Poll: Tight race in Iowa
December 23rd, 2011
12:00 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Tight race in Iowa

(CNN) – As the Iowa caucuses near, the race between the top tier Republican presidential candidates remains as close as ever, according to a new poll.

The American Research Group survey of likely Republican caucus goers released Friday showed Ron Paul, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich in a statistical tie for the lead, garnering 21%, 20% and 19% respectively.

Although the disparity between the top three candidates falls within the margin of error, this was the first ARG poll in which Paul received the top spot.

A similar survey taken in the first-in-the-nation caucus state earlier in the month showed Gingrich, the former House speaker, with 22%, Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, with 20% and Paul, the Texas congressman, with 17%.

In the latest poll, Texas Gov. Rick Perry came in at 9%, followed by Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota with 8%, former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman with 6% and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania with 4%.

ARG surveyed 600 likely Iowa caucus goers between Dec. 19 and Dec. 22 with a sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Iowa • Polls
soundoff (56 Responses)
  1. Rudy NYC

    This type of stuff is not the Christmas wish list of the Republican establishment. Not only is their party fracturing in the Congress, but the presidential race has taken on a life completely of its' own. Happy holidays, conservatives.

    December 23, 2011 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  2. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    None of the above is polling better than any individual republican, and that is for good reason.

    December 23, 2011 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  3. diridi

    No matter who wins this Corn farming belted areas, one thing for sure, GOP is fractured, not believable, and plays all nasty drama for the good of Oil, Rich, Corporate, Greed. People need to come to earth, and think. We are heading in right direction. Bush and Reagan mess takes full length of time.....not overnight problem and not immediate solution. Malls are full, employment is going good, and stocks are not falling like Sept 2008. Obama2012.

    December 23, 2011 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  4. OnlyRonPaul

    Ron Paul, forever. We need freedom, not more of ANYTHING else.

    December 23, 2011 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  5. Greg

    Rudy- Thank you for your kind words and support. Conservatives are very fortunate to have a choice in the upcoming election though. The poor liberals are more deserving of your concern. Maybe for Christmas Santa will bring them someone to challenge Obama for the nomination. If that's the only choice they're given, they are the truly unfortunate ones.

    December 23, 2011 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  6. Anonymous

    Ron Paul is accurate when it comes to the economy but when it comes to everything else he is a liberal in sheep's clothing !! He is anti American, anti Israeli, supports Iran and blames us for 911. As for the Dems, they used the race card against the Clinton's to get Barack Obama elected. Pulling the race card is an act of desperation because the Democrats have nothing good to run on. As for IOWA, get your heads out of your butt or next time you will be irrelevant !!

    December 23, 2011 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  7. vic , nashville ,tn

    20% still like G.W.Bush Presidency so they will vote for Mitt Romney, 21% really looking for real change they will vote for Ron Paul

    6% who support Jon Huntsman smart, they understand the problems

    Jon Huntsman politically best candidate he can win independents vote
    Jon Huntsman is intelligent, sensible, good person and true conservative

    December 23, 2011 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  8. Duke One

    Ron Paul is correct when he talks about limited government but on everything else he is a liberal in sheep's clothing !! He is anti American, anti Israeli, supports Iran and blames us for 911. As for the Democrats, they pulled the race card even on the Clinton's just to get Barack Obama elected ! The race card is an act of desperation because the Democrats have nothing good to run on. As for IOWA, get your heads out of your butts or next time you will be irrelevant.

    December 23, 2011 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  9. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    The Kochs and Karl Rove will never let Ron Paul win the republican nomination. They are planning on investing $1 billion on the man of many Mittens.

    December 23, 2011 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  10. GI Joe

    Who cares – we're sick of listening to all of them already. A complete "change channels" for the remainder of time they will be showing their hypocritical mugs on TV.

    December 23, 2011 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  11. Four and The Door

    In view of the lack of leadership in Washington as we read about yet another short term non-decision from this administration, the Republican nomination process is that much more exciting.

    Light at the end of the tunnel.

    December 23, 2011 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  12. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    It may be hard for Ron Paul to distance himself from the racially insensitive remarks he signed his name to, but knew nothing about them. At any rate, I wish Ron Paul success in kicking the man of many Mittens butt.

    December 23, 2011 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  13. Truth and Nothing But the Truth

    > None of the above is polling better than any individual republican, and that is for good reason

    Maybe in the looney areas of the country like San Francisco, but ever where else, Obama looses handily to the local dog catcher. Better get used to saying President Romney. Another 4 years of Obama and the country is a goner before the end of his next term. The country will get 2 more downgrades because of the ruinaway debt and the debt costs will force massive cuts or massive tax increases. Judgement day is approaching at light speed with Obama at the helm.

    December 23, 2011 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  14. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Greg: We stand by our choice, our President. We giddily and proudly anticipate pitting him against whoever you've got left standing after your primaries. Your so-called options are shooting themselves in the foot, taking themselves out of the game before the starting gun has even been fired. Every other week you and other Conservatives have to pin your hopes on the next loser, as the clown lineup whittles down to The Best of the Worst the GOP has EVER had to offer.
    Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays, to one and all.

    December 23, 2011 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  15. Greg

    Duke One- He never blamed us for 9-11, he said the same thing the CIA said. It was "blowback" from our foreign policies. It's in the CIA report, and it's the reason the terrorists gave. It's foolish and dangerous to blindly accept the idea that they attacked us because they "hate our freedom". As for Israel, he isn't against them at all, he wants to allow them to defend themselves and to make their own decisions. Why should they have to ask us for approval to defend their borders? As long as we foot the bill, they are beholden to us. It isn't Israel alone that he wants to cut aid to anyways, it's ALL foreign aid. We are borrowing money to give away, that's just a bad idea no matter how you look at it. Paul is a TRUE conservative. You are looking for a neo-con, you might want to learn the difference.

    December 23, 2011 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  16. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    The republicans have been waging class warfare for over 30 years. I choose to be on the side of 160 million workers, and not the chosen 300,000 that control most of our wealth.

    December 23, 2011 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  17. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    If right wingnuts were truly concerned about our national debt, they would have spoken out against the BTC and the unnecessary war.

    December 23, 2011 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  18. Jerry

    i just hope they don't "off" Ron Paul. His ideas are too good for the many, and not good news for the "few".

    December 23, 2011 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  19. A Reply To 'Anonymous'

    Ron Paul is not anti-Israel, he's anti-foreign aid. We cannot afford to give handouts any longer because we're broke. You misunderstand his foreign policy horribly.. The CIA said our militarily occupation in the middle east was the reason for 9/11, they don't hate our freedom. You should actually read about the man instead of spewing nonsense.

    December 23, 2011 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  20. Chuck

    @ Wire Palladin S.F.

    Take a closer look at Ron Paul. He's been calling for an end to these unnecessary wars of aggression for decades! His position is to only go to war with a declaration from congress. You go in only when the situation is vital to our national security, win the war and come home.

    Ron Paul 2012!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    December 23, 2011 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  21. Greg

    DominicanMama- Considering that only Americans elect American Presidents, I'm not really too concerned with your opinion. The GOP isn't running against President Fernandez.

    December 23, 2011 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  22. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    I think I have it figured out: Republicans are afraid to spend money on any project that will not last forever, even though it may create hundreds of thousand of jobs. That is why they oppose fixing bridges, highways, schools, and cities, because they will need to be fixed again in 25 years.

    December 23, 2011 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  23. Jrdz

    The sad thing is The GOP Clown Car will still end up going off the cliff with still no clear winner. Sorry Mittens you flip flop more than a wind sock as for the rest your kidding me right???

    December 23, 2011 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  24. Four and The Door

    Wire Palladin, S. F.
    The republicans have been waging class warfare for over 30 years. I choose to be on the side of 160 million workers, and not the chosen 300,000 that control most of our wealth.
    ________________________________________________________________________________________________
    How have Obama's policies played out for the 160 million workers after 3 years? I know. Not so good, huh?
    The best thing for everyone is to recover the economy. None of what Obama has tried so far really did anything so I can't wait to hear his new ideas. He does have some, right?
    Romney 2012.

    December 23, 2011 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  25. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Chuck – If it were up to Ron Paul and the republicans in congress, Ghaddafi would still be killing his own citizens, bin Laden would be directing attacks against the US, and Israel would have taken it on the chin at the UN. Paul is trying to do what China did by isolating themselves from civilization a hundred years ago. Big mistake. Never the less, I wish Paul well against the big money power brokers who have chose Mittens.

    December 23, 2011 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
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