Poll: Paul in top spot in Iowa GOP battle
December 21st, 2011
09:17 AM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Paul in top spot in Iowa GOP battle

(CNN) – With 13 days to go until the Iowa caucuses, a new poll indicates that Rep. Ron Paul of Texas sits atop the field of Republican presidential candidates in the state that holds the first contest in the primary and caucus calendar.

According to an Iowa State/Gazette/KCRG survey released Wednesday, 28% of likely Iowa GOP caucus goers say Paul, the longtime congressman who's making his third bid for the White House, is their first choice for the Republican nomination, with 25% backing former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. Paul's three point margin over Gingrich is well within the survey's sampling error.

Eighteen percent of those questioned say they support former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, with 11% backing Texas Gov. Rick Perry. Seven percent say Rep. Michele Bachmann of neighboring Minnesota is their first choice for the GOP nomination, with 5% backing former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, less than one percent supporting former Utah Gov. and former ambassador to China Jon Huntsman, with 5% undecided.

The poll was conducted over a long period of time, starting on Dec. 8 and ending on Dec. 18. The survey indicates that with the caucus closing in, the battle for Iowa remains fluid, with only 28% saying they've definitely decided on which candidate they would support.

But the survey suggests that when it comes to the commitment of support, Paul may have an advantage.

"What our poll says is that 51% of Paul's supporters say they're definitely backing him," said James McCormick, professor and chair of political science at Iowa State and coordinator of the poll. "The percentage for the next two candidates is much weaker, at 16.1 for Mitt Romney and 15.2 for Newt Gingrich."

The Iowa State/Gazette/KCRG poll was conducted by telephone, with 333 likely Iowa GOP caucus goers questioned. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus five percentage points.

Also see:

Iowa faith leader asked Bachmann to consider dropping out, campaign says

Romney defends negative ads

Gingrich: Super PAC hypocrisy


Filed under: 2012 • Iowa • Polls • Ron Paul
soundoff (66 Responses)
  1. T'sah from Virginia

    ►Poll: Paul in top spot in Iowa GOP battle◄
    While the others sit boo-hooing shaking their baby rattles!!
    Paul, "quietly," will slip through and throw everything off
    Upsetting all of the numbers & creating a trough…
    that will be filled with the leftovers not at his side…
    as he “slowly” kicks everyone around him sorry behind

    But where would that leave Paul who feels very much unflawed
    In the days to come when the Repubs push him out the door
    Would he give them the “finger” and run on a third-party ticket…?
    In an attempt to “punish” those against him for being so wicked?

    Paul is the REAL thorn in the Republican’s side. He is charged by an EverReady battery that keeps going, and going, and going and has many ways to continue his bout even if he is not nominated on the Republican ticket!! This “scares” the Republicans!

    Obama 2012!

    December 21, 2011 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  2. Brenda

    I can understand wanting to support someone who says what he means and means what he says. You seem to get that with Paul, but his ideas on national security and throwing all rules out the window is scary. This would be a scary USA with Paul at the helm. I would rather support someone who is slow and steady and calm and thoughtful and reasoned. That is Mitt Romney. I think he strikes the right balance at the right time.

    December 21, 2011 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  3. Jay

    God Bless Ron Paul and the American Patriots who stand beside him.

    December 21, 2011 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  4. joe

    Welcome to the world where SNL skits write themselves, and no actors are necessary to replicate reality.

    December 21, 2011 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  5. John K

    Impossible. Let's just keep ignoring him, maybe he'll go away. (sticks head in sand)

    December 21, 2011 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  6. joe smith

    its really very simple, Americans respect the Constitution, Americans want Americans to have jobs, Americans do not favor our troops keeping watch all around the world, Americans do not favor spending millions upon millions on foreign nations, who stab us in the back every chance they get; Americans want a balanced budget, and they want their elected officials to do a days work for the American people who elected them, NOT for some special interest lobbist..Ron Paul characterizes those American asperations..simple..

    December 21, 2011 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  7. sidneyhop

    No matter how much the media spins their corporate owned, status quo, "front runner"candidates, Ron Paul comes out ahead because he speaks the TRUTH with SENSIBLE solutions!

    The rest are OBVIOUSLY just the same old same old who've SOLD this country into ruin!

    NOW the mainstream media is trying to discredit not only Dr Paul, but the VOTERS THEMSELVES!!! Saying if Iowans vote for Ron Paul then the Iowan caucus is flawed!!!

    People are waking up to your corporate LIES cnn, fox, msnbc and your days of being relevant are numbered!!!

    December 21, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  8. Al

    Remember electorate:
    Even if Ron Paul gets the most votes, IT DOESN'T MATTER.
    Even if Ron Paul gets the nomination, HE IS UNELECTABLE.
    Even if Ron Paul gets the White House, ...

    December 21, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  9. Pat

    Yeah, that's right mainstream media...how was ignoring Paul before working now?

    December 21, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  10. tankrothchild

    Ron Paul 2012

    December 21, 2011 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  11. Myth Romney is All Fluff and No Subtance, an ENTITLED OUT-of-TOUCH Boy with NO SPINE acting Like GW Bush Mini Me

    Myth Romney and his Super PACs are throwing all the dirt and kitchen sink at Newt Gingrinch, but he is still tanking in the polls!

    YEP, CORPORATIONS ARE PEOPLE TOO MY FRIEND!!!

    December 21, 2011 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  12. jersey3038

    Our country is so far off track that we need a president who has drastic changes in mind. Ron Paul is the only one not offering more of the same. Newt's pole numbers scare me.

    December 21, 2011 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  13. OMGDUMB

    Seriously?? Did anyone actually watch this debate?? He sounded like a bumbling fool throughout the debate. Called congresswoman Bauchmen SHE. Said that the latest report from the nuclear watchdog was a fabrication to go to war.. OMG. People are dumb to even think this man has the mental capacity to be a governor let alone president is besides me.

    December 21, 2011 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  14. tolan

    I LOVE RON PAUL!!!!!!!!!!!!! If you don't know who he is, you need to...he's going to be our next (and best!) president!

    December 21, 2011 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  15. freesouth

    Ron Paul's principles are the only hope for the survival of our republic.

    December 21, 2011 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  16. Dave

    Ron Paul is going to win Iowa. New Hampshire allows Independents to vote in the primaries and Ron Paul has overwhelming support from Independents, so we can count on a win in New Hampshire. Once we take those first two states, all the other Ron Paul supporters who were planning on voting for 'Plan b' because they bought into the media hype that Ron Paul was unelectable, will eventually see that he actually is electable and that he is the only person in the line up that will actually make America great again. We NEED RON PAUL 2012! Join the Revolution!

    December 21, 2011 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
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