CNN’s GUT CHECK for April 9, 2012
April 9th, 2012
05:05 PM ET
2 years ago

CNN’s GUT CHECK for April 9, 2012

CNN's GUT CHECK | for April 9, 2012 | 5 p.m.
- n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle

DEVELOPING: North Korea's coming satellite launch and the possibility of a nuclear test would both be a "blatant violation" of North Korea's international obligations, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations told CNN's John King in an interview on Monday.

"We have taken the view that these are highly provocative steps," Ambassador Susan Rice said in the interview airing at 6 p.m. ET on CNN's "John King, USA." "They have nothing to gain and only further isolation to anticipate should they go ahead with this."

For more, check out CNN’s Security Clearance.

TRAIL TRIVIA
(Answer below)
Name the singer, who on this day in 1939, performed at the Lincoln Memorial before 75,000 people after being denied the opportunity to hold the concert at DAR Constitution Hall. For extra credit, this person sang the national anthem at which president’s inauguration?

MARK (@PrestonCNN) & MICHELLE (@MJaconiCNN)
What caught our eye today in politics

As Mitt Romney savored victory in Wisconsin last week for sweeping the Wisconsin, District of Columbia and Maryland Republican primaries and Rick Santorum stood before Pennsylvania voters vowing he would win the state later this month, another rival was far, far away addressing college students in California.

Ron Paul was on his college tour, a circuit usually reserved for up-and-coming rock bands and comedians. But Paul’s appeal to young voters is no joke, which is why he stopped at three California campuses - Berkeley, Chico and UCLA - where he highlighted his campaign cry of “Liberty.”

The 12-term Texas congressman is still running for the Republican presidential nomination even if it is a long, long, long shot, at best, for him to win. So far, Paul has only collected 71 delegates and for him to capture the GOP nomination he would have to win 96% of the remaining delegates, according to CNN’s delegate estimate.

These insurmountable odds have not deterred his campaign of more than 50 people from moving forward, including a fundraising operation that is helping fuel his White House bid and his campaign of ideas on reforming the government. Paul is expected to show that he raised more than $10 million in the first quarter of 2012, not bad considering he has yet to win a primary or caucus.

“We are in it until Dr. Paul is the nominee or another candidate has 1,144 bound delegates,” said Jesse Benton, Paul’s campaign manager.

“Bound” is the key word in Benton’s comment, because it is the Paul campaign’s contention there are delegates on the table from caucuses that have already been held in states such as Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada and Washington. The more delegates Paul is able to accumulate, the stronger his hand would be at a brokered convention, which is very unlikely to happen.

“Our people are in the right places,” Paul said during a recent interview with CNN’s Piers Morgan. “They're doing the things to become a delegate. So it's way too soon for you to write anybody off. Besides, just because somebody is in second or third place … there's a race going on. What if Mitt Romney isn't the best person? Why should we just throw in the towel because people like you say ‘Hey, throw in the towel; people don't want you out there wanting to debate the war and wanting to debate the Federal Reserve and wanting to debate this civil liberties, you know, assassination on American citizens, the military arresting Americans?’”

Barring unforeseen circumstances, Romney is going to be the GOP nominee, and Paul has yet to say he will endorse him. But to do so would undercut Paul’s message, at least at this point in the campaign, as he criticizes the Republican establishment and proclaims he is the only one who can fix Washington.

It is unclear what Paul will decide to do. He is retiring at the end of the year so it is unlikely he will shutter his presidential campaign now and disappear. And Paul has brushed off suggestions he will run for president outside the confines of the Republican Party like he did in 1988 as the Libertarian Party nominee.

By remaining in the GOP, Paul can only help his son, Rand, who will inherit the political organization his father built. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Kentucky, champions a similar political philosophy as his father and is often mentioned as someone interested in running for president in 2016 if President Obama wins re-election.

But that is a long way off. Ron Paul is still running for president and this week he has three rallies planned in his home state, beginning with a campaign event Tuesday night at Texas A&M University.

the LEDE
Did you miss it?
Leading CNNPolitics: Romney camp pulls Santorum attack ad
Mitt Romney's presidential campaign said Monday it was pulling a television ad hitting rival Rick Santorum while Santorum tends to his young daughter Isabella, who was admitted to a hospital Friday.

Leading Drudge: O'Keefe Voter Fraud Investigation: Young Man Offered Holder's Ballot
U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder has declared that there is no proof that in-person voter fraud is a problem. He's about to see proof that even he can't deny.

Leading HuffPo: Mitt Romney Faces Lengthy To-Do List As Likely Republican Nominee
Among the tasks: Raise as much money as possible for the general election campaign against President Barack Obama. Hire more people and send them to the most critical states in the fall race. Hone his message to appeal to voters across the political spectrum.

