New Poll: All knotted up in Alabama
March 12th, 2012
10:23 AM ET
2 years ago

New Poll: All knotted up in Alabama

(CNN) – One day before Alabama holds a Republican primary, a new poll in the state indicates former House Speaker Newt Gingrich narrowly edging out former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney for the top spot in the race for the GOP presidential nomination.

According to a survey by American Research Group released Monday, 34% of likely Republican primary voters in Alabama say they are backing Gingrich, with 31% saying they are supporting Romney. Gingrich's three-point margin is within the poll's sampling error, meaning the race is basically all tied up. Twenty-four percent say they back former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, with 6% supporting Rep. Ron Paul of Texas and 7% undecided.

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The survey indicates that Gingrich has a 39%-30% margin over Romney among self-identified Republicans, with Santorum at 23% and Paul at 3%. Among self-identified independents and Democrats, Romney's on top at 33%, followed by Santorum at 28%, Gingrich at 17% and Paul at 15%.

Alabama, as well as neighboring Mississippi, hold open primaries on Tuesday, meaning that Republicans, independent voters and even Democrats can cast ballots in the GOP presidential nomination contests. Forty-seven delegates are at stake in Alabama, with 37 delegates up for grabs in Mississippi. An ARG poll in Mississippi that was released on Monday indicated Romney at 34%, Gingrich at 32%, Santourm at 22% and Paul at 8%.

The Alabama poll indicates that 54% of people who say they are supporters of the tea party movement say they back Gingrich, with Santorum at 23%, Romney at 20% and Paul at 1%. Among those who say they are not tea party supporters, Romney is at 41%, with Santorum at 25%, Gingrich at 16% and Paul at 10%.

Thirty-one percent of men say they back Gingrich, with Romney and Santorum each at 29% and Paul with 6%. Gingrich has a 38%-32% margin over Romney among women, with Santorum at 19% and Paul at 5%.

The American Research Group poll was conducted March 9-11, with 600 likely Republican primary voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Alabama • Mitt Romney • Newt Gingrich • Polls • Rick Santorum • Ron Paul
soundoff (13 Responses)
  1. Rudy NYC

    The lesson to be learned from this poll. Eating your grits is good for you.

    March 12, 2012 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  2. GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE

    "Ya'll" better not count Newt out.

    March 12, 2012 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  3. The REAL Truth

    And the circus circus continues... [yawn]

    March 12, 2012 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  4. Peace

    "Mr. a win is a win" killed one of their bugs (cockroach) during campaigning. He must be rewarded there in the South.

    March 12, 2012 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  5. maggyjiggs1

    Trumps comments amaze me...yeah, let's all drop out and hand the nomination to Rommey. All the more reason that conservatives need to get together behind Santorum, he is the only one that has a chance of beating Romney or Obama.

    March 12, 2012 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  6. Larry L

    It's simple – here's the ballot:

    * The pasty-faced adulterer-lobbyist-disgraced former Speaker of the House
    * The American Taliban candidate who thinks contraception is evil, and believes the earth is less than 6000 years old.
    * The flip-flopping, liberal-moderate-conservative-"seriously conservative" fat-cat put in place to protect the rich.
    * The old anarchist who wants to destroy Social Security, Medicare and destroy the strength of our armed forces.

    March 12, 2012 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  7. maggyjiggs1

    If Newt had the best interest of his conservative constituent in mind, he would drop out...he can't possibly win the nomination...he is no longer competitive in the process. Santorum has run his campaign on a shoestring budget but remains the most competitive against Romney...he is being out spent everywhere you look...I have heard reporters say 4-1 and 10-1 in some states...yet he remains competitive. People are listening to his message and he understands that there is a way to "get the job done" without outspending the competition...what a novel approach for Washington. I thought going into this primary season that I would be voting for Gingrich, however, I am not willing to waste my vote because I believe we need someone with truly conservative fiscal and social values to get the country back on track...my vote will be for Santorum...it is time for all conservatives to rally behind him...don't allow Gingrich to split our votes and silence our voice because a vote for Gingrich hands the election to Romney and that means 4 more years of Obama!!!!! Santorum can distinguish himself from Obama...Romney can't...

    March 12, 2012 11:19 am at 11:19 am |
  8. Robert

    I am surprised Ron Paul is doing so poorly in the South. The racists would love the him as the only candidate who is against the Civil Rights Act, and whose "survival" newsletters expresses racist views that no other candidate has dared to utter publicly. Paul is the perfect candidate for the south.

    March 12, 2012 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  9. Bill from GA

    Newt says his campaign is like a roller coaster. Did you ever see a roller coaster finish at the top??

    March 12, 2012 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  10. More Alabama

    I know that stupid poll, they and their candidates called me six times on Friday and seven on Saturday. I hereby promise I will never vote for any of those louses!

    March 12, 2012 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  11. Wake up people

    This is the south, the land where the confederate flag is displayed proudly, they may not have a lot of book smarts but they know Robmey is the candidate with the deepest pockets, therefore the only that stands a chance of beating the President, whether Robmey is lying or not. They have one goal and one goal only.

    OBAMA 2012!

    March 12, 2012 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  12. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    I am surprised that Alabamians would consider voting for the radical Newt, a student of the early writings of Jean Bandrillard.

    March 12, 2012 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  13. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Robert – Just because the other candidates haven't said so, does not mean that they also are opposed to the Civil Rights Act.

    March 12, 2012 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |