Polls: Tied up for 2nd and 3rd in NH
January 10th, 2012
09:53 AM ET
3 years ago

Polls: Tied up for 2nd and 3rd in NH

Manchester, New Hampshire (CNN) - A new day, but the same old story.

The final two polls here in the Granite State leading up to Tuesday's first-in-the-nation primary both indicate Mitt Romney holding a 19 point lead over the rest of the field of candidates in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

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And according to poll surveys, Rep. Ron Paul of Texas and former Utah governor and former U.S. ambassador to China Jon Huntsman are battling for second place, with former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich in a dead heat for fourth place, and Texas Gov. Rick Perry in a distant sixth place.

According to the final Suffolk University/7 News tracking poll, released early Tuesday morning, Romney had the support of 37% of likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire. Romney is very well known here in New Hampshire. He was governor of neighboring Massachusetts for four years last decade, and was often on Boston TV, which much of the heavily populated southern New Hampshire receives. Romney also owns a vacation home in the Granite State and has spent lots of time over the past six years in the state campaigning for himself or for fellow Republicans.

The tracking poll indicates Paul, who's making his third bid for the White House, is at 18% and Huntsman, who skipped campaigning in Iowa (which held the first contest in the primary caucus calendar) to spend all of his time stumping in New Hampshire, is at 16%. Paul's two point margin is well within the poll's sampling error.

Perry, who left the Granite State following the back to back debates this weekend, is now campaigning in South Carolina, which holds its primary on January 21. He's at one percent in the tracking poll. Seven percent were undecided.

An American Research Group poll released Monday night also indicates Romney grabs the support of 37% of likely GOP primary voters, with Huntsman at 18%, Paul at 17%, Santorum at 11%, Gingrich at 10% and Perry at one percent, with four percent undecided.
Both polls were conducted Sunday and Monday.

The ARG survey indicates Romney leading among registered Republicans, with 46%, followed by Paul at 15%, Huntsman at 13% and Gingrich and Santorum both at 10%. Huntsman and Romney are tied at 25% each among independent voters, with Paul at 20%, Santorum at 13% and Gingrich at 10%

The American Research Group poll questioned 600 likely primary voters in N.H. by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points. The Suffolk University tracking poll questioned 500 likely primary voters in N.H. by telephone.

– Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN


Filed under: 2012 • New Hampshire • Polls • Republicans
soundoff (30 Responses)
  1. Bob

    Santorum and Gingrich are battling for 4th place?

    January 10, 2012 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  2. Joe

    Ron Paul should name Huntsman as his running mate. Liberty, Peace and diplomacy.

    January 10, 2012 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  3. Larry in Houston

    I think Huntsman hurt himself, in that last Debate, when he spoke a few seconds in Chinese, to Romney. He sounds like he would "further" sell us out to China, as Bush & Obama did.
    Since Ron Paul isn't going to come in , in First place – I guess the country will have to settle with Romney.

    January 10, 2012 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  4. Rudy NYC

    CNN, you have your places ( 2nd, 3rd, 4th, etc) a little mixed up. You have Romney in first, which is good. You state Paul and Huntsman are tied for 2nd, which is also correct. But then you state Gingrich and Santorum tied for 3rd, which is incorrect. They are tied for 4th, not 3rd. But then you make up for it by correctly stating that Perry is in a distant 6th place.

    January 10, 2012 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  5. Lynda/Minnesota

    Huntsman will come in 2nd. Oh, and BTW, news flash for Romney supporters. Lose the Romney signs when Mitt gives media interviews. Strategically positioning people holding signs behind him while he's talking into the camera comes across as incredibly silly and foolishly distracting. We already "get" that he's Mitt Romney.

    January 10, 2012 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  6. Bob Moore

    RON PAUL IS UNELECTABLE! He's a die hard non-interventionist, and this is too scary for Americans in the nuclear age with so many crazies in the world.

    Jon Huntsman is also libertarian and anti-establishment. +the most successful Governor alive.

    THERE IS ONLY ONE CANDIDATE OBAMA FEARS jon2012com

    January 10, 2012 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  7. Puddin

    Huntsman is the most level-headed of the whole bunch.....

    January 10, 2012 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  8. J

    Jon who?

    January 10, 2012 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  9. Patrick

    Wow they can't even mention Buddy Roemer who is tied with Perry? That's crap.

    January 10, 2012 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  10. Johnny

    ron paul...really

    January 10, 2012 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  11. bill

    boy – the job destroyer up 19 points in NH. they must have 1% unemployment up there. oops i said 1% – no pun intended.

    January 10, 2012 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  12. clarke

    Put Huntsman in their folks. He is the only sane one, with a lot to offer the people. I believe he is what America needs for all the people, not just special interest with all the bucks. Mitt is the super pac and lots of money and special interest and lots of them..

    January 10, 2012 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  13. eddieb

    Go huntsman go. the only one that makes any sense.

    January 10, 2012 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  14. James

    It's not irony that the only time we hear about the margin of error in a poll is when it shows Ron Paul with a lead? Our media continues its blatant obfuscation. Maybe we the people should investigate why?

    January 10, 2012 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  15. Rich

    Gotta love how they point out specifically that "Paul's two point margin is well within the poll's sampling error." What is with the MSM.. always finding some way to bash or discredit Dr. Paul. When they talk about the American Research Group Poll they don't mention anything about the margin of error when saying Hunstman is in 2nd place with 18%.

    January 10, 2012 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  16. tony

    These are just a handful of examples of all the people who work so well together for our benefit in congress.

    January 10, 2012 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
  17. LWZRGHT

    there are three Ricks I want out of this race. Santorum, Perry, and.....and.....

    "EPA?"

    Yeah, that's it. Rick EPA.

    January 10, 2012 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  18. Saboth

    Looks like everyone is going for the corporation-friendly "safe" candidate. When your sparring partner is a barely-literate governor from TX, it's obvious you will shine by comparison. It will be hilarious when he is absolutely obliterated by Obama in debates and interviews though.

    January 10, 2012 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  19. rufus

    Telephone polls, if they do not involve cell numbers, will not include a large number of young people (who will gravitate to Ron Paul).

    January 10, 2012 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  20. c

    No new wars! Support Peace, Support Ron Paul.

    January 10, 2012 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  21. Eye of Newt

    It looks like Gingrich is going to be completely humiliated. He is a failure, by every possible measure or standard, but most importantly by his entire lack of character and integrity.

    Callista has to be wondering, "why did I sign that prenup?"

    Its great to watch. You can't buy entertainment like this.

    January 10, 2012 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  22. v_mag

    Once again, we're talking about what's going on in small towns in NH, when we should all be outraged to be manipulated so by this system. If America had a real republic, we would never allow a couple of small states, easily controlled by the 2 major parties, to select the choices we have for the most powerful person in the world.

    We need a single, universal primary day, nationwide, where a range of candidates can be selected. Not just Dumb and Dumber from the major parties. And we need direct election of president and vice president. We don't need an anti-democratic Electoral College between us and who we allow to sit in the Oval Office. That system led to 8 years of America getting bushwhacked, from which we are still suffering.

    January 10, 2012 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  23. tembousa

    In a great field of highly educated, highly experienced candidates, it is a buffet of wonderful choices and that's the difficulty in eliminating any of these fine men.
    The liberals, who elected a man with no experience and zero credentials, try to claim this is a "weak" field. If the depth and breadth of knowledge and experience is weak with this group, how would they define a part-time junior senator?
    Could be why they are so desperate to supplement Obama with another VP...anything in the wolrld to add novelty and interest to distract from his hideous record and arrogant attitude.

    January 10, 2012 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  24. Sarah

    If Huntsman is even in the top 4 in New Hampshire, it is even more reason to believe that the New Hampshire primary doesn't matter much. They are a tiny state that wields too much power in our election process. This is true for Democrats and Republicans. I am starting to think that a new primary election method should be developed. Say maybe where 10 states are bundled together on the same night. 5 Nights of voting. It would give more states a opportunity to have a voice in the process.

    January 10, 2012 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  25. tembousa

    From 1st place to 6th, alll of them have years more relevant and valuable experience, and much more depth of knowledge than Obama, the intern-in-chief.

    January 10, 2012 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
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