Poll: Majority expect GOP to win White House in 2012
October 3rd, 2011
04:23 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Majority expect GOP to win White House in 2012

Washington (CNN) – A majority of Americans expect the Republicans to win next year's presidential election, according to a new national poll.

An ABC News/Washington Post survey indicates that 55% of the public expects the GOP to recapture the White House in the 2012 election, with 37% saying they expect President Barack Obama to win re-election.

The poll's Monday release comes as the president described himself as an "underdog" in next year's election in an interview with ABC News.

According to the survey, more than eight in ten Republicans expect their party to win back the White House, with fewer Democrats, 58%, saying Obama will win a second term. The poll indicates that a majority of independent voters expect the Republicans to win in 2012.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted Thursday through Sunday with 1,000 adults nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • GOP • President Obama
soundoff (59 Responses)
  1. The Greedy Old Pigs have declared class war on US!

    More and more people are waking up to the GOBP's attacks on the poor, the middle class, the elderly and the environment. Even if those numbers are legit (a questionable assumption), the neocon deathcult will overplay its hand, as always.

    October 3, 2011 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  2. ACGOBSESSED

    surly americans can't be this blind and stupid!...oh wait a minute they elected BUSH twice!..you lot just love shooting yourselves in the foot!

    October 3, 2011 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  3. cento

    Voters are stupid, simple as that. Republican controlled Whitehouse = George W. Bush & Cheney all over again. If a Republican wins in 2012, then it really would be the end of the world, and Americans will right-fully (pun intended) deserve the disaster thats coming to them.

    October 3, 2011 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  4. ja

    nobody thought obama would win, the majoriy polled picked mcain/palin, so there goes the theory

    October 3, 2011 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  5. sonny chapman

    If the majority of the American Electorate reward Repubs. for their obstructionist, crass behavior of the past three years then we only have ourselves to blame for the continued demise of what was once the Greatest Middle Class known in history.

    October 3, 2011 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  6. pc

    i was not polled an i WILL VOTE FOR OBAMA. god help this nation if one of the loons running against our president is elected. american people just are not that stupid.

    October 3, 2011 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  7. hongli

    A word to the Re-Tugs: He who last laugh,laughs the best. Go Obama Go!!!

    October 3, 2011 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  8. DumbasRocks [R]s

    The level of stupidity to which the American people will sink never fails to amaze me.

    Yes, by all means, let's put the same party back in charge who made this ungodly mess in the first place. In fact, these rightwing morons have become even more radicalized than when they were in charge under Shrub. If you think the [R] party winning the whitehouse in Nov. 2012 will help America, you should seek some genetic counceling to assure yourself that you are living with the right species.

    October 3, 2011 05:02 pm at 5:02 pm |
  9. Positive

    Then, the House Republicans will get their way. All the Medicare and Social Security money you've paid in will be in the hands of Wall Street and the insurance execs, you won't think of swimming in a river or lake they'll be so polluted and the middle class will sink into poverty.

    October 3, 2011 05:02 pm at 5:02 pm |
  10. YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power

    Thank GOD this blog is NOT representative of the nation as a whole. This blog is totally infested with libtards (thanks to biased moderating) that live in a fantasy world that bears no resemblance to reality.

    Americans will return this country to greatness starting in Nov. 2012. The long leftist Democrat nightmare will be over!

    October 3, 2011 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  11. John

    Where does CNN come up with these Poll and why Is no body In my house ever call about these poll. What they do call everyone they new was a Republican.

    October 3, 2011 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  12. Bill

    I think You Decide 2012 has been smoking the same crap that they do over at Fox News. Get a grip bozo.

    October 3, 2011 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  13. ALAN J

    Who is it that you all are polling? i have never been polled about any poll questions in my life nor have we ever seen any of these people that these pollsters claim to have polled! I think this Poll garbage is a lot of hype and hot air! Start polling real Americans and real People, and not these ghosts!

    October 3, 2011 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  14. AZ DEM

    COnsidering Obama recieved more votes in the popular vote than any other president in history..some 69 million..umm yeah I'm not going to go too crazy over a poll conducted amongst thousands of people Independents or not

    October 3, 2011 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  15. DumbasRocks [R]s

    Hey "Old country gone mad" and "The real tom paine": take a look at the leavings of "you decide 2012:" and there you will find the kind of slack-jawed moron who will vote for anything that has a [R] next to its name. The guy has no analysis skills and cannot tell WHY he would do such a STUPID thing, only that he surely will do such a STUPID thing. He has absolutely no concept of how he and his party have already screwed this county up, because the empty-headed people he worships on FuksNews only feeds him endless rightwing propaganda. He and his party have learned NO lessons from their terrible failures from 2001-2008....ironically such American morons are only allowed to speak vote by the graces of the most LIBERAL form of government in the world.

    October 3, 2011 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  16. B

    The true poll will be election night in 2012. Obama/Biden 2012!

    October 3, 2011 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  17. thomas

    @YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power
    We're counting down the days libtards, until America is freed from the grasp of Democrat leftists.

    Hey YOU ,
    the New IPhone 5 is out tomorrow , I forgot your a PC guy , Also did you take a look at the Tesla electric sedan , 0 to 60 in 4.5 seconds, I forgot you drive a Hummer .
    When you guys take total control of this country . Are you going to send my friends , family , myself into camps like the kamer ruge did in cambodia... or cuba north korea china russia they slaughtered the best and brightest.

    October 3, 2011 05:21 pm at 5:21 pm |
  18. Terry, VA

    There isn't a snow ball's chance in Hell that Obummie will be re-elected. Anyone that works or wants to work won't vote for him. Obummie is the food stamp program president.

    October 3, 2011 05:21 pm at 5:21 pm |
  19. beevee

    This is a bogus poll which means nothing or it is a very biased poll. Obama 2012.

    October 3, 2011 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  20. Excoastie

    Dewey wins!!!!

    October 3, 2011 05:24 pm at 5:24 pm |
  21. Indy

    Who cares if 1000 people were polled on a land line BIG WHOOP ! There is no way that the majority of Americans will vote to shut the country down and that is exactly what would happen if Republicans were to win the Whitehouse.

    October 3, 2011 05:25 pm at 5:25 pm |
  22. The Greedy Old Pigs have declared class war on US!

    Dear You Decide:

    If the GOBP returns to power it will be because of fear, lies, propaganda, vote suppression (already happening) and outright electoral theft. The fact is that a huge majority of Americans favor President Obama's policies over the neocon deathcult's disproved policies of deregulation and tax cuts for the ultrarich. Get an education.

    October 3, 2011 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  23. Newmoon2

    They didn't ask WHO these folks were voting for... just which party would hold the White House. Based upon those odds, I'd take money to Vegas and bet on Obama.

    October 3, 2011 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  24. DDXS

    Obama will win. Sourtherns don't like Romney and Northerners dont like Perry and the 20% of the Rebulican party is Tea Party crazy and will put up a third candidate.

    October 3, 2011 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  25. YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power

    @DumbasRocks.... there you will find the kind of slack-jawed moron...
    ========================================================
    ...that is college educated, runs his own business, makes six figures, owns his own home and has too many vehicles to count. And has been around long enough to know losers and thieves like you and Obama when he sees them.

    October 3, 2011 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
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