Obama leads GOP in battleground Virginia
March 20th, 2012
08:20 AM ET
2 years ago

Obama leads GOP in battleground Virginia

(CNN) – A survey released Tuesday delivered good news for President Barack Obama in Virginia, a large battleground state he won in 2008 and hopes to win again in November’s general election.

The poll from Quinnipiac University showed Obama leading all of the potential GOP candidates by at least eight points, including current frontrunner Mitt Romney, who Obama led 50%-42%. The president was ahead of Rick Santorum 49%-40%, Newt Gingrich 54%-35% and Ron Paul 49%-39%.

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Both Gingrich and Santorum have lived in Virginia’s Washington suburbs since leaving the U.S. Congress.

Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell, who is frequently mentioned as a potential GOP running mate, doesn’t make a significant impact on any of the candidates’ numbers in the state. When placed on a potential ticket with Romney, the Obama-Biden team still came out ahead, topping Romney-McDonnell 50%-43%.

"President Barack Obama has opened up some daylight in Virginia against his Republican challengers," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a statement accompanying the poll’s release. "His margin over Romney, in the state where Obama has been struggling after his win in 2008, compares to a slight 47 – 43 percent lead in February."

Romney won Virginia’s GOP presidential primary on Super Tuesday with an estimated 60% of the vote, though rivals candidates Santorum and Gingrich did not appear on the ballot there after failing to meet state GOP requirements.

Obama's approval in Virginia stood at 49%, according to the poll. That was his best rating in the Commonwealth in almost a year.

Virginia’s closely-watched U.S. Senate race stood at a statistical tie in the new poll, with Democrat Tim Kaine at 47% and Republican George Allen at 44%. That was within the poll’s sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. A gender split was apparent in the Senate matchup, with women backing Kaine 49%-40% and men picking Allen 48%-46%.

"Virginia's U.S. Senate race has been too-close-to-call from the get-go," Brown said in the release. "It remains a squeaker and is likely to remain that way until the November election. An Obama victory in the presidential race would help Kaine, while if the Republican carries the state in November that would help Allen."

Kaine is a former governor of Virginia and served as chairman of the Democratic National Committee from 2009-2011. Allen served as a U.S. senator from Virginia before being defeated by Democratic Sen. Jim Webb in 2006.

The Quinnipiac University poll was taken by phone March 13-18 from 1,034 registered Virginia voters, and had a sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

Also see:

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Obama leads GOP in battleground Virginia

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Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • President Obama • Virginia
soundoff (51 Responses)
  1. Al-NY,NY

    ....and the GOP robotic response....."it doesn't matter".....meaning if it's not a Rasmussen poll that slants right, it's not accurate. Of course if the Quinnipiac poll had it the other way "Obama is done"

    March 20, 2012 08:30 am at 8:30 am |
  2. American

    Please say no to the reprehensible "macaca" Allen.
    Gov. Kaine for US Senate & American decency.

    God bless the USA
    President Obama 2012

    March 20, 2012 08:43 am at 8:43 am |
  3. GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE

    I for one will not vote for anyone who has McDonnell as their running mate.....Willard! The President will carry Virginia once again and we will vote Tim Kaine in and kick George Allen & Willard to the curb.

    March 20, 2012 08:45 am at 8:45 am |
  4. Mock

    Leading individuals means nothing until the primaries are over.

    March 20, 2012 08:53 am at 8:53 am |
  5. ShawnDH

    Go get 'em Mr. President! Obama is the best president of my lifetime.

    March 20, 2012 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  6. Debby

    This poll is the most liberal of them all and comes from the bluest state.

    March 20, 2012 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  7. king

    Virginia remembered the free market swirling repubs administrations, they know with the absents of government corporations raping of the American people will commence, sucking the American economy dry, they flee over sees to China to get cheaper labor and demand.

    March 20, 2012 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  8. Debby

    This poll is the most liberal of them all and comes from the bluest state. This poll also is conducted before there is even a nominee and most of those evangelico's that voted for Santorum will vote Romney.

    March 20, 2012 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
  9. cashmeremafia

    Santorum spent most of his time in VA during his 2nd term as PA senator as well :)

    March 20, 2012 09:03 am at 9:03 am |
  10. Lizzie

    New York, California and Virgina are going to vote for President Obama no matter what, no surprise here.

    March 20, 2012 09:04 am at 9:04 am |
  11. Namejkane fl live from teapublican moon base no taxes, no regulation no health care, free gas.

    Nobody in their right mind is going to vote for any of these republican bafoon canadates in Nov. Thanks teaparty clowns!!!!

    March 20, 2012 09:13 am at 9:13 am |
  12. GI Joe.

    President Obama will never force women to be probed. The republican governors have way over-stepped their bounds in this country. Time to kick the reds out.

    March 20, 2012 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  13. Namejkane fl live from teapublican moon base no taxes, no regulation no health care, free gas.

    Dem landslide coming in Nov.

    March 20, 2012 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  14. gt

    polls this time a yr are for political hacks and ..companies who do polls...

    March 20, 2012 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  15. Mitt Romney Is Soo Plastic he Makes Mannequins Looks Real

    This is message is to ALL AMERICAN WOMEN, AFRICAN AMERICANS, HISPANICS, and to ALL AMERICANS OF ALL STRIPES AND COLOR....DONT BE FOOLED BY THESE POLLS!

    Dont sit on your rear end and let the GOP back in the WH with their ideological warfare against WOMEN, CHILDREN, HISPANICS, AFRICAN AMERICANS, POLICE, TEACHERS, FIRE FIGHTERS, EMERGENCY WORKERS, etc....donate, talk to your neighbors, friends, family members, and make sure you vote for a steady and sane leadership of President Barack Obama!!!!

    DETROIT is UP, and OBL is DOWN!!!!....It's half time in America, and the economy is moving on the right track again!!!!

    YES WE CAN – OBAMA 2012!!!!

    March 20, 2012 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  16. Dvet

    The repubics are jooking at people as commodities now. The prison is on the stock market. keep them full and make money. At will employment is legalized slavery. a person can be terminated with or without cause.

    March 20, 2012 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  17. Rudy NYC

    Republicans can win Virginia if they clarify their message on women's health care for the The People of Virginia. They are losing the state because of their stands on women's health care, and will lose the state because of their positions. Republicans need to do some serious damage control in Virginia and all over the country on women's health care.

    March 20, 2012 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  18. Eri

    What did you expect? Seriously, what did you expect? With Romney's incessant flip-flopping (if he keeps it up, he's gonna set a world record, in fact, he probably has already) and Santorum's ridiculous gaffes and mis-statements (I mean, what's up with that guy? Is he TRYING to lose the nomination?) how could President Obama not be ahead in the polls in Virginia? Come November 6, it's gonna be déja vu.
    Obama 2012.

    March 20, 2012 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  19. Dominican mama 4 Obama (the real one)

    Pollsa rae nice....aren't they?
    Meaningless at this stage of the game, but they keep us entertained until the main event.
    Your vote is the only poll that counts.
    Obama 2012. Seriously America.

    March 20, 2012 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  20. Dominican mama 4 Obama (the real one)

    Gawd, that should've read " Polls are nice". Pardon.

    March 20, 2012 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  21. Rick McDaniel

    So, the [people of VA have no sense? is that what you are saying?

    March 20, 2012 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  22. ST

    Virginia will never go back in the hands of GOP. Folks there are well educated and very understanding. They can differentiate between what is right and wrong for them.

    March 20, 2012 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  23. Bob

    These robo call telephone polls are close to worthless...look at the underlying information. Those who chose to respond were 31% Democrat and only 26% Republican..no wonder Obama leads among that slice of voters.
    Yet the media is clueless and reports these polls as meaning something. It is a fraud.

    March 20, 2012 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  24. Voice of Reason

    Another non-story. Just an excuse to run Obamas picture in a story

    March 20, 2012 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  25. Robert Bartosh

    Obama is being beat up over a pipeline from Canada to the southern states. Why does't he just suggest the Government hire thousands to build a refinery next to the Canadian border ? Why move the oil to the south ?

    March 20, 2012 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
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