Poll: Obama holds double digit leads over Romney and Santorum
February 27th, 2012
07:25 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Obama holds double digit leads over Romney and Santorum

Washington (CNN) - President Barack Obama holds double digit leads over the top two GOP presidential candidates, according to a new national survey.

A Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll released Monday indicates Obama topping former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 53% to 43% in a hypothetical general election matchup, with the president leading former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania 53% to 42%.

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Matched up against a generic GOP opponent in the general election (an unnamed candidate who has not suffered negative attacks during the primary process), Obama has a five-point advantage (50%-45%), up from a dead heat back in November. It's also telling that the president is at or above 50% in all three general election matchups.

A new national poll from USA Today/Gallup tells a different story. According to the survey, which was also released Monday, Obama and Romney are deadlocked at 47% in a hypothetical matchup, with Santorum holding a 49%-46% margin over the president.

The Battleground poll indicates that the debates, caucuses and primaries appear to be taking a toll on Romney, with 51% of independent voters holding a unfavorable opinion of him, compared to just 33% who see him in a positive light. Among independents, Romney trails the president by 22 points in the hypothetical general election matchup. Forty percent of independents have a favorable view of Santorum, with 32% saying they see him in a negative way.

Among Republicans only, the battle for the GOP nomination appears to be all tied up, with Santorum at 36% and Romney at 34%. Santorum's two-point margin is within the poll's sampling error. The survey is similar to the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll's numbers on the Republican horse race.

Four out of ten say that Romney has run the most negative campaign, followed by Gingrich at 33% and Santorum and Paul each at 4%, with nearly one in five unsure.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll was conduced between February 19 and February 22, with 1,000 likely voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

The USA Today/Gallup poll was conducted between February 20 and February 21, with 881 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama • Rick Santorum
soundoff (289 Responses)
  1. smith

    What? Blame the lead on Obama.

    February 27, 2012 08:17 am at 8:17 am |
  2. longtooth

    Battling to see who is first in line for the guillotine !

    February 27, 2012 08:17 am at 8:17 am |
  3. Wolf Daddy Deluxe 5000

    there are too many stupid people in our country and they are ruining it.

    February 27, 2012 08:18 am at 8:18 am |
  4. Jim in PA

    The best part is that these numbers are even before most independents have even begun paying attention to the process. Once the general electorate gets a full dose of Slick Mitt or Lil' Ricky, Obama will be up past 60% like he was against McCain and the Hawkey Mawm.

    February 27, 2012 08:18 am at 8:18 am |
  5. michael

    ok so why don't we stop wasting everyones time and call it a day and let the president focus on the next 5 years. get these republican clowns back in their clown car and let em drive off

    February 27, 2012 08:21 am at 8:21 am |
  6. Andrew

    4 more years, 4 more years!

    February 27, 2012 08:21 am at 8:21 am |
  7. danny

    These guys all stink.

    February 27, 2012 08:22 am at 8:22 am |
  8. David M

    Big deal. I could run for president and have a big lead over the GOP.

    February 27, 2012 08:22 am at 8:22 am |
  9. jim

    No surprise..........

    February 27, 2012 08:23 am at 8:23 am |
  10. CARL

    Hilarious.

    Do people actually believe these "polls"? Wait till the election. When the price of gas hits $4.50 or more, Obama will be history and any GOP guy will win.

    As to the economic numbers, who actually believes the economy is getting better? Half my friends have no work and they stopped looking, relying on friends and family for help.

    Once again, the numbers are manipulated by the government.

    The only numbers I will believe are the ones from the electoral college in NOVEMBER, not now.

    February 27, 2012 08:23 am at 8:23 am |
  11. rdg18

    State run propaganda polls. November 2010, they never saw it coming.

