Poll: Majority expect GOP to win White House in 2012
October 3rd, 2011
04:23 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Majority expect GOP to win White House in 2012

Washington (CNN) – A majority of Americans expect the Republicans to win next year's presidential election, according to a new national poll.

An ABC News/Washington Post survey indicates that 55% of the public expects the GOP to recapture the White House in the 2012 election, with 37% saying they expect President Barack Obama to win re-election.

The poll's Monday release comes as the president described himself as an "underdog" in next year's election in an interview with ABC News.

According to the survey, more than eight in ten Republicans expect their party to win back the White House, with fewer Democrats, 58%, saying Obama will win a second term. The poll indicates that a majority of independent voters expect the Republicans to win in 2012.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted Thursday through Sunday with 1,000 adults nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • GOP • President Obama
soundoff (59 Responses)
  1. Liz the First

    Does this 55% really think the rethugs are that good that they deserve the presidency or do they think the American people are too stupid to see thru the rethugs' tactics and fall for their lies? God help us if they're right because it'll mean the end of this country!

    October 3, 2011 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  2. S.positive

    No problem, it put him right where he was with Clinton and Mcain...

    October 3, 2011 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  3. Sasha

    And you can bet real money that if it happens, the GOP will shamelessly accuse Dems of obstructionism for the least hiccup when attempting to ram through their agenda.

    October 3, 2011 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  4. skokie

    Of course they expect the GOP to win in 2012 I can hear them chanting WE WANT POVERTY, WE WANT POVERTY.

    October 3, 2011 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  5. YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power

    According to the survey, more than eight in ten Republicans expect their party to win back the White House, with fewer Democrats, 58%, saying Obama will win a second term. The poll indicates that a majority of independent voters expect the Republicans to win in 2012.
    ==================================================================================================
    Read it and weep libtards.... The rest of us read it and look forward to making it happen, as well as throwing the Democrats out of the Senate and House. All Democrat leftists MUST GO!!!!!!!!!! Our country's survival counts on it.

    October 3, 2011 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  6. CA Dream USA

    Sounds the same polls this time in 08.....nothing changed since then except Obama is our President......actually he was below double digits...Nice try media...

    October 3, 2011 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  7. Canuck

    Americans appear to have very short memories.

    October 3, 2011 04:33 pm at 4:33 pm |
  8. DIANA

    Who are they polling? God help us all if this should happen. Could you imagine a Perry or a Bachman in the White House, worse a Palin?!

    October 3, 2011 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  9. Jake

    I was not polled, and I expect Obama to win re-election!

    October 3, 2011 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  10. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    It surely is not because republicans have so much for our country, the middle class, those on social security, veterans, police, teachers, firemen, or environmental safeties. But it does explain why Christie is thinking of running.

    October 3, 2011 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  11. Johnson

    WOW!! I guess misleading the public, Obstructing and everything else the republicans are doing is working. How dumb are we really as a country. This Soldier is ashamed to call this the country that I helped fight for.

    October 3, 2011 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  12. Briana the Graphic Designer

    How are these polls conducted? Are they calling landlines when most people nowadays use their cell phone their mainline? Either way years people thought the 2008 Election would be Hilary vs Romney. Polls mean nothing.

    October 3, 2011 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  13. carly

    which clowns did this poll get its information from? there is no way that the majority of Americans would vote for any of the existing GOP candidates.

    October 3, 2011 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  14. sharon

    Oh Really!!!! Who are these people that they poll, Republicans and TeTeaparty??? How does one get chosen to be poll. These polls are never accurate just bias. Who to say these polls are fixed. People are protesting against Wall Street & Big Corporations are they included in your polls. 10 thousand and still growing. These polls are a joke. Scare tactics does not work anymore.

    October 3, 2011 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  15. Patriot Awesome

    We'll have to see which lunatic the republicans choose. If they choose someone other than Huntsman or Romney there's no way they can win.

    October 3, 2011 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  16. rob

    As much as I would like to believe this poll can see into the future, the election is over a year away and anything can happen between now and then. So for all you tolerant liberals who post your hatefull rhetoric here this poll may not represent an apocalypse....YET.

    Nov. 2012 can't come fast enough.

    October 3, 2011 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  17. Jilli

    I take polling with a grain of salt, but if this is true...heaven help the ever-shrinking working class.

    October 3, 2011 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  18. Our Country has gone MAD!

    If people have so quickly forgotten the Bush years then so be it. If people would choose to put themselves through another 4 years of hell, then so be it. If people think things suck now, wait until the GOP is running things again. I guess that sometimes you do have to get your butt beat to remind you to not keep making foolish mistakes. People blame Obama when it is clear to a one eyed man that the Republican Congress with their pledge to make Obama a one term President, even if it costs the country everything in the process, is the problem. I hear people argue that Obama's plans aren't working. I ask, how do you know? He hasn't been able to really get anything passed other than the healthcare overhaul and even that was watered down. They played with the debt ceiling, now they are holding up passing the jobs bill. Why in the hell any thinking person would ever hand the wheel back over to the GOP I will never know. I guess some just like pain. In my own sick way, I hope they do win. Then they can go ahead and finish us off. Perhaps then, we as a country will see what the GOP is really about, who they serve and reveal the truth. I just hope that there will be some resemblance of America left when they are done with her.

    October 3, 2011 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  19. Lisa P

    Those numbers will change once people see who the GOP candidate is. Heck, no matter who it is half the Republicans will be declaring him or her a 'traitor" for one reason or another and swearing that they will work to prevent his or her election. Sadly the Party of No knows no other way these days - it's "My way" or "No way!" Against that Obama will win in a landslide. You heard it here first.

    October 3, 2011 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  20. ggwindsor

    who do they pol wall street

    October 3, 2011 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  21. The Real Tom Paine

    Well, kiss your freedom goodbye if they win, folks. You want a corporatist paradise, that's what you will get. Mountains of debt, and no way to get out of it.

    But hey, the billionaires will be protected ( and creating all those min wage jobs for you) No more healthcare, because no one can afford it. No one wanting to be a teacher, because they would be fired for looking crosseyed at the loony evangelicals running the school boards. Home school everyone! Company towns make a comeback!. National service comes back! Endless new wars to fight! Invade Mexico!

    Doesn't that make you feel free?

    October 3, 2011 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  22. YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power

    Jake = I was not polled, and I expect Obama to win re-election!

    Briana the Graphic Designer = Are they calling landlines when most people nowadays use their cell phone their mainline?

    Briana the Graphic Designer = Polls mean nothing.
    =================================================================================
    Sure glad we got all the usual ridiculous comments about polls out of the way quickly.....
    BTW, those polls sure were wrong in 2010....NOT!

    We're counting down the days libtards, until America is freed from the grasp of Democrat leftists.

    October 3, 2011 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  23. Chris

    The poll isn't concerned with who SHOULD win the White House, the poll is concerned with who people think WILL win the White House. I think President Obama should get a second term, but I believe that just about any candidate with an R next to their name will be the next president.

    October 3, 2011 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  24. Martha in CF

    You have got to be kidding me!!!! Who did you poll--- all republicans? What a joke????????????

    If the American people are considered being that stupid–well then let the republicans run the country into the dirt. Canada, here I come......

    October 3, 2011 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  25. thomas

    Those were good times ," Freedom Fries , Enron , Country Wide , WMDs ", the good old days !

    Smoke on the water and fire in the sky. The Republican campaign song !

    October 3, 2011 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
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