Poll: Massachusetts Senate race heats up
October 3rd, 2011
10:44 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Massachusetts Senate race heats up

(CNN) - The frontrunners in the Massachusetts Senate race, incumbent Republican Sen. Scott Brown and Democratic candidate Elizabeth Warren, are in a statistical dead heat, according to a new survey released Monday.

The UMass-Lowell/Boston Herald poll of registered voters showed Brown ahead of Warren in a hypothetical matchup by three percentage points, 41% to 38%, within the survey's 3.8% sampling error.

Brown, a former state senator, was elected to the Senate in a January 2010 special election following the death of Democratic Sen. Ted Kennedy, who held the seat for over 45 years. Elizabeth Warren, who announced her bid last month, will face a crowded field of candidates in next year's Democratic Senate primary. The Harvard Law professor previously served as special adviser to President Barack Obama for the recently formed United States Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.

But two Democrats who passed on the race, two-term Gov. Deval Patrick and former Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy II, could pose bigger threats to the GOP incumbent, according to the poll.

Patrick led Brown 43% to 36% and Kennedy held an eight percent advantage, 45% to 37%. Even Attorney General Martha Coakley, who lost her race against Brown last year, would be in a dead heat during this election cycle.

When pitted against each other in a hypothetical 2012 match-up, Republican candidate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney received 33% support to President Barack Obama's 57% among Bay State voters. Texas Gov. Rick Perry did not fare quite as well, garnering 25% support to Obama's 62%.

The president won the typically blue state with 62% of the vote in 2008 to Sen. John McCain's 36%.

Three years later 51% of voters in the state described themselves as enthusiastic or satisfied but not enthusiastic about the president's policies with 51% saying they are not enthusiastic or satisfied.

The survey questioned 1,005 registered Massachusetts voters via telephone between Sept. 22 and Sept. 28 with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

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Filed under: 2012 • Elizabeth Warren • Massachusetts • Polls • Scott Brown
soundoff (29 Responses)
  1. Rudy NYC

    Sounds like an endorsement from the right people will make or break this race wide open.

    October 3, 2011 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  2. YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power

    Brown needs to turn the race into a referendum on Obama's failed policies. Do people want to replace him, a rather centrist Republican, with a leftist that would vote for more of those same failed policies (and probably policies a LOT more left). I think even the very left leaning people of Massachusetts can't bring themselves to support Obama and his failed policies.

    October 3, 2011 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  3. dnick47

    Obama doesn't have any failed policies... he's never been allowed to implement much cause greedy self-serving Republicans have blocked each and every iniative. Now GWB had so many failed [policies that they nation is where it is today because of his and you Republican incompetent leaders.... we are in this mess because of the greedy stingy Republican pARTY: period.

    October 3, 2011 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  4. Ernie

    According to this CNN Producer Gabriella Schwarz will be reporting until election day in November that this race will be a dead heat. She will report every month that Elizabeth Warren will have a slight lead then she will report tha Scott Brown will have a slight lead. All this reporting is to create drama and hype. The real race dosn't begin until next month in November. That's when all the candidates now will have one year to convince voters that they are the best candidate. Eveything that happened months is all practice. When ecerything begins starting this November it will be for keeps. For ne next year nothing wil get done not saying that anything is getting done now, starting next month all the elections begin all the mud, crap, sling is going to begin. Don't forget Elizabeth Warren was an Obama appointee to head the Consumer Protection in Washintgton and look how longt she lasted.

    October 3, 2011 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  5. DIANA

    I wish I was able to vote in Mass. The country needs somebody like Warren. At least I can contribute towards her campaign – GO ELIZABETH!

    Maybe Brown's daughter could audition for the New version of American Idol.

    October 3, 2011 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  6. Beantown Bully

    Mr. You Decide. What polices of President Obama's have failed? We were losing jobs when he came in, we are now adding them. The only thing that slowed the pace of the job growth was the addition of the Tea Party Nuts in the house, and around the country trying to slash budgets on the backs of the middle class. We have financial reform, jobs added, Bin Laden dead, a stablizing economy, a flourishing stock market, repeal of DADT. SO please tell me how Obama's polices have added to this mess?
    Also take into effect the congress has broken a record with using to the fillibuster to "break Obama" So Please tell me specifically, what has the Presidents policies done that hust this country?

    October 3, 2011 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  7. Mike

    Interesting how the Dems seem to frequently place a woman or minority in a race where a white male has a big advantage. Brown has done well and the Dems know that no single white male will beat him. So they prey on the emotions of women and minorities to "vote for one of their own" regardless of who is the better candidate.

    Herman Caine in 2012!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 3, 2011 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  8. Bill

    I have sent her a check and will gladly send another.

    October 3, 2011 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  9. Jerry

    "You Go Mrs.Warren"!!! We need level headed,tough,fair,and for the people type politicians!!!! Mass, You voters better be "Smart about this vote??? Gop will be your downfall??? Vote Warren, "Help yourselves,and the country also!!!! There is no Presidential failure here, Gop Rehtoric,lies,and a crushing blow to "Working class Americans" Period!

