Poll: Romney front-runner in N.H. but Cain on the rise
October 7th, 2011
06:01 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Romney front-runner in N.H. but Cain on the rise

Manchester, New Hampshire (CNN) – Mitt Romney's still far and away ahead of the rest of the field of Republican presidential candidates in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire, according to a new poll.

But a WMUR Granite State Poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire also indicates that Herman Cain's numbers in the state are on the rise, and that only a tenth of likely Republican primary voters have definitely decided on which candidate they will vote for in the battle for the GOP nomination.

According to the poll, which was released Friday evening, 37% of likely Republican primary voters say they would vote for Romney, the former governor of neighboring Massachusetts who's making his second bid for the White House. Romney's numbers are pretty much unchanged from the last Granite State Poll, which was conducted in July.

Cain, the former Godfather's Pizza CEO and radio talk show, is at 12%, up around 10 points from July, with Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who's making his third bid for the White House, at 9%. Former New York City Mayor and 2008 GOP presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani is at 8%, as is former Utah Gov. and U.S. Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman. Texas Gov. Rick Perry and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich are at 4% in the poll, followed by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin at 3% and Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania at 2%.

Take Palin, who earlier this week announced she would not run for the White House, and Giuliani, who has not taken any concrete steps to launch a campaign, out of the mix, and Romney's at 42%, followed by Cain at 13%, Paul at 11%, Huntsman at 8% and Perry at 6%, with everyone else in the lower single digits.

Romney has made a few appearances this year in Iowa, the state that kicks off the presidential caucus and primary season, but he has spent much more time in New Hampshire. Huntsman appears to be putting all his chips into a strong showing in the Granite State, which comes second after Iowa in the primary and caucus calendar. Bachmann is spending much of her time in Iowa.

The poll indicates that nearly seven in ten likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire say they are still trying to decide who they will vote for in the race for the nomination, with 21 percent saying they're leaning towards a candidate and only 11% saying they have definitely decided who they will vote for in the primary.

The WMUR Granite State Poll was conducted by the University of New Hampshire Sept. 26-October 6, with 646 New Hampshire adults, including 345 likely GOP primary voters, questioned by telephone. The sampling error for GOP primary questions is plus or minus 5.3 percentage points.


Filed under: Herman Cain • Mitt Romney • New Hampshire • Polls
soundoff (11 Responses)
  1. T'sah from Virginia

    This poll shows just how ignorant some on the RIGHT are. There are people mentioned in the poll that aren't even running!! Guiliani??? Palin?? Jeez, that says a lot!

    Obama/Biden 2012!

    October 7, 2011 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  2. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    37% to Herb's 12% puts Herb on the rise?

    October 7, 2011 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  3. krissmith777

    Wait! Palin said she isn't running, so why is she included in the poll?

    October 7, 2011 10:43 pm at 10:43 pm |
  4. Finite

    Wow, maybe Cain is a godfather.

    October 8, 2011 12:40 am at 12:40 am |
  5. TheMostWise

    Herman Cain is on the rise because he has learned the Republican ropes of proving he has a cold heart, dull mind, anti-government mentality, an affinity for the wealthy, and willing to make quite possibly the most outrageously stupid comments that a human mind can conceive. That's what it takes to be a Republican and he has all the tools for damned sure.

    October 8, 2011 03:17 am at 3:17 am |
  6. Are you serious

    More flat tax bs. Since when does a "cute" idea from years ago suddenly become the only thing the Tea Party wants to push? Companies that don't have good accountants pay over 20% now. So let's give them a 9% rate instead and pretend the money will be made up by elves? Oh, sorry. The rest of us without good accountants will make up the difference while being told a 9% rate is all it'll take – when the government doesn't know if that's true. Even though flat taxes all put more burden on the have-nots, that's the better group to pick up the slack. Corporate America is at it again.

    October 8, 2011 08:53 am at 8:53 am |
  7. Ryan (Future President)

    My vote is already signed and sealed! Ron Paul for 2012! He has no loyalty to special interests or lobbyists! Vote within the confines of the consitution and restore personal responsibility to this country. Obama and Romney are the same tools, just from different sheds. Don't be fooled this time around Americans! YOUTUBE Ron Paul if you really want to make an informed decision this time around. -Ryan from NY

    October 8, 2011 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  8. diridi

    Caine is not Obama...o.k, Obama2012...

    October 8, 2011 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  9. Voter

    If close to 70% haven't decided then how accurate is Romney's lead?

    October 8, 2011 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  10. erikg

    Everybody attacks Romney including the media because he's a better candidate than everybody except Ron Paul. He's threatening to the health care industry and military industrial complex alike, therefore he's threatening to CNN, Fox, NBC, et cetera. All you have to do to be president these days is be ostentatious, aligned with lobbyists, rich and come from a large state like Obama, Perry and Bush. That's why I research stuff for myself when I hear people like Erin Burnett or Rush Limbaugh spill out exaggerated "facts".

    October 8, 2011 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  11. Mario

    The nomination will come down to Romney vs Paul. Perry will self-destruct and Cain's overexposure will destroy his candidacy once voters find out how awful his 999 plan is to the middle class and the poor

    October 8, 2011 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |