Poll: Romney, Santorum tied with Obama in Florida
January 11th, 2012
10:31 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Romney, Santorum tied with Obama in Florida

(CNN) - A new poll shows President Barack Obama statistically tied with Republican presidential frontrunner Mitt Romney in Florida, a state that holds its primary on January 31 and widely expected to be a swing state in the general election.

According to a Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday, Romney took in 46% of support among Florida's registered voters, while Obama came in at 43%.

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The three percentage-point margin falls within the range of the poll's sampling error.

Also significant, Rick Santorum took high marks in a hypothetical matchup against Obama. The former Pennsylvania senator received 43% compared to Obama's slightly higher 45 - also representing a margin within the sampling error.

While Obama carries the state's voters in the 18-49 age range, Santorum beat Obama - 49% to 40% - among voters in the 50 to 64 demographic and 53% to 39% among those 65 and older, two key voting blocs in the Sunshine State.

Obama narrowly won Florida in 2008 against Arizona Sen. John McCain by three points.

The poll was conducted entirely before New Hampshire's Tuesday primary, a contest Romney won by a big lead over his GOP rivals. Instead, the survey occurred in the days that followed the Iowa caucuses, where Romney essentially tied with Santorum at 25%, edging him out by only eight votes.

The Quinnipiac University Polling Institute surveyed 1,412 registered voters by telephone January 4-8, with a sampling error of 2.6 percentage points.

– CNN Chief White House Correspondent Jessica Yellin contributed to this story.


Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (92 Responses)
  1. AL in West Palm Beach

    I live in FL...no one called me.

    Oh wait...you have to be afraid of technology to still own a landline....those who don't have landlines go to Obama by a mile.

    January 11, 2012 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  2. Orchid333

    The fact that they're taking this poll during a highly anticipated Republican primary season where Repubs are running ad after ad and Obama is running nothing really says a lot. I think we'll see a big up-swing for Obama once the actual Presidential race begins.

    January 11, 2012 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  3. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    There's a lot of time between now and then. Who knows what is going to happen. I suspect that Romney is going to have to explain why he was a corporate raider while owning/directing Bain.

    January 11, 2012 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  4. Indy

    Romney should have a very good lead in the polls right now, it is all about Republicans right now so Mitts should be well ahead of everyone in the polls with all the coverage and speaking time and excitement going on you would expect Romney to be riding a high. When the election comes against Obama it will be much different, the Obama team has the book on Mitts and its not that great of a story.Romney has bet 30 million dollars on getting to the Whitehouse and its not for sale unless Mitts can negotiate a hostile take over from the middle class.

    January 11, 2012 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  5. Anonymous

    1. Digging into the numbers, it looks as if McCain's 2008 vote tally was split amoung the other candidates, with Romney on the losing end. Romney kept his own supporters, yes. But he didn't gain much from McCain supporters.

    2. Undecided voters – if there is such a voter – aren't breaking for Mitt Romney.

    2. As was with the Iowa caucas, overall Republican voter turnout is nearly the same as in 2008, give or take a percentage point. For a party that is running on "anyone but Obama", poor economic conditions, etc, etc, Republican voters certainly aren't running to the polling booth to vote their guy in with anything close to an anti-Obama landslide fever.

    January 11, 2012 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  6. tedt

    People of florida do you realise your cutting your own throats repubes want to cut it all out social security, medicare, medicaid.any entitlement toward working class

    January 11, 2012 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  7. diridi

    Florida will realize, Romney position is to Ban your Social Security, Privatize it, Ban Medicare, Repeal health care, etc, and this dude is for Rich, Corporate, Greed, and Oil, not for American-Middle-Class. In this worst economy position done by GOP idiots, Stocks are not falling like 2008 Sept. 777. So do not vote if you have head to any of these GOP thugs. o.k, Romney sells USA to CHINA. Ships Jobs to overseas, wherever the Cheap labor is.......................

    January 11, 2012 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  8. ThinkAgain

    President Obama has a record of accomplishment in turning the economy around, 22 straight months of job creation, troops home from Iraq, Osama bin Laden in a watery grave, health care reform protecting the most vulnerable among us, reinvesting in our infrastructure and our future, etc., etc., etc.

    What do the Repubs have? Tax cuts for the rich? 10 years of that has resulted in jobs overseas and layoffs here at home.

    Re-electing President Obama is a no-brainer.

    Obama/Biden 2012

    January 11, 2012 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  9. Larry in Houston

    I can't see it tied -to be perfectly honest. It's all going to come down to the Jewish Vote down there in Florida. Those people are wanting a candidate to continue to send Billions to their homeland, period. I mean, where do people in congress (or for that matter, where do people want to go,) when they retire ? Surely they don't want to stay in an area where their elbows & knees hurt, so they end up going to florida to retire.

    January 11, 2012 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  10. Larry L

    Republicans tend to support candidates with a very pro-war agenda. I hope folks really understand how burned-out our Army and Marine Corps have become during the ten years of war they have endured. A war with Iran, something the Republicans seem to favor, would require reinstatement of the military draft – plain and simple. I'm certain Romney's sons wouldn't be going to war but would find some safe haven the children of the ultra-rich always seem to locate.

    January 11, 2012 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  11. John

    Romney made his money chopping up companies,stripping the money out of them and getting rid of as many employees as possible for the investors. . He is a hatchet man who could care less about the average worker......

    January 11, 2012 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  12. getu

    Florida, If you have brain in your head just think what you get by electing Rep. and then I would like to see you guys crying when lossing your retierment, SS , medicare and medicaid while the rich gets reach and reacher.

    January 11, 2012 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  13. willie floyd

    President Obama can win the election just by running on his record without spinning dirt as the Reps. do. I have 3 folded Vets.' flags in my home. Repealing DADT in and of itself is reason to admire him. You Reps. can jump all over me if you wish, but I believe any citizen who is willing to lay down their life for our country deserves respect and honor.
    LET THE CRITICISM!!

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012

    January 11, 2012 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  14. BeStill

    Mitt Romney said that he wants to build the World Largest Military. So that means that his sons will be the first to be drafted. I know he was thinking about my SONS.

    January 11, 2012 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
  15. GI Joe

    If I had Romney's money, instead of a 13,000 sq. ft. mansion in Calif., I'd make sure more homeless vets had a warm place to sleep.

    January 11, 2012 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  16. tee66

    FL, Voters You have a choice Romney and Scott or Obama i say you best choice is stay with Obama in 2012, And as for the seniors in FL, you have a choice to keep your medicaid, care and SS or take the Paul Ryan Romney plan. I think you should take the Obama plan.

    January 11, 2012 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  17. once upon a horse

    wasn't Obama trailing in Florida at one time? With them having the least most popular govenor in the country that can do nothing but help the Democrats.

    January 11, 2012 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  18. Sarah

    @ThinkAgain
    Oh lets do drum up the war agenda. Who was it that again that started Vietnem and Korean wars?
    Harry Truman and Lyndon Johnson. Neither of those two countries posed any direct threat to teh United States

    January 11, 2012 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  19. Proudly Independent Voter

    @Anonymous
    You forget that us Independents can't vote in party primaries unless we change registration.

    January 11, 2012 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  20. vic , nashville ,tn

    Romney is media darling now but exit polls doesn’t favor media darling

    January 11, 2012 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  21. Sniffit

    "Poll: Romney, Santorum tied with Obama in Florida"

    Well, we know what THAT means when it comes down to a tie in an election in FL. Don't count your chickens too early tho, GOPers.

    January 11, 2012 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  22. Fair is Fair

    Tied with Santorum? I think Rick is a nice guy and all, but for an incumbent president to be tied with an ex-senator little known outside his own state is, well... delicious!!

    January 11, 2012 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  23. Carla Nelson

    Florida should realize that the Govenor cut people unemployment checks. These people have one of the highest foreclosure it is they need to ask Ronmey is he going to write out a check for those who have lost their homes.

    January 11, 2012 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  24. Dee

    The things to look at with these people the audience is all white and does not represent people of America something is wrong with this picture. It could be that they represent the 1% and not the 99%.

    January 11, 2012 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  25. mittensonkittens

    Democrat congressman Cardoza said after 3 years of working with Obama , the president is like an arrogant lecturer who continually believed he was right and would admonish his staff and members of Congress about “what they could learn from him.”

    January 11, 2012 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
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