    October 3, 2011 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  10. Sniffit

    What, no articles on the Brennan Center study showing that the GOP/red states' voter ID laws and efforts to restrict voter registration could prevent upwards of 5 MILLION people from voting this next year? And guess who it will be...that's right...youth, poor and minority voters. What a shocking surprise that the GOP would go to great lengths to prevent those people from voting and that the MSM would turn a blind eye to what is motivating it and the effect it will have...all while giving superficial reports making those laws sound like no big deal and somehow legitimate. Shocking I say. Why, it's almost as shocking as the MSM blackout on the Occupy Wall Street movement. Who'd ever have thought that giant corporate "news" fabrication outlets would ignore grassroots efforts to rein in corporate and Wall Street greed?

    October 3, 2011 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  11. Rudy NYC

    YOU decide wrote:
    Brown needs to turn the race into a referendum on Obama's failed policies. Do people want to replace him, a rather centrist Republican, with a leftist that would vote for more of those same failed policies (and probably policies a LOT more left). I think even the very left leaning people of Massachusetts can't bring themselves to support Obama and his failed policies.
    -------------
    Did you forget that the Tea Party has felt betrayed by Sen. Brown? And that MA has felt betrayed by Sen. Brown? The best thing Brown has going for him is that the voters of MA are strongly inclined to stick with a "known", even if they don't fully like it, than to go with an "unknown" that they know little about. Warren's biggest problem in MA is name recognition and probably some reputation identification.

    October 3, 2011 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  12. d

    I was from ma. cant vote but can and will donate to warren...she makes sense and is wicked smart! we need more like her in every state!

    October 3, 2011 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  13. d

    brown has money pouring in from almost every bank and hedge funds...that should tell you what he stands for.

    October 3, 2011 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
  14. thomas

    GQ or IQ ?

    Wall St or Main St

    October 3, 2011 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  15. gt

    warren is a scorn loser .. she wont help to get one job unless its for a lawyer ...

    October 3, 2011 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  16. ConservaFASCISTS/TEAliban/TEAhadists

    Give him hell Liz!! Get our seat back. The Wall St. revolution has begun and is spreading. Scott Brown is Wall St's favorite senator. Look how much they donate to him.

    October 3, 2011 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  17. Rudy NYC

    thomas wrote:
    Wall St. or Main St.
    -------------
    What a wonderful campaign slogan that would make.

    Wall St. or Maple St.
    Wall St. or Your St.

    October 3, 2011 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  18. sonny chapman

    Attention Beantown Bully: Listen to Billy Joel, "you should never argue with a crazy man".

    October 3, 2011 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  19. Stop the Pollsters

    It's only October for chrissakes. And we're already getting an avalanche of polls. Stop the pollsters – it corrupts the election system because they sway public opinion by producing endless polls. Ahhhh!

    October 3, 2011 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  20. Sleeplessnnc

    dnick: Is that a joke? How could GOP blocverything? For two yearss, the dems controlled the house, senate (and filibuster proof) and pres. They had or could have had every single thing they wanted. Own it dude.

    October 3, 2011 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  21. Rudy NYC

    Sniffit asked:
    What a shocking surprise that the GOP would go to great lengths to prevent those people from voting and that the MSM would turn a blind eye to what is motivating it and the effect it will have...all while giving superficial reports making those laws sound like no big deal and somehow legitimate. Shocking I say.
    -------------
    I think it is being ignored by the MSM because Democrats have not spoken out about it loudly enough in a unified voice. I cannot name one Democratic leader who has spoken up about this issue. Can you? Not one from Congress, and silence from the White House. Although, I believe the President did mention something "BTW" late last week. This needs to start in the White House press room.

    October 3, 2011 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  22. Lynda/Minnesota

    The 2012 election isn't going to be won by corporate media subtly telling folks how to vote, and for whom to vote. This past year has proven in what direction our corporate owned media leans, and why. Ratings decline across the board are proving a public no longer interested in talking points - certainly for the Democratic/Independent voting public, anyway. Far be it for me the explain to these folks WHY the public is turning away ... media pundits seem to think they know all the answers, and report accordingly, regardless. They just publish another poll, sponsored by them, proving their points. However, the circus surrounding the GOP primary debates, and the participating candidates themselves, show otherwise.

    October 3, 2011 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  23. Kate

    Elizabeth Warren is amazing. I really, really hope she's lining up for a presidential run in 2016. What an amazing woman.

    "There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own. Nobody. You built a factory out there — good for you!

    But I want to be clear. You moved your goods to market on the roads the rest of us paid for. You hired workers the rest of us paid to educate. You were safe in your factory because of police forces and fire forces that the rest of us paid for. You didn’t have to worry that maurauding bands would come and seize everything at your factory, and hire someone to protect against this, because of the work the rest of us did. Now look, you built a factory and it turned into something terrific, or a great idea — God bless. Keep a big hunk of it.

    But part of the underlying social contract is you take a hunk of that and pay forward for the next kid who comes along." –Elizabeth Warren

    October 3, 2011 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  24. B

    Warren is one of the last remaining trust worthy people around and we all need her intelligence and determination badly now !

    A bright light in a very dark world.

    October 3, 2011 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  25. Rickster

    Anybody who votes for a democrat after witnessing the horrendous performance of Obama and the rest of the nitwit democrats for the past two and a half years needs to have their head examined and their voting privileges revoked.

    October 3, 2011 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
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