Poll: Mass. race between Brown, Warren still tight
April 1st, 2012
06:21 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Mass. race between Brown, Warren still tight

(CNN) - In one of the most closely watched Senate contests, a new poll indicates Republican Sen. Scott Brown and Democrat Elizabeth Warren are still running neck-and-neck in the race for the Massachusetts seat.

Brown, a first-term incumbent, has the support of 37% of voters, while his opponent carries 35%, according to a survey conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and released by The Boston Globe on Sunday.

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The two-percentage-point margin falls well within the sampling error and represents a statistical tie. Meanwhile, 26% of voters said they were undecided, according to the poll.

While support falls mainly along party lines - Warren takes 63% of Democrats and Brown has 86% of Republicans - the incumbent senator is leading among the crucial voting bloc of independents, with 42% to Warren's 14%.

Breaking down the results further, 43% of voters said they see Brown as the strongest leader to Warren's 31%. In addition, nearly half (49%) said Brown has the most bipartisan appeal, while less than a third of voters (27%) said Warren would be the best at working across the aisle.

However, a plurality (44%) said Warren - Obama's former consumer protection adviser - would do more to help "working people," compared to 35% who said the same about Brown. The statistic comes as good news to Warren's campaign, which has aggressively pushed to portray the candidate as the one most aligned with middle class workers.

The poll is the latest in a series of surveys in recent months that show a similar pattern of the two candidates statistically tied, with Brown slightly ahead.

Democrats see the race as a chance to recapture a Senate seat that was taken by the GOP in the 2010 special election held to replace the late Ted Kennedy.

Both campaigns have raised and spent millions, despite seven months remaining until the November election. The candidates have also gained fame by their shared opposition towards third-party spending, pledging to deduct money from their own campaigns should outside groups take out ad buys in support of their candidacies.

For the poll, the University of New Hampshire Survey Center interviewed 544 randomly selected likely voters by phone between March 21 and March 27. The poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Elizabeth Warren • Massachusetts • Scott Brown • Senate
soundoff (27 Responses)
  1. B

    Warren is one of very few around that has a chance to secure a position to really help average folks in a ever increasing slide toward Republicans taking most everything away from working people.

    This country badly needs more of her caliber!

    April 1, 2012 06:37 pm at 6:37 pm |
  2. king

    I admitted brown repubs 1 of 2 moderate repubs left in the increasingly rabid repubs party. The problem is who will be the best to suit the middle class the best. Remember its the middle class who have the money to afford a home, transportation, and support most of American industries. If youlre not making over 10 dollars an hour, you might have to house pool with another family just to pay the morgage, so the middle class is very critical. Warren will be the one to fight for that sector in our economy, the repubs ideology is geared toward the rich and hopes that something trickle down on us, before China and her sweat shops beats us to the punch.

    April 1, 2012 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  3. Jeff Brown in Jersey

    Fight the good fight Ms. Warren!

    April 1, 2012 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  4. CBR

    Senator Brown is a moderate one day and a conservative the next day. That way he is not responsible for what the GOP does. Quite a strategy but is he doing what is best for his constituents. MA folks will answer that question in Nov.

    April 1, 2012 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  5. longtooth

    I'm a Mass. voter, and I like them both. Too bad we couldn't have them share the senate seat.

    April 1, 2012 07:21 pm at 7:21 pm |
  6. B

    It is time for Brown to leave town.

    Warren 2012!

    April 1, 2012 07:38 pm at 7:38 pm |
  7. MaryM

    Elizabeth you can win this one. The Repubs have shot themselves in the foot to many times this past year.

    April 1, 2012 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  8. Dave

    The country needs Elizabeth Warren.

    April 1, 2012 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  9. Larry L

    This is a basic good vs. evil race. Brown is the fair-haired boy for the fat-cats and Warren is a true public servant for the working folks. We'll see how gullible the voters are when they're continually hit with the "swift boat" ads paid for with money from the Koch brothers and the othe fascists.

    April 1, 2012 08:17 pm at 8:17 pm |
  10. Anonymous

    Go Elizabeth!

    April 1, 2012 08:27 pm at 8:27 pm |
  11. Pete

    Wait till Brown and Warren have a debate,it'll be all over but the cryin for Brown.She's in a league of her own with intelligence,desire,and she IS for the middle man and poor,something these republicans soon forget after the election is over.She is also well trained in government,something Brown still needs to grasp..She'll keep her campaign promises because she knows who put her there...Good luck Ms.Warren,may the luck of the Irish be with ya....

    April 1, 2012 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  12. S. B. Stein E.B. NJ

    The question I have is about Warren; does she plan on campaigning unlike the first person who faced Brown? I hope so because I wonder what Brown really does for the commonwealth. I believe that he doesn't fully understand the needs of the country.

    April 1, 2012 08:46 pm at 8:46 pm |
  13. Donkey Party

    If people are stupid enough to vote for Republicans (any of them), then they deserve all the misery that comes from doing so. When will people learn???

    April 1, 2012 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
  14. mm

    Go Warren!

    April 1, 2012 10:06 pm at 10:06 pm |
  15. Valentina

    I am from Massachusetts and I will definitely be voting for Brown. Warren is a partisan liberal – enough of that already.

    April 1, 2012 10:06 pm at 10:06 pm |
  16. Republicans are Neanderthals

    Brown should never have won in the first place all because of a lousy candidate and a complacent electorate. If Massachusetts is so Blue why are we even having this discussion? Democrats better get of their lazy butts and get Warren elected.

    April 1, 2012 10:08 pm at 10:08 pm |
  17. Get real

    Re-elect Scott Brown!!!

    April 1, 2012 10:19 pm at 10:19 pm |
  18. Charles W. Skinner

    This shows just how extreme a candidate that Elizabeth Warren is that in Massachusetts of all places (a Liberal haven), the Liberal candidate in the race is only just running "neck and neck." Warren should be mopping the floor with Brown. Maybe there IS hope for Massachusetts yet.....

    April 1, 2012 10:22 pm at 10:22 pm |
  19. Thomas

    Brown has the $ MONEY $ , Warren has the People !

    April 1, 2012 10:26 pm at 10:26 pm |
  20. GonzoinHouston

    It's hard to imagine Mass. electing a republican senator when given a reasonable democrat alternative, but stranger things have happened. They elected Romney, remember? And Warren has been successfully, if not accurately, branded as a left-wing flake by the GOP. Seven more months? Yeesh!

    April 1, 2012 10:27 pm at 10:27 pm |
  21. roro

    He won on his looks, his terrible opponent, and his pickup truck. What most people didn't realize at the time was that he used the pickup for his horses. The idiots who voted for him thought he was just a regular guy. Regular guys don't have their own horses. Warren, on the other hand, is extremely smart, articulate, and is looking out for all the regular guys.

    April 1, 2012 11:30 pm at 11:30 pm |
  22. normajean @ verizon ,com

    If the voters of Massachusetts. vote in Scott Brown ....you will get just what you deserve by not paying attention as to just what he stands for.....The Republican party as a whole intends to drastically cut staples of our lives that we have depended on for years particularly health care while at the same time adding to the bank accounts of the very wealthy... This they have virtually promised already. They have done nothing to improve the economy of this country and all they are trying to do is bring down a president who has been trying to save it. DON'T YOU PEOPLE IN MASS. KNOW HOW TO READ????? The best thing that could happen to your future lives would be Elizabeth Warren.!!!!

    April 2, 2012 12:18 am at 12:18 am |
  23. ThinkAgain

    Go, Elizabeth, Go! Massachusetts and the rest of the country needs your smarts and advocacy for the average American!

    April 2, 2012 01:52 am at 1:52 am |
  24. J.V.Hodgson

    Brown is one of the better Republican senators, but I would prefer Warren on balance to win this election as a lesson to the so strongly ideological and opposed to tax increases ( Grover Norquist party pledgors) Republican party.
    The debt sitiauation cannot be resolved without some significant tax increases or withdrawal of tax incentives, or both. Spending cuts alone will put us back in recession and hurt the poor and middle class very hard again.
    Regards,
    Hodgson.

    April 2, 2012 02:16 am at 2:16 am |
  25. Libertyfreedom

    Warren is a phoney Champagne Socialist, and the voters of Massachusetts are sick of that nonsense.

    GO, SCOTT, GO!!!

    April 2, 2012 02:30 am at 2:30 am |
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