CNN Poll of Polls: All knotted up between Obama and Romney
April 18th, 2012
10:39 AM ET
2 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: All knotted up between Obama and Romney

Washington (CNN) – With six and a half months to go until November's presidential election, it's basically all tied up between President Barack Obama and all-but-certain Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, according to an average of the four national surveys conducted entirely after former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania suspended his campaign on April 10.

A CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Wednesday indicates that, on average, 47% of registered voters in the four polls say they back Obama, with 45% supporting Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who is making his second bid for the White House. With each poll having a sampling error greater than Obama's two-point margin over Romney, it's fair to say that the race can be considered a dead heat.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

The announcement by Santorum that he was suspending his campaign was widely seen as the moment when the presidential campaign entered a new phase, moving from a primary fight to a general election battle. Even though former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas continue their long-shot bids for the nomination, Romney is now generally considered the presumptive GOP presidential nominee.

The four surveys are from CBS News/New York Times (conducted April 13-17), Gallup's daily tracking poll (conducted April 12-16), CNN/ORC International (April 13-15), and Reuters/Ipsos (April 12-15).

As the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of other surveys, there is no sampling error for the results.

Also see:

Nugent threatens death if Obama wins in November

Romney campaign 'bracketing' aims to 'step on president's message'

Dems, Republicans make their picks in election to replace Giffords

Romney chimes in on Secret Service, GSA


Filed under: CNN Poll of polls • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (78 Responses)
  1. Meredith B. Risheberger

    Add two more votes for President Obama from our house.

    April 18, 2012 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  2. Taylor

    Don't believe it CNN...... Obama is beating Unfit Mitt....stop the BS

    April 18, 2012 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  3. Molly

    Are comments being made on Twitter now – instead of to "Sound Off"? I do enjoy the comments. I really expect Pres. Obama to win by a landslide. I am in full support. I think that after the election – the repubs will have to cave in!
    Obama/Biden 2012.

    April 18, 2012 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  4. jcarter

    Why isn't this breaking news and how did the CNN Poll show Obama up by 9% when the others showed a much closer race?

    April 18, 2012 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  5. Joe Stubblefield

    Did you know Romney was a missionary in France for three years? That he's responsible for helping Staples, Dominoes Pizza, and Sports Authority for getting where they are today? Did you know that he erased a $3B deficit as gov. of Mass., and when he left office, the state had a $600M surplus? Imagine what this guy can do for the fiscal condition of our country! We should be praising the people like Romney that are super-rich – they obviously got there through smarts and hard work. Why are people so down on him because of his wealth? He earned it! He's offering his time to this country to help us! He doesn't need us, we need him! We already know what we're going to get with Obama, who has tried hard under tough conditions, but it is time for a change.

    April 18, 2012 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  6. tepeters

    You should not really include a tracking poll with standard polls

    April 18, 2012 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  7. Jason

    Talk to a statistician (or really, and undergrad who's taken a stats class). The sampling error is easy to calculate for a combined poll and 2% is likely a statistically significant difference.

    April 18, 2012 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  8. John B.

    Polls only mean something when done by Faux News. He is the clear winner according to them.

    April 18, 2012 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  9. We'll See

    This poll doesn't matter. It's about winning states and the electoral college. The victor will have to win the swing states. Poll the swing states and that will give you a better idea on how this thing might turn out.

    April 18, 2012 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  10. Eddie The Barber

    I don't understand what Romney is running on other than – he says Obama was too slow with the recovery (why would it be faster with Mitt – because he was successful at business – so was/am I – or is it as Mrs. Mitt says – "It's Mitt's time!" What in God's name does that mean – the man has no big ideas other than being crowned presiden and cutting taxes for the wealthy. Take a long hard look at this guy and you'll see that he's really the Wizzard of Oz.

    April 18, 2012 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  11. JSH

    Obama is the only choice. The GOP do not deserve to get back the keys after driving drunk and wrecking the economy. Obama has just pulled it from the ditch. Obama deserves another four years!

    April 18, 2012 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  12. danbrainin

    While many Republicans attempt to hint Obama is a Muslim (he is a clearly self-proclaimed Christian), they seem prepared to accept a Mormon (Romney is a self-proclaimed Mormon) as their candidate. I don't know one practising Chritstian, be they catholic, pentecostal or evangelical, who recognize Mormons as true Christians. So it puzzles me that republicans, most of who self-identify as Christian. Do they really prefer their man simply because he is a repblican?

    April 18, 2012 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  13. Aaron

    Just a few days ago Obama had a 9 point lead. That's why I don't trust these types of polls.

    April 18, 2012 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  14. albus

    There is hope for our future is Mitt wins.

    April 18, 2012 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  15. dwerbil

    New poll just in.....vast majority of voters do not believe in polls.

    April 18, 2012 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  16. Living Water

    It's interesting that they don't factor in the Rasmussen Tracking which says Gov. Romney is winning by 4% (47% to 43%). If you are going to report "an average of the four national surveys conducted entirely after former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania suspended his campaign on April 10," then why not make it the five national surveys conducted after Sen. Santorum dropped out? Probably because they don't want to admit Gov. Romney is winning. That's not mainstream media.

    April 18, 2012 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  17. Greg

    "As the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of other surveys, there is no sampling error for the results." Someone needs to take a statistics class, there is most certainly still an error arising from each of the four polls used in the composite.

    April 18, 2012 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  18. knows some math

    Yes there is a sampling error for the poll of polls, but I guess the folks at CNN to figure it out.

    April 18, 2012 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  19. Aaron and Allison

    So is the race considered a dead heat, or is Obama ahead by two? The poll of polls has no sampling error. Those of us who know statistics know what you mean, but you are intentionally being vague about propagated error to make a catchier headline. Very disappointing.

    April 18, 2012 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  20. The Truth Hurts

    Serious question: Has anyone actually been polled?

    April 18, 2012 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  21. Living Water

    Well I should have run the numbers first. Adding in the Rasmussen Tracking narrows the lead Pres. Obama has down to a .8% lead (46.2 to 45.4). I stand corrected. :)

    April 18, 2012 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  22. Lardoggy

    Wow,come on CNN,YOU know its like 30 point lead for Obama and it is Bushes fault!

    April 18, 2012 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  23. Joan

    But the liberal media said obama was up 9%...??? This is shocking news after I found out that Ann Romney is an obama supporter... She never worked a day in her life.

    April 18, 2012 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  24. The Real Truth and Nothing But the The Real Truth

    VERY scary there are that many people that would vote for four more years of this failure, record unemployment, record debt, record deficits, sky rocketing fuel and food prices. The only explanation is that the massive Democrat government welfare society has nearly taken over the country in terms of numbers. Letting the country go bankrupt might ultimately be our only alternative if Obama gets another 4 years.

    April 18, 2012 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  25. GOP hate america

    well lets see Obama and McCain polls showed them tied all the way to election day. How did that turn out.

    April 18, 2012 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
1 2 3 4