Poll: Obama leads GOP candidates in Virginia
February 8th, 2012
12:52 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama leads GOP candidates in Virginia

(CNN) – President Barack Obama edged out Mitt Romney in a hypothetical general election match-up in Virginia, according to a new poll.

It is the first time the president led the former Massachusetts governor in the Super Tuesday state among registered voters in a Quinnipiac survey during this election cycle.

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Obama captured 47% to Romney's 43%, a wider margin than the two percentage point difference in the December results. But Romney fared better than his GOP rivals in the likely swing state.

Obama led Newt Gingrich 51% to 37%, Rick Santorum 49% to 41% and Ron Paul 47% to 40%.

The Republican White House hopefuls will first face each other on March 6, when Romney is favored to capture the state's 36 Republican delegates. Gingrich and Santorum failed to qualify for the ballot and Romney bested Paul among likely GOP primary voters 68% to 19%.

Sen. John McCain won the state's 2008 GOP primary with 50% of the vote to former Gov. Mike Huckabee's 40.7% and Paul's 4.5%. But then-Sen. Barack Obama went on to win the state in the general election with 52.63% of the vote to McCain's 46.44%.

Wednesday's poll also indicated the Senate battle is still neck and neck with former Democratic governor and Democratic National Committee Chair Tim Kaine capturing 45% support and former Republican governor and Sen. George Allen with 44% among likely voters.

The poll questioned 1,544 registered voters between Feb. 1 and Feb. 6 with a sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. The Republican primary results included 546 likely voters with a sampling error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Republicans • Virginia
soundoff (122 Responses)
  1. Jake

    I'm really looking forward to celebrating in November how many additional red states go blue in 2012!! It's the second half, America!!

    February 8, 2012 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  2. Thomas

    Today is put a smile on Eric Ivan Cantor day !

    February 8, 2012 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  3. Obama's Snake Oil on Sale - Git yur lies and deceit here!!

    It looks like my new and improved snake oil is having the desired affect. Problem is I don't think the effect will last until November. Maybe if I made sure food stamps covered the cost of my snake oil, I could get better covergae? Yes, I'm a bloody genius deserving of re-election. Four more years of snake oil it is!!

    February 8, 2012 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  4. Patriot Awesome

    The more the Republican candidates keep talking the further Obama's lead is going to get.

    February 8, 2012 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  5. GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE

    You're welcome back here anytime Mr. President. You'll carry Virginia just like you did in 2008. What people fail to realize is that Virginia is the home of our military. The President gets a a great deal of respect from the military. Especially after ending the war in Iraq and killing OBL. Not to mention that Gov. Kaine is going to wipe the floor with George "Macaca" Allen.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
    ELIZABETH WARREN 2012 & BEYOND

    February 8, 2012 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  6. The Real Tom Paine

    Cue frothing mob on stage right: this won't go over well with the acolytes of the Rightie Echo Chamber.

    February 8, 2012 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  7. NVa Native

    Of course he does, the majority here in Virginia think for themselves.

    February 8, 2012 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  8. vic , nashville ,tn

    Simple This congress hurting the party and GOP presidential candidate

    February 8, 2012 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  9. The Real Tom Paine

    Cute, Obama's Snake Oil on Sale – Git yur lies and deceit here!!, now do you actually have a case to make for your side, or is this yet another example of the GOP deficeit of ideas?

    February 8, 2012 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  10. Brando

    Stupid America. 4 years from now, Romney is still gonna get his 20M per year. But, you and your family are still gonna be without a job. See, even when he loses, he always wins :)

    February 8, 2012 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  11. GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE

    Come on back and you get you a slice from Anna's Pizza again Mr. President. We don't mind that traffic is complete chaos when you come to town. You should hold another rally downtown Newport News like you did in 08'. You know we got your back.

    February 8, 2012 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  12. Republican who supports President Obama

    @Jake – good point. I am keeping my fingers crossed. The GOP needs a nice cold shower to wake them up to reality.

    February 8, 2012 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  13. NVa Native

    “Obama's Snake Oil on Sale – Git yur lies and deceit here!!”
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    As vile and repulsive as the lies of the rightists are – there is no better way to identify who are the enemies of America than letting them spew their foul hate & fear.

    February 8, 2012 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  14. Rudy NYC

    "The poll is lying. The administration is lying. I won't believe anything else they say." Rush Limbaugh on Feb. 7, 2012

    February 8, 2012 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  15. Luke

    Who would ever vote for Newt the Grinch leader of the Immoral Minority when he failed to get on the ballot where he lives. Why is he still runnning.

    February 8, 2012 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  16. Katie

    OBAMA 2012!

    February 8, 2012 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  17. BLKMANinAmerica

    I might add, given the repuks are attempting once again to "run" on personality is it no surprise that my President is ahead in the polls? BTW all of the repuks have no personality at all it's like each of them running are a bland as pasta with no salt. Just give up hope repuks you have nothing to offer America but drama, greaf, hate, more drama, LIES, deciet and pure TRIFLINESS.

    February 8, 2012 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  18. Laverne

    Wonder if the the Trump endorsement is helping Willard Mitt Romney?? LOL!

    February 8, 2012 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  19. dave

    The right wing nut faction is insane.

    February 8, 2012 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  20. once upon a horse

    typical response the right will say it's a fake and the left will say that America is finally getting it right.

    February 8, 2012 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  21. Larry in Houston

    @Jake – I wish this state would go Blue – but i've only been down here for the last 7 yrs. From what I've heard, the best Governor they've ever had down here, was Ann Richards, and from what I've heard, she was one of the best governors, IF not the best they've ever had – here.

    Another thing : I disagree with you on us being in the 2nd Half . . . We're only at the bottom of the 4th Inning.

    February 8, 2012 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  22. Woman In California

    Polls are absolutely useless unless we turn out and vote. Please vote.

    Obama 2012

    February 8, 2012 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  23. Larry in Houston

    If Obama carries Virginia, come November, believe me, Virginia will end up voting "the cantor" Out. From what I understand, he's not well liked in Va. Just wait til his "Term" is up. Cantor will end up looking for another Job.

    February 8, 2012 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  24. ThatsIt21

    I find it sad that hypothetical elections are big news.

    February 8, 2012 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  25. PA_outofwork

    Polls; a waste of time; any Republican candidate would easily beat Obama in 2012. I’m guessing that’s a fact that the voters in Virginia new but the pollsters’ missed. In 2008; Obama was the first Democrat to win Virginia since 1964. In 2011 every Republican incumbent in the Virginia state House and Senate won; only the second time since the Civil War. The American voters will clean up Washington based on Obama and the Democrats record in Congress since 2007.

    February 8, 2012 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
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