Poll: Obama holds double digit leads over Romney and Santorum
February 27th, 2012
07:25 AM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama holds double digit leads over Romney and Santorum

Washington (CNN) - President Barack Obama holds double digit leads over the top two GOP presidential candidates, according to a new national survey.

A Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll released Monday indicates Obama topping former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 53% to 43% in a hypothetical general election matchup, with the president leading former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania 53% to 42%.

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Matched up against a generic GOP opponent in the general election (an unnamed candidate who has not suffered negative attacks during the primary process), Obama has a five-point advantage (50%-45%), up from a dead heat back in November. It's also telling that the president is at or above 50% in all three general election matchups.

A new national poll from USA Today/Gallup tells a different story. According to the survey, which was also released Monday, Obama and Romney are deadlocked at 47% in a hypothetical matchup, with Santorum holding a 49%-46% margin over the president.

The Battleground poll indicates that the debates, caucuses and primaries appear to be taking a toll on Romney, with 51% of independent voters holding a unfavorable opinion of him, compared to just 33% who see him in a positive light. Among independents, Romney trails the president by 22 points in the hypothetical general election matchup. Forty percent of independents have a favorable view of Santorum, with 32% saying they see him in a negative way.

Among Republicans only, the battle for the GOP nomination appears to be all tied up, with Santorum at 36% and Romney at 34%. Santorum's two-point margin is within the poll's sampling error. The survey is similar to the Gallup Daily Tracking Poll's numbers on the Republican horse race.

Four out of ten say that Romney has run the most negative campaign, followed by Gingrich at 33% and Santorum and Paul each at 4%, with nearly one in five unsure.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll was conduced between February 19 and February 22, with 1,000 likely voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

The USA Today/Gallup poll was conducted between February 20 and February 21, with 881 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama • Rick Santorum
soundoff (289 Responses)
  1. Joe

    Have to stop polling Acorn to find the real number's...

    February 27, 2012 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  2. Chris Honry

    OBAMA WILL STOMP THE RICHMAN's PARTY! GOP = sold out to big business, Wall Street and Military INdustrial complex thieves

    February 27, 2012 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  3. petemg

    Such propaganda. If during election they are not to air the results until all votes are in, they should also not spread such propagands. It may be true, but still allow the people decide and not give them a reason to change their minds. Too many people vote for Obama just because they wanted change that he promised. Many voted because they felt they were going to be a part of history in voting in the first Black, when actually he is not full black. Voted because their friend did. I do not care how people vote I just want them to vote when they are informed and told the whole story. Obama is trying to create a country that is totally dependent up himself and the other upper classed rich. Many of these people were treated as illiterate when they are not.

    February 27, 2012 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  4. DERASA

    Four more years....Great job you deserve it.....GOP in congress have done anything in their power to take you down., to have hostage this economy...BUT........Four more years.....Sorry we are watching you GOP !!

    February 27, 2012 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  5. meaningless

    Polls of a national race pitting candidates who are still in a primary race are cute but irrelevant. At this juncture, a percentage of Obama voters are those who are simply against the NAMED candidate on the other side. Example: If you are on the GOP side and support Santorum, you are naturally going to think that he has a better chance against Obama than Romney. So you are likely to to pick Obama for that question to help shape the race. When the GOP race is decided the numbers will change because people will line up behind the final choice. (An improving economy or higher gas prices can also change it.)

    This isn't rocket science. John Kerry was up on Bush II in 2004 the eve of the election and still lost. The only poll that matters a little bit is Obama vs. Unnamed. The fact that Mr./Ms. Unnamed is doing so well (just short of a dead heat) is indicative of the public's lack of excitement for ANY of the candidates, including Obama. Jump all and down and cheer for your politician all you want, but what I see is that Obama has a very slim lead. That's it. Not much of a story.

    February 27, 2012 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  6. yankee

    since this is a CNN POLE whats to believe????

