Polls: What if Christie had run
October 4th, 2011
03:33 PM ET
3 years ago

Polls: What if Christie had run

(CNN) - Chris Christie said no Tuesday to a run for the White House, but if he had launched a presidential bid, two new national polls tell different stories on where the New Jersey governor would rank in the battle for the GOP nomination.

"Now is not my time. I have a commitment to New Jersey that I simply will not abandon," Christie said at a news conference in Trenton, New Jersey that aired nationally on all major cable news networks.

But what if he had run?

A Quinnipiac University survey conducted Sept. 27 through Oct. 3, before Christie's announcement, indicates the Garden State governor would be tied with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney atop the field of Republican presidential candidates, with each grabbing the support of 17% of likely GOP primary voters. According to the poll, former Godfather's Pizza CEO and radio talk show host Herman Cain is at 12%, with Texas Gov. Rick Perry, the former front-runner in the national polls, at 10%. All the other candidates questioned in the survey are in single digits.

The poll also indicates that in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup, Christie would hold a three point margin over President Barack Obama, 45% to 42%, which is within the survey's sampling error. According to the poll, Christie had an eight-point advantage over the president among independent voters, 45% to 37%.

"This survey shows Gov. Christie is walking away from the possibility – at least today – to be elected president of the United States. Whether he would have won the GOP nomination or the election will never be known, but the data indicate he had a serious chance to win it all," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, in a statement.

Another new survey suggests a different scenario. An ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted Thursday through Sunday shows Christie at 10%, trailing Romney (21%), Cain (14%) and Perry (14%).

According to the survey, which was also conducted before Christie's announcement, 42% of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP said they would like to see Christie run for the nomination, with 34% saying no, and nearly one in four unsure.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll questioned 1,001 national adults by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus six percentage points for questions only of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP.

The Quinnipiac University poll questioned 2,118 registered voters, including 927 likely Republican primary voters, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for GOP questions.


Filed under: 2012 • Chris Christie • Polls
soundoff (19 Responses)
  1. Rudy NYC

    Too bad most of America doesn't know the rule truth about Christie's outright lies, deceptions, and questionable actions of the recent past. Had this poll been conducted in NJ, then the results might have really meant something.

    October 4, 2011 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  2. Rudy NYC

    Christie didn't want to go down in a ball of flames like Perry is doing now. Everyone talks about Christie's fire and ice, but no one is talking about his jobs record and self inflicted budget woes. Christie is smarter than the majority of the Republican Party. Must be why they like him so much.

    October 4, 2011 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  3. diridi

    Obama wins...o.k, no doubt. Don't you think people know that Eric Cantor and GOP idiots are playing drama, now in the nation...are people that stupid? Obama2012....

    October 4, 2011 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  4. Cristine Fernandez

    Very glad he's sticking to his commitment to his State. Did you hear that Sarah Palin?

    October 4, 2011 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
  5. Nash

    Christie is a coward just like Palin. It is easier to criticize the President from an armchair than doing the real work of doing something about the problems that this country faces. Christie is lucky he took McCain's advice, he would have crashed an burned just like his buddy Perry who is going nowhere in hurry or Romney whose job killing experience is what the GOP is touting. The GOP will be better off in 2016 when the public has forgotten that Dubya ever existed.

    October 4, 2011 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  6. YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power

    Had Christie run he would have mopped the floor with our feckless leader Obama.... By Nov. 2012, the bagger at the local grocery store will be able to beat him. But it looks like it will be Romney or Cain that will be moving in come 2013. It can't get here soon enough.

    October 4, 2011 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  7. Larry L

    He is wisely distancing himself from the Republican debacle. If and when the Republican Party frees itself from the radical fringe groups (AKA Tea Party) and quits being the political tool for a few ultra-right-wing contributors Christie might be a good choice. For now, independents with a brain will avoid the GOP.

    October 4, 2011 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  8. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Crisco turned his back on 17% of the republican party. I hope he realizes that those moderates in the GOP who want him to run will never forget, . . .I mean will never remember. So the same 17% will be begging him to take over a booming economy after Obama's second term.

    October 4, 2011 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  9. Sniffit

    Now we're talking about "What If"? Just more distractions from the MSM to help the GOP avoid responsibility for failing to do anything about the economy and jobs and blocking all attempts by Obama and the Dems to do something about it. The GOPers/Teatrolls already live in a carefully constructed fantasy land....the MSM wants desperately to convince the rest of us to do so as well.

    October 4, 2011 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  10. seriously???

    Republicans will vote for a cereal box before they vote for Obama, which is a shame because Obama would likely have been a very great president if he hadn't been inaugurated into the second worst pile of garbage this country has ever seen. NO president was going to be able to turn this around in 2-4, maybe 10 years. That's why I find this idiot "YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power" such a total 100% moron.

    October 4, 2011 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  11. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    you decide 2012 – By bagger at the grocery store, do you mean retired wingnut serving as greeter at Wal Mart?

    October 4, 2011 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  12. Rudy NYC

    YOU Decide bragged:
    Had Christie run he would have mopped the floor with our feckless leader Obama.... By Nov. 2012, the bagger at the local grocery store will be able to beat him. But it looks like it will be Romney or Cain that will be moving in come 2013. It can't get here soon enough.
    -------------
    Q. Are you familiar with Christie's record on job creation?
    A. Nope. Christie has negative jobs growth.

    Q. Are you familiar with Christie's state Budget?
    A. Nope. Christie added over two trillion in expenditures and declared a crisis.

    Q. Do you know why Christie really didn't run?
    A. Nope. But, Christie does.

    October 4, 2011 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  13. YOU Decide 2012: A bankrupt socialist welfare country or a thriving capitalist super power

    Hey Sniffit.... care to expand and how Harry Reid, DEMOCRAT LEADER OF THE SENATE, refuses to take up Obama's bogus "save my job" campaign speech bill???? Sure sounds like his own party wants NOTHING to do with yet more spending and failure. Obama has been set adrift by his own party. Typhoid Obama!!!

    October 4, 2011 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  14. Sniffit

    "Sure sounds like his own party wants NOTHING to do with yet more spending and failure."

    Actually the issue is that there are only 53 Dems in the Senate and a couple are conservatives. They're tweeking it so they can get the conservatives on board and then, becuase the GOP will certainly filibuster it, blame the GOP when it gets filibustered. It's pretty simple. It's somewhat the opposite of what the GOP has been doing with the Teatroll faction in the House. When the GOP can't get all the Teatrolls on board, they go MORE EXTREME in order to get the Teatrolls on board. Here, the Dems are tweeking the bill to make it more conservative, i.e., moving towards the center (the opposite of what the GOP does) in order to bring about concensus.

    October 4, 2011 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  15. Sniffit

    BTW, as for the "bogus" part, you clearly don't understand what's int he bill and simply oppose it because it was Obama's suggestion and you've been instructed to hate anything he proposes. But please, let us know how well you've practicesd the GOP's talking points against it by regurgitating them in an angry, semi-coherent manner...it would amuse me.

    October 4, 2011 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  16. "The GOP biggest deception is getting the Poor and Middle class to believe they are out to help them"

    OMG...CNN can you guys get to some real news and stop the what ifs!!! Jeez!! Report on how the House is not going to even vote on the Jobs Act Bill from the President!!! Now tell me who is really wanting to help this COUNTRY!!! These guys just came back from another week off yet what are they doing playing more political games!!! It is time the media start to call these guys out for what they are really doing!! MOST PEOPLE COULD CARE LESS ABOUT CHRISTIE!!! IT IS ABOUT THE NOW!!!

    October 4, 2011 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  17. Greg

    Stupids story based on specualtion.....who cares!

    October 4, 2011 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  18. ericidle

    It's too bad Christie isn't running. Really a pity. That would have guaranteed Obama would get in.

    October 4, 2011 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  19. Len

    CNN, PLease report to the American people that the GOP house will not put the Presidents job bill on the House Floor to be voted on...Tell the real truth, they donot care about the middle class or poor....only about the next election...they have not created jobs, in fact since they took control in 2011, they have only cut programs for the poor and middle class. The American people are not very bright so please report the truth....PLEASE DONOT BE LIKE FOX NEWS!!!!

    October 4, 2011 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |