New Polls: Dead heat in Ohio
March 5th, 2012
12:33 PM ET
2 years ago

New Polls: Dead heat in Ohio

(CNN) - One day before the state joins nine others in holding Super Tuesday GOP presidential nomination contests, two new polls out Monday afternoon indicate it's all tied up.

According to an American Research Group survey, 35% of likely Ohio Republican primary voters say they are backing former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, with 28% supporting former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania. Romney's seven point advantage is just within the survey's sampling error, meaning it's all knotted up.

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The poll indicates that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has the backing of 18% of likely primary voters, with Rep. Ron Paul of Texas at 13%.

Meanwhile, according to a Suffolk University poll also released Monday, Santorum is at 37%, with Romney at 33%, Gingrich at 16% and Paul at 8%. Santorum's advantage is also within the poll's sampling error.

A Quinnipiac University survey released earlier Monday indicates that 34% of likely Buckeye State GOP primary voters are backing Romney, who's making his second bid for the nomination, with 31% supporting Santorum of Pennsylvania. Romney's three point advantage is within the poll's sampling error, meaning it's basically a dead heat. Fifteen percent are backing former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, with 12% supporting Rep. Ron Paul of Texas.

Sixty-three delegates are up for grabs Tuesday in Ohio, one of 10 states to hold contests on Super Tuesday. While more delegates are up for grabs in Georgia, Ohio is arguably the most crucial of the states holding a Super Tuesday contest because of its status as a major general election battleground.

The American Research Group poll was conducted March 3-4, with 600 likely GOP primary voters in Ohio questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

The Suffolk University poll was also conducted Saturday and Sunday with 500 likely Republican primary voters in the Buckeye state questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

Also see:

Poll: All tied up in Tennessee

Romney gets backing from key Republicans

Barbara Bush robo calls for Romney

Romney, Santorum tied in Ohio


Filed under: 2012 • Ohio • Polls
soundoff (23 Responses)
  1. Truth and Nothing But the Truth

    Good, if Romney wins in Ohio this primary season should start wrappng up. Then we can get down to the business of throwing the Campaigner-in-Chief out fo the Whitehouse. Four years without a leader there is killing the country.

    March 5, 2012 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  2. diridi

    None of the Republican idiots are trustworthy. Watch mitt romney on youtube, when mitt romney came to town...enjoy.
    This election is Rich v/s Middle Class America. True.

    March 5, 2012 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  3. cali girl

    Wonder what the voter turnout will be? Just as bad as all of the previous states?

    March 5, 2012 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  4. GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE

    I find it amazing how people vote against their own self interest.

    March 5, 2012 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  5. Vinnie

    Love that photo. How intelligent was it for Team Romney to have Willard show up in that Steel Plant? Then again there was no danger of accomodating 65,000 workers in there. Where are the loud cheers, the back-slapping comraderie,and all those eager out-stretched hands for Willard to shake? Is it because Willard forgot to bring along those "high end" Panera Pastries or because Ann is taking notes behind the scenes?

    March 5, 2012 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  6. Fair Taxes

    Truth and Nothing But the Truth – name one thing that GW Bush did that any of the current crop of GOP candidates have publicly disagreed with? Just one.

    If they're just a bunch of re-animated zombie Bushes, why would America expect anything but another great recession if any of them are elected?

    March 5, 2012 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  7. Real Politics

    Romney won't win the general election because he is just like Obama except with money: out of touch with the American people (look at the amount of counties Santorum has one compared to this baboon), needs a telepromter to speak or he will say something stupid to get himself in trouble, and believes in faith that encourages man's dominion over women and when they die over God himself.

    March 5, 2012 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  8. Democrat Class Warfare - Destroying the economy, destroying the country

    >This election is Rich v/s Middle Class America. True.

    Only if Americans are stupid enough to believe the Liar-in-Chief that TALKS about uniting the country, but constantly DIVIDES it for his own political benefit. The Divider-in-Chief wants to turn the USA into a country full of pitch fork and torch wielding mobsters looking to destroy and TAKE, instead of a prosperous country where every one contributes and wins THROUGH HARD WORK.

    March 5, 2012 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  9. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Mittens mistakenly shows up at a steel plant, thinking it was an offshore money laundering 'steal plant.' Imagine his embarrassment.

    March 5, 2012 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  10. Truth and Nothing But the Truth

    >GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE
    >I find it amazing how people vote against their own self interest

    Voting for a strong and prosperous USA is against their self interest???

    You see, not all voters vote for personal self aggrandizement reasons like you do. Many people are able to see the BIG picture, not just what will fill their pockets today, at somebody else expense.

    March 5, 2012 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  11. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Why do right wingnuts want to elect a flip flopping money launderer in chief who will add $3.4 trillion to our national debt?

    March 5, 2012 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  12. R

    @ GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE
    "I find it amazing how people vote against their own self interest."

    How do you know that they are voting against their own self interest? Have you asked anyone from Ohio why they're voting for someone versus another? Oh, that's right, I forget; if people don't vote Democrat, then they are against America, does that sound right? It's amazing to see how many of you Democrats act like Republicans sometimes (name calling, negative comments, etc.)

    March 5, 2012 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  13. George

    Santorum is really fading. Tuesday will not be a good day for him.

    March 5, 2012 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  14. Phil in KC

    7 points? That's a heck of a margin of error. If it were me, I wouldn't call that a dead heat, though.

    March 5, 2012 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  15. Tom in the Great NW

    ...."Yowsa, yowsa, yowsa! Here they are again, folks! These wonderful, wonderful kids! Still struggling! Still hoping! As the clock of fate ticks away, the dance of destiny continues! The marathon goes on and on and on! How long can they last?"

    March 5, 2012 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  16. Fair is Fair

    GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE

    I find it amazing how people vote against their own self interest.
    ----------
    I find it amazing that people assume they know what another person's "self interests" are.

    March 5, 2012 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  17. jilli

    The republicans better hope that this primary season wraps up soon. At the rate they're going, it'll be tough to even get their own relatives to vote for them.

    March 5, 2012 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  18. Truth and Nothing But the Truth

    Wire Palladin, S. F. - Why do right wingnuts want to elect a flip flopping money launderer in chief who will add $3.4 trillion to our national debt?
    ------------------------------------------------------–
    Because hes far better than the money stealing liar-in-chief that will add $10-12 TRILLION to our national debt. Thanks for asking.

    March 5, 2012 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  19. The Real Tom Paine

    I find it amazing that anyone can swallow the objectivist garbage the GOP keeps throwing out.

    March 5, 2012 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  20. The Real Tom Paine

    " The Divider-in-Chief wants to turn the USA into a country full of pitch fork and torch wielding mobsters looking to destroy and TAKE, instead of a prosperous country where every one contributes and wins THROUGH HARD WORK."
    ***********************

    Hey, I know you're not happy with Romney, but even I don't think he's that bad.

    March 5, 2012 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  21. Rudy NYC

    Truth and Nothing But the Truth

    Wire Palladin, S. F. – Why do right wingnuts want to elect a flip flopping money launderer in chief who will add $3.4 trillion to our national debt?
    ------------------–
    Because hes far better than the money stealing liar-in-chief that will add $10-12 TRILLION to our national debt. Thanks for asking.
    ===============================
    I think you have misunderstood the numbers. Romney would add an EXTRA $3-4 trillion dollars, on top of the pace that we are already on. All of the Republican candidates have tax proposals that would accelerate the rate of growth of the national debt. Pres. Obama has proposals that slow the growth of the national debt.

    March 5, 2012 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  22. Truth and Nothing But the Truth

    Rudy NYC - I think you have misunderstood the numbers. Romney would add an EXTRA $3-4 trillion dollars, on top of the pace that we are already on. All of the Republican candidates have tax proposals that would accelerate the rate of growth of the national debt. Pres. Obama has proposals that slow the growth of the national debt.
    =============================================================================================
    BWAHAHAHA!!!

    Is this the same Obama that said he was going to cut the deficit in HALF in his first term, yet has done nothing but expand government spending, deficts and debt while adding ANOTHER HUGE government healthcare entitlement???

    Is this the same Obama that is on track to add $10-12 TRILLION over two terms to the country's debt if the country is stupid enough to re-elect him?

    If the American people have learned one thing over the last 4 years, it is that Obama says one thing and does exactly the opposite. Four more years of lies and deceit is more than the country can survive.

    March 5, 2012 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  23. Rudy NYC

    Truth asked:

    Is this the same Obama that said he was going to cut the deficit in HALF in his first term, yet has done nothing but expand government spending, deficts and debt while adding ANOTHER HUGE government healthcare entitlement???
    -------------
    Yes, this is the same Barack Obama who made those types of promises in late 2007 and early 2008; which was prior to the dark times, prior to our witnessing actual trickle down economics in action.

    Had Republicans not filibustered and block his attempts to repeal the Buch Tax Cuts, which is the will of The People, you could chop off one trillion dollars every two years from our national debt.

    Actually, the American people have been taught that the Republican Party has been overrun by radical right wing social engineers who want to control the most intimate facets of our lives.

    March 5, 2012 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |