New Ohio poll suggests Romney with momentum
March 5th, 2012
08:50 AM ET
2 years ago

New Ohio poll suggests Romney with momentum

(CNN) - With one day to go until Super Tuesday, Mitt Romney's on top in Ohio's Republican presidential primary, according to a new poll.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Monday indicates that 34% of likely Buckeye State GOP primary voters are backing Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who's making his second bid for the nomination, with 31% supporting former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania. Romney's three point advantage is within the poll's sampling error, meaning it's basically all knotted up in Ohio. Fifteen percent are backing former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, with 12% supporting Rep. Ron Paul of Texas.

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A week ago Santorum held a seven point lead over Romney in Ohio in Quinnipiac polling. That survey was conducted before last Tuesday, when Romney easily won Arizona's primary and edged out Santorum to win the primary in his home state of Michigan.

A Quinnipiac poll released this past Friday and conducted right after last Tuesday's primaries indicated Santorum on top, but within the sampling error. An NBC News/Marist poll released Sunday also indicated a tie between Santorum and Romney, with Santorum holding a two point margin, well within that survey's sampling error.

Sixty-three delegates are up for grabs Tuesday in Ohio, one of 10 states to hold contests on Super Tuesday. While more delegates are up for grabs in Georgia, Ohio is arguably the most crucial of the states holding a Super Tuesday contest because of its status as a major general election battleground.

According to the Quinnipiac University poll, men are split between Santorum and Romney, with Romney holding a nine point advantage among women. And self described conservatives, normally a strong base for Santorum, are also divided between him and Romney.

"To borrow from the book of Berra, Yogi that is: It's deja vu all over again for Gov. Mitt Romney. Just as he did in Florida and Michigan, Romney has erased a sizable deficit a week before the primary to grab the momentum in the final 24 hours," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "A week ago, Quinnipiac had Sen. Santorum ahead by seven points, now it's Romney by three – a ten-point swing in seven days. The margin makes the Ohio race too close to call, but Romney is the one with the wind at his back."

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted March 2-4, with 753 likely GOP primary voters in Ohio questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

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Also see:

Poll: All tied up in Tennessee

Romney gets backing from key Republicans

Barbara Bush robo calls for Romney

Romney, Santorum tied in Ohio


Filed under: 2012 • Ohio • Polls
soundoff (6 Responses)
  1. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Since it is over, and the choice of the Kochs and Rove has won, I would like to help Mittens with some campaign slogans:
    "We Launder Clothing, Why Not Money?"
    "War is Good"
    "What is more American than foreign oil"
    "Win on e for the Gaffer"
    "30% can't be wrong, can they?"
    "Health Care is for the Wealthy"
    "China, a good place to work"
    I am always for what I am against"
    "If we give women reproductive rights, next they will want to vote"
    "What's good for billionaires is good for the wealthy"

    March 5, 2012 09:04 am at 9:04 am |
  2. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    In order to appease the extreme right, Mittens has adopted the Bush Doctrine of foreign policy.

    March 5, 2012 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  3. gt

    get this over soon.... its going to be mitt... ck the gas pump prices lately... how about your home values... how about the 401 k.... job security.... wages since obama been in office... are you better off now.... just asking...

    March 5, 2012 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  4. GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE

    Willard still hasn't denounced Rush's comments. Every other candidate has. Why not him? We're waiting Willard.............

    March 5, 2012 09:33 am at 9:33 am |
  5. diridi

    Were you better off with Republicans, Iraq War, that looted nation because of giving Haliburton Contract to Dick Cheney, Killed millions, made Bin Laden escape Tora Bora, Escaped rich from Tax paying, where as you are paying more than Romney's 13%? Stashed millions in Swiss, Bermuda, and Cayman Islands? What nonsense you are speaking. GOP is for Rich not for you, just know this idiots....just know this....True, Obama2012.
    Nation is on right track. Stocks did not fall....true...

    March 5, 2012 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  6. Rudy NYC

    Mitt Romney's problem is that he is an old school, traditional Republican trying to be one of these new radical RINOs.

    March 5, 2012 09:49 am at 9:49 am |