    February 27, 2012 08:24 am at 8:24 am |
  12. Pat

    This poll is nonsense, Obama is leading by atleast 40 pts. Who will vote for these GOP clowns

    February 27, 2012 08:24 am at 8:24 am |
  13. BHPT

    Clueless Santorum calling Obama a "snob" for wanting more Americans to get an education taking its inevitable toll. And Two Cadillac Romney? These guys are way out in right field somewhere -

    February 27, 2012 08:25 am at 8:25 am |
  14. ironranger

    You would have to be deaf, dumb and blind to believe this article.......or a koolaid drinker.......either way, the amount of reality that someone would have to deny to believe this article is staggering.!

    February 27, 2012 08:25 am at 8:25 am |
  15. Mark

    This is no surprise. The republican candidates and party in general are a bunch of losers. The republicans have nearly destroyed the economy under bush, started unnecessary wars that killed thousands of young American soldiers and lost countless jobs. Why in the world would anybody think we as a country would want to return to that kind of leadership.

    February 27, 2012 08:25 am at 8:25 am |
  16. Dobie

    Of course Obama has a big lead – and will probably win the general election. Look who the Republican are putting up against him! I think Obama has done a lousy job as president – but I can't look at any of the Republican candidates and say "That is the guy that can set us on the right path!". I have voted in every election since I turned 18 – and in the election was tomorrow I would write in "none of the above" instead of voting for any of these bozos.

    February 27, 2012 08:26 am at 8:26 am |
  17. Christopher

    These numbers will fluctuate going into the election, but don't expect the trend to change, as most people judge Obama by how he actually leads- not by the wild eyed accusations hurled at him from the far right.

    February 27, 2012 08:27 am at 8:27 am |
  18. toppgunnery

    Anyone Bill Maher is supporting will undoubtedly lose!

    February 27, 2012 08:28 am at 8:28 am |
  19. Sacto1654

    True for now, but the President must dread the prospect of US$5.00/US gallon average national pricing for 87 pump octane (91 RON) unleaded gasoline–possibly by Memorial Day, if not earlier! If that happens, President Obama's lead will vanish like an ice cube in a hot desert....

    February 27, 2012 08:28 am at 8:28 am |
  20. iadadman

    Either the GOP comes up with a surprise candidate out of the closet at the convention, or they need to just figure out a way to stop the bleeding in the town-ticket races. Or they continue doing everything they can to tank the economy and screw up the foreign policy situation and hope that something terrible happens they can blame on Obama so they can live in the big shiny house for a while again.

    February 27, 2012 08:28 am at 8:28 am |
  21. LeadPoop

    I didn't need a survey to tell me that. The only GOP hopeful who is worth voting for is Ron Paul. And he wont be allowed to win.

    February 27, 2012 08:28 am at 8:28 am |
  22. tom

    With all the clowns and their baggage (Newt's many affairs, Romneys lack luster charisma, Santorums frothy surges, and who's that 4th guy?) the Repuklicans may as just save their money and concede to Obama now. Their field of 14 year affair McCann, nutcase Bachmann etc has amused us beyond what any collection of 20th century comedians would be capable of doing. Now where are those jobs they keep telling us about?

    February 27, 2012 08:28 am at 8:28 am |
  23. steve

    Misleading. Your talking about four candidates now. Wait till one comes out of the pack and then see what a poll says.

    February 27, 2012 08:29 am at 8:29 am |
  24. Verne Kayser

    Not a surprise , Obama has the black vote,the latin vote,the liberal vote and half of the independent vote. Meanwhile the Republican party is cannibalizing itself without a really strong candidate.

    February 27, 2012 08:29 am at 8:29 am |
  25. korkea aika

    To all of the President's detractors: When is the last time you saw Osama Bin Laden on TV mocking and threatening us? Or a news report telling us the US Auto Industry is imploding? Obama deserves a second term for having moved us in the right direction, all the while his detractors screaming 'socialist'. Good job Mr President. Obama for America 2012

    February 27, 2012 08:29 am at 8:29 am |
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