Florida polls show Romney retaining lead
January 29th, 2012
11:35 AM ET
2 years ago

Florida polls show Romney retaining lead

(CNN) – New polls released over the weekend show Mitt Romney maintaining a lead over this three Republican presidential rivals in the final days before Tuesday's Florida primary.

The former Massachusetts governor leads former House Speaker Newt Gingrich by double digits in the surveys, while former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum trails the pair. Texas Rep. Ron Paul, who has chosen not to campaign in Florida and spent Saturday in Maine, is further behind the pack.

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One poll that came out Sunday morning and straddled the Thursday night CNN debate in Jacksonville, showed Romney at 42%, Gingrich at 27%, Santorum at 16% and Paul at 11%.

If Santorum were to leave the race, the NBC News/Marist poll showed Romney and Gingrich splitting his support, with Romney's backing rising to 49% and Gingrich's to 33%.

According to the poll results from after the CNN debate, Santorum got a 5% boost while Romney lost three percentage points and Gingrich dropped four points. Paul's support didn't change following the debate.

Romney also led in a Tampa Bay Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 survey of likely GOP voters conducted Jan. 24 through Jan. 26 – before the CNN debate – and released Saturday evening. Romney received 42% to 31% for Gingrich, 14% for Santorum and 6% for Paul.

And an American Research Group survey, taken entirely after the latest televised debate, showed Romney in the top spot with 43% support from likely GOP primary voters, followed by Gingrich with 32%, Santorum with 11% and Paul with 8%.

A last-minute surge would have less of an impact in Florida, which allows early voting and absentee ballots for the primary, than in some other states. So far, more than 400,000 votes have been cast, according to the Florida Department of State.

The NBC survey of 3,141 likely Republican primary voters was conducted between Jan. 25 and Jan. 27, and has a sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. The Tampa Bay Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 poll of 800 people has a sampling error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. The ARG survey of 600 likely GOP voters was conducted between Jan. 27 and Jan. 28 with a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Also see:

Florida governor: Why Latinos back Romney

Santorum cancels events after admitting daughter to hospital

Voight, McCain join Romney for lighthearted rally

Ron Paul's caucus focus


Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Mitt Romney • Newt Gingrich • Rick Santorum • Ron Paul
soundoff (70 Responses)
  1. Aztec Phil

    How can you tell if New Gringrich has committed a crime? He accuses you of it.

    January 29, 2012 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  2. Jose L. Garza

    None of this two can win they only reprecent the greedy super rich!!

    January 29, 2012 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  3. JB

    So this will end up as a spendathon between Mitt and Obama.

    January 29, 2012 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  4. TJeff1776

    Newt has been involved in three(3) things in his entire life- (1) family (2) Politics, and (3) teaching politics. To be perfectly honest.....he failed at all three. Since gov't consists of Judicial, Legislative, and Administrative and failing at number (2), he is now shooting for number (3) of which he literally knows NOTHING whatever about. He has never built, supervised, or been in any form of business whatever. One writer stated "but neither did Obama until three years ago". Point made.

    January 29, 2012 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  5. heather

    there is no honor among thiefs, the same is true about politics. You should stick with studying the man, the issue he is telling you he supports, look into his ethics, principles, and values before he started running for President, forget the cramp he is spouting about his opponent (because they all will do this) and vote accordingly. I vote Mitt Romney. When Newt was Speaker of the house, he was not an honorable man with no ethics, his personal life is questionable. He would do the same if President.

    January 29, 2012 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  6. gimmesometruth

    This article says if Santorum left the race his vote would be split between Romney and Gingrich. And if I had wings i'd be a boeing 747. The spin never stops in the media. Tweedle dum is in office and tweedle dee must be nominated to run against him. It's called presiding over the decline of America by big corporate interests.

    January 29, 2012 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
  7. Bill

    romney and santorum on the same ticket won't work. romney will pick the devil – hey, devils are people too. and don't worry about him not paying taxes, he uses all ligit loop holes, i swear it.

    January 29, 2012 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  8. oldsoldierboy

    Romney paid a 0% tax rate on his wages. He hasn't worked in 5 years yet after he's nominated he'll give us the details on how he will create what he hasn't had in years. Stay tuned.

    January 29, 2012 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  9. Pat

    This country has a serious problem when they're voting for people like Romney and Gringrich and Obama to be the next president. Americans everywhere should be ashamed. Shame on you people

    January 29, 2012 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  10. QZ

    I don't see any difference between G.W. Bush and Mitt Romney, other than faces and names.

    January 29, 2012 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  11. John

    I like Romney and I'll vote for him. Romney is a highly successful guy and like Obama is a Harvard law graduate.I only question whether or not he can hold his own in a debate against Obama who is such a skilled debater.

    January 29, 2012 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  12. elizabeth

    Thank God....I am Obama all the way...but the idea of Newt actually winning this thing had me concerned for democracy.....Mitt is a viable candidate....not my cup of tea....but would not be an embarassment to the country.

    January 29, 2012 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  13. Steve

    Amazing how dense the electorate is – they deserve the charlatan in the white house. All this nonsense about the amount the "idle rich" pay in taxes. Mitt Romney and other rich people do not need to invest their money and will not if the tax rate on capital gains goes too high. WE suffer if they do not invest that money in new and/or established businesses. This is not about taxing what they already have (they already paid taxes on that) it is about taxing how much they make on investments. I may risk a dollar for a possible return of 85 cents, I won't for a return of 60 cents unless it is a sure thing. At that point I would buy tax free bonds or put the money in my mattress instead of risking it. it is not about "fairness" or rich vs poor but incentivizing people to risk money in the economy.

    January 29, 2012 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  14. Freedom

    RON PAUL 2012!!

    January 29, 2012 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  15. T'sah From Virginia

    ►Florida polls show Romney retaining lead◄
    Of course he’s in the LEAD while the others impede
    And allow Romney to act like Bachmann stating lies and non-facts
    But that’s okay because in the General, he’ll be forced to retract!!

    Obama 2012

    January 29, 2012 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  16. acapulco liem

    I can’t vote for someone that changes his mind to fit who he’s talking to with the issues at hand. Your answers are shallow with insufficient thought given to the problem it’s a broken promise it’s the equivalence to a lie. His problem with the methods that his company Bain works under, is also disturbing loading a company up with debt to bankrupt the company you acquired and leaving the bank holding the defaulted note, didn’t that bank also have stock holders that lost value in their stock? You know when someone is out of touch when he says that he created 100 thoughts that pay an average of $9.25 an hour and expect you live on that, I don’t know anyone that can live on $19,240.00 per year without help.
    Now he claims that he believes in immigrants do to his father being born in Mexico, his grandfather was illegal in Mexico. There is no paperwork showing that he entered Mexico legally and was a wanted man in U.S. what a hypocrite. A vote for Romney is a vote for fraud, broken promise, a way to enrich himself and his friends.

    January 29, 2012 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  17. frootyme

    The so called 'polls' itself is a media propaganda to influence one candidate over the other.
    Let the primaries and elections take place without the media intervention. That will be true elections.

    January 29, 2012 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  18. Willie Floyd

    These two have to be the absolute epitomy of the phrase "the lesser of two evils". They are both vile!!

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012

    January 29, 2012 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  19. Mike A. , CO

    They are both 'basically' criminals and should be locked up to keep society safe.

    January 29, 2012 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  20. David in FL

    If Santorum drops, Newt and Mitt split his supporters

    January 29, 2012 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  21. gimmesometruth

    Romney will bring down the Republicans. He is the wrong messenger. He needs to be stopped. Gingrich and Santorum should get together, perhaps divide the states and collect the delegates, then let the convention decide between them or even a third candidate who would be a respectable choice such as Guliani or anyone but Romney who is a disgrace to the political system.

    January 29, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  22. Julian Alien

    Obama,Newt,Romney,and Santorum all want more of the same.They make me sick to look at them.

    January 29, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  23. Eileen

    God help us all if Romney becomes President!!

    January 29, 2012 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  24. Mark C

    "...if Santorum had dropped...throw a good portion of Santorum's conservative votes toward NEWT (as most polls show tat would be the case as they can't or won't go for Willard Mitt)...and this thing becomes a head-to-head political horse race."

    Actually, half-wit, if you'd bothered to read the article, they polled that. Santorum's vote went equally to Romney and the lizard, changing the race not one bit.

    January 29, 2012 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  25. ludvig

    Further proof that there is something to the study in England that conservatives have lower IQ's. Republicans are jealous of poor people while Democrats are jealous of rich people. It's obvious who is the smarter in the above two comparisons.

    January 29, 2012 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
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