Polls: All knotted up between Romney & Santorum
February 13th, 2012
03:02 PM ET
8 years ago

Polls: All knotted up between Romney & Santorum

Washington (CNN) - The race for the Republican presidential nomination appears to be all tied up between former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, according to two new national surveys.

The latest edition of the Gallup Daily Tracking poll, released Monday afternoon, indicates that 32% of registered Republicans say they are backing Romney for their party's nomination, with Santorum at 30%, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 16% and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas at 8%. Romney's two point margin over Santorum is well within the survey's sampling error.

Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

Santorum has surged 14 points in the Gallup Daily Tracking poll over the past week, while Romney's dropped seven points, Gingrich has slipped six points, and Paul has edged down three points.

According to Pew Research Center Poll also released Monday, Santorum's at 30% nationally among Republicans and independent voters who lean towards the GOP, with Romney at 28%, Gingrich at 17% and Paul at 12%. Santorum's two point margin over Romney is well within the survey's sampling error.

The Pew poll indicates that Santorum has double digit leads over Romney among self-described tea party movement supporters and among white evangelical voters.

Both surveys were conducted entirely after Santorum's victories over Romney, Gingrich and Paul in the February 7 contests in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri.

National polling is often a lagging indicator, but a rise in such surveys can help candidates when it comes to building momentum, which can help with fundraising.

"The primary wins have given Santorum wind at his back, which is important, but he'll need the infrastructure to build a sail to capture that wind if he's to be successful in future states," says GOP strategist Doug Heye, a former communications director for the Republican National Committee.

Romney edged out Santorum Saturday in a non-binding straw poll at the Conservative Political Action Conference, and topped Paul by less than 200 votes in the Maine caucuses, which were announced later that day. Arizona and Michigan are next up in the primary and caucus calendar. Both states hold primaries on February 28th.

According to the Pew poll, President Barack Obama leads Romney 52%-44% in a hypothetical general election matchup, with Obama topping Santorum 53%-43% and beating Gingrich 57%-39%.

The Pew Poll was conducted Feb. 8-12, with 1,172 registered voters nationwide, including 552 Republican or independents who lean towards the GOP, questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error for registered voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus five percentage points for Republican nomination questions.

The Gallup Daily Tracking poll was conducted Feb. 8-12, with 1,000 registered Republicans questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PsteinhauserCNN

Also see:

Romney wins mask lingering questions about his candidacy

Santorum: 'This is a two-person race'

Political clashes coming over budget, payroll tax cut

Ron Paul forges ahead after finishing second in Maine


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls • Rick Santorum
soundoff (48 Responses)
  1. tstorm

    This has to be, by far, the stupidest group of Republicans to EVER run for president. No thanks.

    February 13, 2012 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  2. GROVER NORQUIST IS AN ENEMY OF THE STATE

    I can care less. The only poll that matters to me is the one in Michigan. If Willard loses there, it's a wrap. And I'm not talking Reynold's. I mean his campaign is over if he loses in Michigan. Mr. "Let Detroit go Bankrupt" is up the creek without a paddle.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
    ELIZABETH WARREN 2012 & BEYOND

    February 13, 2012 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  3. hangar13

    Romney is clearly trailing if one looks at it as a Romney versus non-Romney split, which is the reality of the situation. One need only look at today's headlines from Greece to see our future under Obama, who favors the exact same policies that led Greece to its current predicament. Whoever the GOP nominee turns out to be, it will be a far better choice than what we have now. Even if you agree with his Leftist social agenda, his economic policies will destroy the country. Ask yourself – are abortion and gay marriage worth that much to you?

    February 13, 2012 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  4. Mrbline62

    All knotted up? Sounds like a laxative commercial.

    February 13, 2012 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  5. Thomas

    @ tstorm

    You can ad out of touch and out of time.

    Somebody needs to till Rick and Mitt that the Leave it to Beaver TV show is not a new series !

    February 13, 2012 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  6. Al-NY,NY

    hangar13

    Ask yourself – are abortion and gay marriage worth that much to you?
    -------

    the answer......not nearly as much as it is with the tightie righties. it's a fundamental part of their "plank" and will do anything they can to make sure it goes their way according to the Talibanesque ideology

    February 13, 2012 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  7. Roger

    What a choice! I'm sticking with President Obama.

    February 13, 2012 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  8. Lady Midas

    Romney and Santorum Republican ticket would be a good dream team?

    February 13, 2012 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  9. Cam

    Romney will never be president because he is Obama. Santorum is a warmonger. It looks like it's the socialist will remain.

    February 13, 2012 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  10. Anonymous

    too much election fraud by the media and the State GOP orgs to tell how it is really going.

    February 13, 2012 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  11. Randy

    can't tell from all of the election fraud by the media and the State GOP orgs.

    February 13, 2012 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  12. Truth and Nothing But the Truth

    Romney is taking a page right out of Planet Fitness...

    Pawlenty pops up, Romney whacks them down...
    Bachmann pops up, Romney whacks them down...
    Perry pops up, Romney whacks them down...
    Gingrich pops up, Romney whacks them down...
    Santorum pops up, Romney whacks them down...

    Obama pops up, Romney whacks him down too!

    February 13, 2012 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  13. realitybites

    Polls: All knotted up between Romney & Santorum

    Rick should have the right stuff to get those polls unknotted. ; – )

    February 13, 2012 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  14. Rudy NYC

    Interesting contest. On the one side you have the baby face, sweater vest wearing guy straight out of that mail order catalog in the great state of Maine, On the other side you have the stern face, business suit wearing guy straight out of a bad hollywood stereotype of an overly wealthy banker.

    February 13, 2012 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  15. David

    Hagar13 – you are forgetting that in 09/10 leading repubs were criticizing Obama for not following the European model of no stimulous – you have it all wrong and just backwards.

    February 13, 2012 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  16. Zane

    A vote for Santorum is a vote for the "most corrupt" senator of 2006. Yes, it is true, that is what the Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) have said.

    February 13, 2012 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  17. Noodle Nose Johnson

    Worst candidates ever.

    February 13, 2012 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  18. mikle

    Anybody ,but Obama.

    February 13, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  19. jaywing

    @hanger 13. Clearly, you need to stop watching Fox News. you decry the "leftist social aganda" but fail to see the "rightist social agenda". And let's not forget, it was GOP policies that ruined the economy, not the democrats. Further, yes, I am for equality for all citizens of this country under the Constitution and the Law. if you can't understand that, I have several middle-eastern countries that would gladly have you as one of their own.

    February 13, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  20. Randy, San Francisco

    The GOP/Tea Party is trying to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The remaining candidates have fatal flaws:
    Santorum is too conservative to attract moderate and independent voters. Romney flips and flops and is too uninspiring as a candidate. Gringrich has too much baggage and skeletons in the closet. Paul is interesting but too far out of the main stream to be taken seriously.

    February 13, 2012 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  21. Sniffit

    Two peas in a pod these two: one talks out of his ass and the other comes out of one.

    February 13, 2012 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  22. Debby

    Well I hope it sways more Romney's way in the weeks to come.

    February 13, 2012 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  23. Boo

    I'm with tstorm's comment....what a pathetic bunch of losers...this is the best the cons have???!! LMAO!!! If Obama loses, I'll be stunned.

    February 13, 2012 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  24. Sniffit

    "All knotted up? Sounds like a laxative commercial."

    As well it should, given what the GOP has coming down the pipeline.

    February 13, 2012 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  25. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    1.tstorm

    This has to be, by far, the stupidest group of Republicans to EVER run for president.
    ------------------------
    Lawds yes.

    February 13, 2012 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
1 2