Poll: Obama leads GOP candidates in Virginia
February 8th, 2012
12:52 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama leads GOP candidates in Virginia

(CNN) – President Barack Obama edged out Mitt Romney in a hypothetical general election match-up in Virginia, according to a new poll.

It is the first time the president led the former Massachusetts governor in the Super Tuesday state among registered voters in a Quinnipiac survey during this election cycle.

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Obama captured 47% to Romney's 43%, a wider margin than the two percentage point difference in the December results. But Romney fared better than his GOP rivals in the likely swing state.

Obama led Newt Gingrich 51% to 37%, Rick Santorum 49% to 41% and Ron Paul 47% to 40%.

The Republican White House hopefuls will first face each other on March 6, when Romney is favored to capture the state's 36 Republican delegates. Gingrich and Santorum failed to qualify for the ballot and Romney bested Paul among likely GOP primary voters 68% to 19%.

Sen. John McCain won the state's 2008 GOP primary with 50% of the vote to former Gov. Mike Huckabee's 40.7% and Paul's 4.5%. But then-Sen. Barack Obama went on to win the state in the general election with 52.63% of the vote to McCain's 46.44%.

Wednesday's poll also indicated the Senate battle is still neck and neck with former Democratic governor and Democratic National Committee Chair Tim Kaine capturing 45% support and former Republican governor and Sen. George Allen with 44% among likely voters.

The poll questioned 1,544 registered voters between Feb. 1 and Feb. 6 with a sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. The Republican primary results included 546 likely voters with a sampling error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Republicans • Virginia
soundoff (122 Responses)
  1. NVa Native

    PA_NeedsaJob – pulled right out of your butt as usual for GOPits.
    Look-out NO TRUTH ALL LIES has another butt-bomb of lies. Then Snake on the Brain flings another monkey pile. Denial is such an act of self-humiliation.

    Va will go true BLUE again for 2012. Stay in your Alabama state of mind, we don't need more GOP lies here in Va.
    n 2010 our religiously radical AG's seat went to a Dem. And after the state sees what GOP social engineering looks like – again – the GOP will be the minority in VA again. Each time the GOP gets weaker and weaker in Va. and everywhere else – because they are the party of weakness.
    Democratic Party is strong now because they are working for all Americans.

    February 8, 2012 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
  2. Rudy NYC

    BREAKING NEWS: Pres. Obama leads all GOP candidates in Virginia. In fact, President Barack Obama edged out the anti-Romney candidate in a hypothetical general election match-up in Virginia, according to a new poll

    February 8, 2012 02:33 pm at 2:33 pm |
  3. jo an

    Makes my day...I'm not ready to turn my body over to the Catholic Church....I hope the women in this country wake up...

    February 8, 2012 02:33 pm at 2:33 pm |
  4. Independent Voters

    This is a wake up call for us to get rid of the teaparty/republican out of the office.
    Romney is running scare now because Santorum won 3 of the major states.
    Obama/Biden will win by a landslide.

    February 8, 2012 02:34 pm at 2:34 pm |
  5. Pat

    The time has come to giveFilbuster proof majority to Obama in the House & Senate.

    February 8, 2012 02:34 pm at 2:34 pm |
  6. ThinkAgain

    Sounds like Virginia's waking up to reality!

    Obama/Biden 2012

    February 8, 2012 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  7. ThinkAgain

    @Pat: "The time has come to giveFilbuster proof majority to Obama in the House & Senate."

    Hear, hear! And as everyone knows, the Dems would STILL consult with the Repubs on legislation, because that's the model of consensus that President Obama has been trying to achieve since Day 1 of his presidency!

    Obama/Biden 2012

    February 8, 2012 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  8. ThinkAgain

    @Jake: "I'm really looking forward to celebrating in November how many additional red states go blue in 2012!! It's the second half, America!!"

    Just don't be complacent. The GOP is doing everything they can to suppress the vote, from changing voter registration deadlines to exclude college students, to demanding photo ID where none were required in the past.

    It is absolutely necessary for every Independent, Democrat and thinking Republican to GET OUT AND VOTE FOR PRESIDENT OBAMA in November 2012.

    Obama/Biden 2012

    February 8, 2012 02:40 pm at 2:40 pm |
  9. DaveC

    The lead is only going to get wider as the economy gets better, the Afgan war winds down, the jobless rate falls and people start to really look at Mitt, Rick and Newt. There is an old saying in politics; You can't win with your base. That is all Mitt, Rick and Newt have right now. They are like three guys fighting over bragging rights to a phone booth. I am an independent voter who really had a chance of being won over this round by a reasonable republican candidate (read: someone who didn't pander to the tea party, religious right wing conservative nut job wing of the republican party) but I would not even consider voting for any of these three. They couldn't spell leadership if they looked it up in the dictionary.

    February 8, 2012 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  10. Skiing

    It's SO funny how the Republicans will sit there and point out polls that show how frustrated Americans might be with the president and then say you can't trust polls when they show President Obama leading all the GOP contenders. Can't have it both ways folks. President Obama will be re-elected, get over it Republicans.

    February 8, 2012 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  11. TheMagusNYC

    My MN sister will vote for any anti-choice candidate, especially one condemning socialists who are giving her hard earned tax money to lazy poor people, and she has no concern for the subtlety of bizarre policy proposals. So the GOP can count on similarly focused voters, fortunately not in the majority.

    February 8, 2012 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  12. Skiing

    DaveC, good post. I think a lot of independents are being turned off by the extremist movement of the Republican Party. They are So desperate for the Tea party support that they are chasing away the rational Republicans and the Independents.

    February 8, 2012 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  13. carlos

    bad news for the hypocrite volture and it will get worse.......the robot is on his way out....and gone for good.

    February 8, 2012 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  14. Dovetail

    I live in section 8 housing, collect food stamps, welfare and get a free cell phone. I'm voting for Obama all the way. Why the heck go to work when somebody else will pick up the tab!!!!! Pass that kool-aid please and make mine a double!

    February 8, 2012 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  15. Will N.J.

    Like the young lady above said..... We still have to turn out the vote!!! Gas up the Caravan!

    Obama 2012!

    February 8, 2012 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  16. Marie MD

    I take it that the new rising of the confederacy by mcdonjell and cuccinelli is not being taken to heart by most virginians. And he wants to be vp. Good luck!

    February 8, 2012 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  17. i_know_everything

    the presidential elections are done and dusted, it's the house and senate that is up for grabs

    February 8, 2012 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  18. Obama's Snake Oil on Sale - Git yur lies and deceit here!!

    I'm lookin' good in the polls but I'm still worried because it's a tad too close for my taste. I'm going to have to get even more people to stop looking for work and join the food stamp rolls to get that unemployment number down into the 7's. Yes, more snake oil, smoke and mirrors WILL be the key to success in November. Before you know it, I'll have everybody on the government teet just begging for more of that good old government milk and honey. Venezuala here we come!!

    February 8, 2012 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  19. flix

    Any one of them will do. Obama has caused so much destruction that we may never get out of this hole.

    February 8, 2012 03:02 pm at 3:02 pm |
  20. VAIndependent

    OK I am one of those stuck in the middle independents who voted Bush twice, then Obama, now leaning toward Rep ONLY cuz of the economy and jobs not the crazy "I hate Obama communist, marxist, I love Jesus 24/7" talk. I just care about the economic issues period keep the social nonsense out of it and go to your right or left corners and sit back while we the independents decide the election. And Romney? That 47th in the nation (Mass) job creation kinda trumps the "I ran a business" argument. No thanks to Romney. If economy sux in Nov I'll go Rep if it comes back its a Dem...

    February 8, 2012 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  21. tstorm

    Republicans have become a party of extremists. I'm so turned off by the crazy statements, extreme narrow-minded views, and whacky remarks by these so-called "candidates" that there is no way I would trust the country's welfare to a Republican.

    February 8, 2012 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  22. The Dude

    GROVER NORQUIST and BILL MAHER are good friends. They are working together to destroy the GOP.

    February 8, 2012 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  23. Ruth

    For all sake americans and latin people living there... wish vote for the best one not another Obama but another different to make changes thing REALLY BETTER!!

    February 8, 2012 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  24. Mark of Tennessee

    Republicans are so last century

    February 8, 2012 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  25. FIELD1stSGT

    DON'T BELIEVE THIS OBAMA. YOU AND YOUR SUPPORTERS ARE GOING DOWN:
    "Socialism is a philosophy of failure,
    the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy,
    its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery.."
    – Winston Churchill

    These are possibly the 5 best sentences you'll ever read: Unfortunately, most voters don't know this.

    1. You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity, by legislating the wealth out of prosperity.

    2. What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.

    3. The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else.

    4. You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it.

    5. When half of the people get the idea that they do not have to work because the other half is going to take care of them; and when the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work, because somebody else is going to get what they work for, that is the beginning of the end of any nation.

    February 8, 2012 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
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