    February 27, 2012 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  7. PaulC

    Good news. The thought that the GOP would get the WH is frightening. The first thing the "smaller gov." group would do would be to pass several laws strictly controlling your personal life and take care of their rich/corporate friends.

    February 27, 2012 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  8. Deb

    There is not a legitimate survey out there that would ever have Santorum ahead of President Obama unless it was a male only survey!!!!! They are Really dreaming!!!!

    February 27, 2012 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  9. Chris

    Funny, as another poll has Obama losing to Romney, Paul and ahead of Santorum by two points. Why didn't that poll make your front page? Oh yeah...

    Romney 45% Obama 43%
    Paul 43% Obama 41%
    Obama 45% Santorum 43%

    February 27, 2012 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  10. Ed

    Polls taken today reflect maybe today. What counts is the only real poll – the election in November. Let the Democrat and Republican candidate outline the problems this nation faces, give their specific solutions to the problems and their vision of the future for this nation. Then let the people vote and make their choice.

    February 27, 2012 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  11. xMoonWitchx

    Keep in mind, this is without any real promotion of what this administration has accomplished over the course of the last 4 years. Once the general electorate is reminded of the successes of this administration, those numbers will climb even higher.

    February 27, 2012 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  12. bill.x

    clearly, any republican who comes in at the last minute will have to build on the base of the then rejected candidates, romney; santorum; ginrich and paul, so a so called generic unnamed gop will not be any different then these 4, otherwise he/she would lose their core. the fact is that these 4 speak to and represent all GOP potential candidates.

    February 27, 2012 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  13. th

    Santorum does nothing but try and push his religious beliefs on everyone. All people are not catholics and have a right to their own beliefs. What happened to separation of church and state???? If you don't like what you see or what someone else is doing don't do it yourself. What other people do is none of your business unless it affects you personally.

    February 27, 2012 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  14. Ed

    Polls taken today reflect maybe today. What counts is the only real poll – the election in November. Let the Democrat and Republican candidates outline the problems this nation faces, give their specific solutions to the problems and their vision of the future for this nation. Then let the people vote and decide the future.

    February 27, 2012 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  15. JR Ewing

    Why not? You have a real human being running against tin men.

    February 27, 2012 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  16. john

    OBAMA 2012! The GOPers are basically handing it to him on a platter.

    February 27, 2012 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  17. Odner

    Go Barry Go!

    February 27, 2012 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  18. Odner

    Obama all the way, baby😄

    February 27, 2012 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  19. roger

    Count me among those who think this administration (especially the att gen holder) stinks, but the options are worse. If Ron Paul is anywhere on the ballot he gets my vote, but if not then we can live with 4 more yrs of Chicago-style corruption.

    February 27, 2012 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  20. John Hickey

    What would you expect from Gallup!?? They are the RNC personal pollster. It would be nice to know how they select their sample, is it only out in the Hampton's or only investment bankers?

    February 27, 2012 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  21. Ben Bowa

    RASMUSSEN POLL: Obama Approval at 45%, Lowest in Month—President Falls Behind Romney and Paul...

    Romney 45% Obama 43%...
    Paul 43% Obama 41%
    Obama 45% Santorum 43%
    Obama 49% Gingrich 39%

    February 27, 2012 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  22. Todd in DC

    As a democrat, I find this to be good news, but the election is 8 months away, and a lot can change. If I were on Obama's reelection team, I'd take this news with a grain of salt at best.

    February 27, 2012 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  23. snons-are-us

    Remember Rick S, saying what a snod Obama is for wanting all our kids to go to college. GOP wants them to go to war, not college.

    February 27, 2012 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  24. johnborg

    People don't like Obama – he's too moderate for progressives and too liberal for conservatives. Yet, when positioned against someone with a right, if not far-right, stature, he does very very well. I'll be voting for Obama in 2012 unless the Green Party has a chance (which it won't).

    February 27, 2012 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  25. Republican who supports President Obama

    Good news to start the week. I think the GOP need to understand that they have to represent ALL people not just their misguided support demographic. November will be a wake up call for the GOP.

    February 27, 2012 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
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