Poll: Obama advantage in crucial battleground state?
October 26th, 2011
09:52 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Obama advantage in crucial battleground state?

(CNN) - A new poll suggests President Barack Obama has the advantage right now over three of his possible GOP opponents in next year's election in an important battleground state.

According to a Quinnipiac University poll of Ohio voters, Obama holds a four point margin over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup. The president's 45% to 41% margin over Romney is within the survey's sampling error. The poll indicates that Obama holds a 47% to 39% advantage over businessman and former Godfather's Pizza CEO Herman Cain and has a 47% to 36% lead over Texas Gov. Rick Perry.

But according to the survey, only 43% of Ohio voters approve of the job the president's doing in office, with 51% saying they disapprove of how he's handling his duties in the White House. And by a 49% to 44% margin, Ohio voters say Obama doesn't deserve a second term in office.

"Ohio voters are not happy with the president's performance and don't think he deserves a second term. But elections are about choices," said Peter Brown, assistant director of Quinnipiac University polling. "At this point none of the Republicans are able to take advantage of these presidential negatives. The next year will determine if the GOP is able to nominate a candidate who can do so."

Ohio's 18 electoral votes are expected to be pivotal in the 2012 presidential election. George W. Bush sealed his 2004 re-election by narrowly winning the state over Sen. John Kerry. In 2008, Obama beat Sen. John McCain in the state by 5 points. But the GOP won big there in last year's midterm elections, taking back the governor's office and five House seats held by Democrats.

In the battle for the Republican nomination, the poll indicates 28% of Republican primary voters say they would support Cain, with 23% backing Romney, who's making his second bid for the White House. All other candidates listed on the questionnaire are in single digits, with Perry near the bottom of the list at 4%.

"Herman Cain's rise has been meteoric. He has increased his share of the vote among Ohio Republicans four times since Quinnipiac University's September 28 survey in which he registered 7 percent," added Brown. "Gov. Mitt Romney hasn't moved and Rick Perry has fallen off a cliff, down to 4 percent from 20 percent."

Ohio is in the process of moving its presidential primary to June, which would be at the end of the primary and caucus calendar.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted between Oct. 17 and Oct. 23, with 1,668 registered voters, including 542 Republican primary voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.

Also see:

Perry sidesteps 'birther' question

Gingrich cites fundraising spike

Perry takes sides in Ohio union fight after Romney dodges issue


Filed under: 2012 • Herman Cain • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama • Rick Perry
soundoff (37 Responses)
  1. sonny chapman

    You can't beat something with nothing.

    October 26, 2011 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  2. Charlie

    These polls are meaningless now. The GOP candidates are attacking each other and raising issues about one another while Obama is left in the wings. Once the GOP has a candidate and they start attacking Obama things will change drastically.

    October 26, 2011 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  3. Nonie

    Majority of Americans are not keeping up with what is going on with this elections. All people know is that jobs and the economy have not gotten better and that because we have a DO NOTHING GOP TEABAG Congress who is blocling anything and everything Obama is doing to help the economy. Many voters don't know that yet, but when the attack ad start next about exactly what the GOP is about and what they have been doing, the voters will run to President Obama cause he seem like the sane one out the bunch. Even though the economy is in bad shape under his watch, he didn't cause any of this and his policies haven't had a chance to really work because folks sat on the butt and didn't vote last year which caused the congress to switch and know they are blocking any more progress. So make no mistake the voters will have a clear choice to make. President Obama who is looking out for the middle class folks who are struggling VS a RADICAL RIGHT WING NOMINIEE who is willing gut SS, MEDICARE, MEDICAID, and give tax cuts to the rich. I think the voters will come to the senses real quick.

    October 26, 2011 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  4. Dennis

    This will all be about the economy. Considering Obama has shown little understanding about how the economy works, I would expect these numbers to change considerably in the next year.

    October 26, 2011 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  5. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Maybe the republicans class warfare on the middle class is not working that well in Ohio. Maybe Ohioans know that the union thugs that republicans refer to are, teachers, police, firemen, nurses, snow plow drivers, post office workers, and those who keep us safe. Maybe Ohioans know that when republicans want to end socialism, they are talking about privatizing social security, medicare, VA benefits, the post office, the military, and ending all environmental and economic safeguards for Americans. Maybe Ohioans know that the republicans have waged class warfare against the middle class and poor for thirty years, and that giving the wealthy tax breaks will not create jobs. Maybe they know that Rove is wrong, and that republicans have been on the wrong side of every important issue for Americans.

    October 26, 2011 10:04 am at 10:04 am |
  6. PA_outof work

    Polls; keep dreaming, when the Republican candidate debates Obama and brings up the Obama and the Democrats record in Congress since 2007 it’s over; the polls don’t even matter. In 2010 the Democratic lose was a slaughter; the 2012 election cycle is going to be a massacre. Obama, the Democrats in the house and the 23 Senators up for election in 2012 better understand their jobs are on the line, we are going to vote them out, they will be replaced.

    October 26, 2011 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  7. Ellen

    Why didn't they ask how Obama would fare against Ron Paul? I'd be curious to see the results, considering Paul just won a straw poll in Ohio with 52% of the vote.

    October 26, 2011 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  8. PA_outof work

    In what nation did you take this poll ????
    Quinnipiac University pollsters you keep asking the same question to the same people. The Quinnipiac University pollsters; just like Anthony Weiner – LIARS. They will stand there and lie thru their teeth to achieve the Obama and Democrats agenda, no matter what it costs or affects.

    October 26, 2011 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  9. diridi

    This president is far, far better than GOP and Tea idiots. GOP and Tea thugs are for Rich, Oil Companies, Wall Street Tycoons, Cheap illegal foreign Labor,, Not for your–Middle Class America, definitely not for you...Wake up, Register to Vote, vote direct Democratic Ticket, and Obama2012. True, True, and True....

    October 26, 2011 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  10. diridi

    This president is far, far better than GOP and Tea idiots. GOP and Tea thugs are for Rich, Oil Companies, Wall Street Tycoons, Cheap illegal foreign Labor,, Not for your–Middle Class America, definitely not for you...Wake up, Register to Vote, vote direct Democratic Ticket, and Obama2012. True, True, and True....Wake up. America, God bless....

    October 26, 2011 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  11. V in Chicago

    Thank God people are finally waking up from the "Tea Induced Coma". I will be so glad when 2012 rolls around the roar of the quiet majority is heard and all the obstructionist are voted out of office. Then this country can truly begin to heal and move forward.

    Obama 2012

    October 26, 2011 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  12. JoCarol

    Obama doesn't need to worry about those three. He needs to look out for Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich who will soon rise to the top as the only viable candidates to reduce debt, balance the budget, reform taxes, reform Congress, and salvage the economy.

    October 26, 2011 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  13. martin

    your polling doesnt make any sense sir you probably refering to "LIKEBILITY' POLL, also the way you posted your numbers is like we're having elections today. OBAMA IS "DONE" including with minorities.
    He could not pass an Inmigration law with 60 senators and mayority house, what make you think we the Spanish voters will vote for him. NOP he is lame, lame, lame, lame. ADIOS OBAMA, THANKS FOR THE 0 PROMISES YOUR FULFILLED TO OUR PEOPLE.

    October 26, 2011 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  14. diridi

    I will be voting for this president....I am telling to America....He cares for Middle Class. He killed Bin Laden....o.k,

    October 26, 2011 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  15. diridi

    This president is far, far better than GOP and Tea idiots. GOP and Tea thugs are for Rich, Oil Companies, Wall Street Tycoons, Cheap illegal foreign Labor,, Not for your–Middle Class America, definitely not for you...Wake up, Register to Vote, vote direct Democratic Ticket, and Obama2012. True, True, ....

    October 26, 2011 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  16. Ed DFWTX

    A lot can happen between now and electon time. When the voters are given a choice between Obama and the GOP nominee I think they will vote for another four years. What has happened to the once-proud Republican Party? What we now have are the likes of Michelle Bachmann, Rick Perry and Hermain Cain so totally unsuitable for the presidency and viewed by many Independents as total flakes that must never be in control of this country. We need two strong political parties but the Republicans have "run-off" all reasonable candidates.

    October 26, 2011 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  17. Tony

    What choice do Ohio voters have? Do they want to support Mitt "let them have foreclosure" Romney?

    October 26, 2011 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  18. ConservaFASCISTS/TEAliban/TEAhadists

    Willard was with kasich before he was against Kasich. This guy goes whichever way the wind blows. We don't need a Flip Flopper in Chief.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
    E. WARREN 2012

    October 26, 2011 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  19. stevie

    It`s early yet. Obama`s numbers will drop further as he continues to fail and inflicts more misery on the country. The most divisive president in history will be gone on 1/20/2013.

    October 26, 2011 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  20. Rudy NYC

    It sounds to me like that Ohio voters have wised up to the scam that Republican have been pulling for the last 30+ years. Those poll results say that those voters disapprove of his record, but apparently do not hold Pres. Obama personally responsible as much as Republicans want them to believe. It appears most of the voters realize that any Democrat in the White House would have gotten the same wihite wash from the Grand Old Tea Party.

    October 26, 2011 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  21. Name king

    This is all about what policy will work in the future. Back in the bush era when the bush tax cuts and deregulations were let loose on our nations. Businesses left our country in droves, because they saw the transfer of money from the spenders to the supply system, so they knew folks didn't have money in their pocket to support their goods. Just like when they first came out with the stimulus tarp to bail out big corporations, unemployment sky rocketted because big businesses were saying, hey its good and dandy that your bailing us out but those folks that buys our goods, still doesn't have the money to come through our doors. Lesson repugs demand is the basic rule of Capitalisms, no idiot will not invest without folks to buy their stuff. So for the umpteen time past the freaking president job bill so folks can have money in their pockets.

    October 26, 2011 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  22. Tired of the nonsense

    The president's advantage is that he's intelligent, erudite, cares about America, cares about Americans, knows what a Constitution is and what it's for, works for the greater good of this country, works with other countries in a brilliant display of foreign diplomacy, tries to bridge the gap between members of diverse political backgrounds so work can be accomplished in Washington - basically, he's everything the GOP isn't.

    October 26, 2011 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  23. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Polls are nice...aren't they?
    Yet it is really too far out to poll anybody about 2012, and get a real feel for which way our fickle, amnesiac, and often un-informed, if not misinformed, populace is leaning. And yes I'm aware that this polls is in favor of the Prez, but even still.
    On the other hand.....that's a GREAT picture of our President!!
    Obama 2012. Period.

    October 26, 2011 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  24. Mollybee

    As the GOP goofballs keep introducing their "tax and jobs plans", the margin will grow even wider. There has never been a group more intent on destroying the middle class of America.

    October 26, 2011 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  25. Mollybee

    As the GOP "candidates" keep introducing their "tax and jobs plans", the margin will grow even wider. There has never been a group more intent on destroying the middle class of America.

    October 26, 2011 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
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