding a 44 to 41 percent margin over Texas Gov. Rick Perry and holding a 44 to 42 percent margin over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Both margins are within the poll's sampling error.

In a sign of just how important the state is to the White House, Obama and Vice President Joe Biden made four visits combined to the state this month, to lobby for the president's jobs package.

"Ohio is ground zero for the jobs debate," GOP strategist and CNN contributor Alex Castellanos said. "If the president is losing Ohio, he is not just losing a state; he is losing the debate on jobs."

Ohio's 18 electoral votes are expected to be pivotal to the 2012 presidential election. George W. Bush sealed his 2004 re-election by narrowly winning the state over Sen. John Kerry. In 2008, Obama and Biden took the state by five points. But the GOP won big in last year's midterm elections, taking back the governor's office and five House seats held by Democrats.

From 1976 through the 2004 election, Pennsylvania was an extremely contested state in presidential politics. Obama won the state by ten points over Sen. John McCain in the 2008 contest, but the Republicans stormed back in last year's midterm elections, winning back the governor's office, a U.S. Senate seat and five House seats held by Democrats.

A new Quinnipiac poll in the Keystone state indicates that by a 54 to 43 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters disapprove of the job Obama's doing in the White House, and by a 51 to 44 percent margin, they don't think he deserves a second term in office.

According to the survey, the president holds a 45 to 43 percent margin over Romney in a hypothetical general election matchup, with Obama holding a 45 to 42 percent margin over former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania. Both margins are within the poll's sampling error. Obama has a 46 to 40 percent advantage over Perry in the survey..

The Qunnipiac University poll in Pennsylvania was conducted September 21-26, with 1,370 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

The Quinnpiac University poll in Ohio was conducted September 20-25, with 1,301 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

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Filed under: 2012 • Ohio • Pennsylvania • President Obama
soundoff (52 Responses)
  1. Four and The Door

    Rudy NYC
    ...Here's a fact. Yes, we have trillion dollar annual deficits today. That is the path set for this country by the Bush adminstration who ran up the first $1.5T deficit during his last year.
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________
    So in order to defend Obama's performance you absolve him of any leadership since he was inaugurated because " This is still the Bush path.."?!?! I admit he hasn't really jumped both feet into that leadership role, but look at all of the expensive bills and 'overhauls' of everything they did in 2009 and 2010. Eventually he has to take credit for what happened in those 2 years.

    September 28, 2011 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  2. Fair is Fair

    "The Stimulus was requested by the American people (you helped Wall St, now help Main St). Despite Republican attempts to weaken it, it kept us from sinking into total Depression. "
    ------–
    You cannot – repeat – CANNOT prove a negative Rudy. You lose credibility with these types of statements.

    But I suppose you'll come back with the old tried-and-true "distinguished economists said so" line of BS. What distinguised economists? Krugman? That dude has a further-left leaning agenda than Lenin had.

    I did not vote for Obama in 2008, but I'll tell you what – when he won, I did hold out hope that he would implement positive change. Instead, he dropped the ball on the economy in favor of his social agends. Poor choice.

    September 28, 2011 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
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