CNN Poll of Polls: All knotted up between Obama and Romney
April 18th, 2012
10:39 AM ET
2 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: All knotted up between Obama and Romney

Washington (CNN) – With six and a half months to go until November's presidential election, it's basically all tied up between President Barack Obama and all-but-certain Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, according to an average of the four national surveys conducted entirely after former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania suspended his campaign on April 10.

A CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Wednesday indicates that, on average, 47% of registered voters in the four polls say they back Obama, with 45% supporting Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who is making his second bid for the White House. With each poll having a sampling error greater than Obama's two-point margin over Romney, it's fair to say that the race can be considered a dead heat.

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The announcement by Santorum that he was suspending his campaign was widely seen as the moment when the presidential campaign entered a new phase, moving from a primary fight to a general election battle. Even though former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas continue their long-shot bids for the nomination, Romney is now generally considered the presumptive GOP presidential nominee.

The four surveys are from CBS News/New York Times (conducted April 13-17), Gallup's daily tracking poll (conducted April 12-16), CNN/ORC International (April 13-15), and Reuters/Ipsos (April 12-15).

As the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of other surveys, there is no sampling error for the results.

Also see:

Nugent threatens death if Obama wins in November

Romney campaign 'bracketing' aims to 'step on president's message'

Dems, Republicans make their picks in election to replace Giffords

Romney chimes in on Secret Service, GSA


Filed under: CNN Poll of polls • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (78 Responses)
  1. John

    So 3 of the polls have a virtual tie, and CNN/ORC has a 9 point spread in favor of Obama? Posters on this site love to rip fox news, as I do, but come on now, 9 points off of everyone else?

    I also noticed that when you posted that Obama was up by 9 it was front and center in the politics section on my iphone. I'm looking at my iphone home page now and don't see this story mentioned anywhere...

    I can't imagine why people think CNN desperately wants Obama to win.

    April 18, 2012 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
  2. obama victim

    Barriy is history

    April 18, 2012 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  3. Jay

    Obama is tied with a man who hides his money overseas to aviod paying taxes on it, only in America!!!!!!!!!

    April 18, 2012 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  4. Jean

    Funny polls! so just because Santorun has withdrawn Romneys is doing well? What has change about Romney? Nothing! This is the same Romney two there four... months ago. CNN want's the contest to look competitive so that people will continue to pay attention to the media houses. Game is over. OBAMA will be relected! The economy is growing and not declining, the stock market is back over 12,000 or it 13,000 (was 7,600 when Obam took office).

    April 18, 2012 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  5. Walter

    Wait, that can't be. The left has declared it will be a cakewalk for Obama. Perhaps they, just like their decision to vote for him in 2008, were wrong.

    April 18, 2012 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  6. Bill the Cat

    Funny that CNN was trumpeting Obama's "double digit lead" just a week ago. This must really wrankle some hides there!

    April 18, 2012 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  7. Grahame Rhodes

    Great........... Obama hasn't even started yet and Santorum warns against Romney anyway. Let the games begin.

    April 18, 2012 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  8. ArtVandely

    You can take this to the bank......... Obama is ONE and DONE. The country has grown tired of this man and his administration.

    April 18, 2012 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  9. Angie

    I think Romney will win in November; if at this point Obama is doing so bad, it will go downhill even further with all these scandals – GSA, Secret Service, Solyndra – all under his watch.

    April 18, 2012 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  10. Shmeckell

    Hahaha, silly polls, two days ago the headline read "Obama lead Romney by 9 points"

    April 18, 2012 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  11. Patricksday

    The Wealthy vs the Average American people, who will win? Who will sell out their fellow man to favor the rich?

    April 18, 2012 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  12. Big George in Big D

    CNN – why are you even bothering? It has been shown that your "pool" of people you poll are, in large part, democrats. Of course it will be skewed towards Nobama. Now that you seem to show a tie, you must have included some republicans. Rasmussen polls are about the only accurate ones as he polls registered, likely voters. But, typical CNN style, keep the "juices" flowing, lies, lies, lies.

    April 18, 2012 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  13. jettree

    By including the Gallup poll, aren't you making a big jump in logic that if you disapprove of Obama's job performance, that you will vote for Romney? Aren't there several alternatives such as not voting at all, voting for Obama anyway, voting for a write-in or 3rd party candidate, etc. Seems to me you're including this poll to make the numbers closer to a dead heat so you can gin up web-site hits and interest for ratings.

    April 18, 2012 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  14. NJBob

    This is what happens when you have an uneducated populace. To vote Republican and still retain credibility, you have to satisfy two criteria: 1) you need to make more than $1 million/year, and 2) you must be completely devoid of morals. Voting Republican without meeting those criteria means you're a masochist with a very, very poor memory.

    April 18, 2012 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  15. Hk

    You go Romney!!

    April 18, 2012 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  16. byrdlegs1947

    Obama favored by Hispanics 70-14, women 56-27, Blacks 98-2, and Independents 55-44 according to reports for the last few weeks. Just recently Obama was more liked by 58 to 27 with 63% of ppl thinking Obama will win the election.
    Just wondering how they could be in a dead heat (Obama 45-Romney 43), according to April 18th CNN article. And a few stories below this article, CNN says Obama leads by 9....And you wonder why no one pays much attention to your political coverage.

    April 18, 2012 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  17. Granger

    "Poll of polls..." In other words, Obama minions will keep seeking polls, enter the data into an equation that'll render a number favorable for Obama. If it's not, then that particular poll number will be removed, and another added into the mix until a solidly, biased, liberally-favored result is rendered. Despite the total disaster this president has been, it's amazing the following...shows how uneducated his followers are.

    April 18, 2012 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  18. Mighty

    I would LOVE if Romney wins so he can finish killing the middle class. He does have a history of killing the middle class.

    April 18, 2012 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  19. Leroy Linux

    It should be a 30 point lead for Obama over a man who made 300 million dollars firing people and wants to attack Iran and cuts all taxes to the Rich. I don't get how Americans think. Not only does Romney dislike helping poor and middle class but he flaunts it. What does this say about Americans in general? Do this many hate their own and disrespect the rest of the world?

    April 18, 2012 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  20. TSB8C

    Anyone or anything instead of Obama.

    April 18, 2012 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  21. rusty_shackleford

    Interesting that CNN's little poll shows Obama with the lead, but legitimate Polls like Gallup and Pew Have Romney up over Obama. Even more interesting that CNN refuses to show these legitimate poll numbers.

    April 18, 2012 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  22. enkephalin07

    Obama is starting to lose Independents. Trying to reproduce gains given by a do-nothing Congress has backfired, and now the same pigheaded partisanship appears from both sides. Romney hasn't even started his expected centerward shift, but in spite of his credibility problems, he's starting to look better next to the patently leftward initiatives Obama has been publicizing lately.

    April 18, 2012 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  23. clevercandi

    It's a llooonnnggg wait until November ;)

    April 18, 2012 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  24. Can'tTelltheTruth

    Just another day that you refuse to show how Ron Paul performs against Obama, which is better than Romney. He beats Obama in many polls. But that's counter to the narrative you want to create CNN, we know this. It amounts to you losing credibility, and ratings.

    April 18, 2012 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  25. The REAL Truth.. (not the imposter)

    This is an AVERAGE of registered votes... MOST are not.
    The Independents will generally not vote the GOP ticket in Nov. So once again, we're simply stirring it up here.

    April 18, 2012 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
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