Leading Politico: 'Orphan' state parties worry GOP
National Republicans have begun to intervene in a handful of key Senate and House battlegrounds where state parties are in disarray, seeking to head off the possibility that local mismanagement could cost the party control of Congress.

Leading The New York Times: ‘Super PAC,’ Eyeing General Election, Aims Blitz at Obama
American Crossroads, the biggest of the Republican “super PACs,” is planning to begin its first major anti-Obama advertising blitz of the year, a moment the Obama re-election campaign has been girding for and another sign that the general election is starting in earnest.

TRAIL MOMENTS
The political bites of the day

– In all likelihood, I will be the nominee –
MITT ROMNEY ON MIKE HUCKABEE’S RADIO SHOW: “You know, we are pretty open-eyed about this and as we talk about where we are at this stage in all likelihood I will be the one that gets the delegates to become the nominee. That is not a sure thing. There is always a possibility of some kind of discontinuous event that changes everything. But I think that is extremely remote and I think he [Gingrich] feels the same way.”

– Santorum’s daughter released from hospital –
RICK SANTORUM’S SPOKESMAN HOGAN GIDLEY IN A MEDIA RELEASE: “We appreciate the outpouring of support and prayers. The prayers worked, she’s doing much better, so we’re thankful for that. It puts things in perspective.”

– Continuing to appeal to women voters –
PRESIDENT OBAMA INTRODUCED HIS WIFE AT THE WHITE HOUSE EASTER EGG ROLL: “My job is very simple, it is to introduce the powerhouse of the White House. The one truly in charge as Malia, Sasha and Bo all know – the first lady of the United States, Michelle Obama.”

TOP TWEETS
What stopped us in 140 characters or less

TRIVIA ANSWER
Marian Anderson, the legendary black opera singer, was forced to perform at the Lincoln Memorial in 1939 after being denied the opportunity to hold a concert at DAR Constitution Hall. Her Easter Sunday Lincoln Memorial concert has been described as “a pivotal point in the struggle for racial equality,” by the National Society Daughters of the American Revolution, who have expressed regret for denying Anderson the opportunity to appear at their venue.

First lady Eleanor Roosevelt was instrumental in helping Anderson secure the Lincoln Memorial as the alternative venue. The first lady also resigned her membership in the DAR after the organization refused to relent and allow Anderson to hold her concert in their building. Anderson would eventually perform at Constitution Hall, after the DAR invited her to appear for a war relief concert in 1943. She would go on to perform several more times at Constitution Hall, including using the venue as the first performance in her farewell tour in 1964.

Anderson also sang the national anthem at President John F. Kennedy’s inauguration in 1961. Anderson died in 1993. She was 96.

GOT NEWS?
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Filed under: CNN's Gut Check
soundoff (4 Responses)
  1. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    As a hunter of varmints, personhood presidential candidate Mittens, appears to have gotten the "Guns for Jesus" crowd's support. The republican clown show is rapidly coming to an end.

    April 9, 2012 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  2. Russ

    Ron Paul is a perfect example of Republican stuborness. He is hopelessly behind and has no chance of even coming close to winning the GOP nomination. However, in his mihd he is winning and will pull this off even though he is hurting the party more than helping it. Like so many of his fellow Republicans he is dilusional. The Democrats love this!! It makes the dumbest Democrat appear to be smart.

    April 9, 2012 07:25 pm at 7:25 pm |
  3. Nicholas

    I appreciate the unbiased, fact-based piece of writing. It's much respected, as it seems rare these days.

    Although, I strongly disagree with one sentence: "By remaining in the GOP, Paul can only help his son, Rand..."

    For Ron Paul, and most of his supporters, this isn't about Ron Paul (or him becoming President, although that is a goal and would greatly help our cause), it's about us citizens demanding a government that follows our laws, is financially responsible, stops taking away so many basic rights (NDAA, Patriot Act, Trespass Bill), is transparent, and serves the people – not corporations. Ron Paul happens to be the leading voice in this movement. So him staying in this race as long as possible serves this movement, continuing to spread OUR message (that the mainstream media is so skilled at misrepresenting or ignoring), and calling out other politicians for the liars they are. So he is serving his supporters, and the ideology he has been working towards for over 30 years, not his son's future. And as long as the current establishment GOP is still in control of the party, Rand Paul won't have much influence in it regardless.

    April 9, 2012 07:32 pm at 7:32 pm |
  4. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    Ron Paul doesn't have a chance unless the rest of the candidates tell their delegates to vote for Paul at the convention. Paul's ideas are fine if we lived in an ideal world where we all have the same rational point of view. The problem is that we aren't in that world. It is great that he is getting the young involved, but he still isn't getting them into the voting booth is his major flaw right now.

    April 9, 2012 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |