Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House
April 23rd, 2012
08:07 PM ET
3 years ago

Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House

Washington (CNN) - House Speaker John Boehner is sounding some alarm bells, saying "there's a one-in-three chance" Republicans could lose control of the House of Representatives in 2012.

Boehner sounded less than confident he would retain his gavel in an interview slated to air Tuesday on Fox News.

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"I would say that there is a two-in-three chance that we win control of the House again but there's a one-in-three chance that we could lose and I'm being myself, frank," Boehner told Fox News, according to a transcript of the interview.

Until now the speaker has not raised any concerns about his party's chances to keep control of the House this fall, and it's unusual for a top party leader to publicly express a pessimistic outlook.

But a spokesman for Boehner's political arm said the speaker was being "candid" and his comments were a deliberate move to remind supporters and potential donors that House Republicans need support this fall.

"We're looking at both sides of the coin," Cory Fritz told CNN. "Of course there is a chance that we could lose and we want to make sure we're doing everything we can so that our members have the resources they need so they can run and win."

Fritz noted there's a perception among some supporters that the "House is kind of lock," but he stressed "it would be mistake for anyone to take that for granted."

Supporters and donors have largely focused on the race for the White House and taking control of the Senate rather than House races. House Democrats would have to pick up 25 seats to retake the majority in the House.

Boehner also told Fox, "we've got a big challenge and we've got work to do."

A senior House GOP leadership aide echoed the need to highlight the importance of the House to the party's agenda for 2012.

"If you're a Republican, no matter what you want to do it's not going to matter if we don't keep the House," the aide said. "We've got to be prepared and people need to realize that."

In the interview, the speaker pointed out there are 32 districts in states where "there is no presidential campaign going to be run, no big Senate race." Specifically Boehner called 18 Congressional districts in California, New York and Illinois "orphan districts," where Romney is not expected to win, and said they are "frankly pretty vulnerable."

Asked about the House GOP candidates in those districts, Fritz said, "The goal is to get others to see that we have a lot of members in these states that need help."

So far Democrats have shown some optimism about the odds of regaining the majority in the House, but have been careful not to sound overconfident.

Asked last week to predict if Democrats could win back the House, their campaign chief, New York Rep. Steve Israel told CNN, "the House is in range."

The number two House Democrat Rep. Steny Hoyer told reporters last month if the economic recovery continued, "our chances are reasonably good that we can take back the House."

Also see:

Giuliani endorses Romney, downplays being running mate

Huntsman compares GOP to Communist Party of China

RNC formally backs Walker in recall


Filed under: 2012 • John Boehner
soundoff (331 Responses)
  1. spocksbrain

    Of course the GOP is worried and rightfully so. They basically wrested control of the House via a Tea Party led, reactionary surge in 2010 and the result has been near catastrophic intransigence. The ever younger electorate is not likley to be fooled again considering what has transpired. The Tea Party's own rallying cry, is now confounded with the likes of Romneycare's creator being their candidate. The GOP has proven quite convincingly it is the party of millionaires, oil companies, investment bankers, and anybody who can be bent by their redundant message of fear, flag, and apple pie. How many people will continue to buy into the hollow mantra that is was Obama and not the GOP that got us into this crisis?

    April 24, 2012 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  2. ARMYCSM

    It's over rethulicans. Romney is not your man. Sorry about your limited choices. Barrack is a better man.
    Thanks

    April 24, 2012 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  3. Jane

    If I were Boehner, I'd worry more about the real knife in the back that Cantor is planning than the theoretical knife in the back to the Republican malingerers in the House.

    April 24, 2012 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  4. WatchDawg

    @Jude,
    Unemployment is higher, the deficit is higher and spending is much higher or are you ignorant of facts.

    Again...STOP watching Faux, President Obama inherited a 10.7% unemployment rate...that number just didn't appear the day he took office...with the 23 months of straight growth unemployment numbers hover around 8.3%

    But than again, TGOP'ers refuse to accept the $1.3 Trillion dollar war on their watch.

    TARP was a Bush plan carried over to President Obama.

    But hey, if you want to go back to bleeding 700,000 jobs from the economy a month and a THIRD off the books war...by all means continue to watch Faux and vote TGOP.

    April 24, 2012 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  5. ya no

    I can't say that I blame Boehner from distancing himself. He has every appearance of a regret-filled member of a runaway lynch mob. He's no fool, and I can't see him drowning in the whirlpool of RNC nonsense.

    April 24, 2012 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  6. kayla

    cry me a river boehner.

    April 24, 2012 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  7. Gregg

    Americans are Gullible sheep.
    A loyal republican can find many faults with Obama
    A loyal Democrate can find many faults with a republican candidate.
    "Newsflash"
    Niether party does anything and keep getting away with it. Our system as a "built in blame" component to allow both parties to have an excuse for not getting things done. Everything is always the other parties fault.

    Welcome to the American experiment in democracy. It is quickly unraveling.

    April 24, 2012 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  8. G D

    We have 2 parties, both of which I've belonged to at various times depending on the people & ideas involved. We are at an all time low for both (quality people with good ideas & leadership skills). Our problem isn't the GOP, it's the 2 party system that is presently stifling the very creativity needed to overcome our future economic & social issues. MItt, trying so hard to be the conservative he hasn't been is only one example. We need more credible parties to form up!

    April 24, 2012 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  9. Rudy NYC

    grandoo

    I'm all for the republicans losing the house this November as long as that witch Pelosi doesn't become speaker again. Pelosi excluded the republicans from all discussion during her tenure and in doing so she contributed most to creation of the toxic environment and ensuing deadlock in the house!
    ----------–
    No, she didn't. If you are referring to Republicans not participating in the drafting of the health care reform law, then you are mistaken.

    After the Stimulus was passed in 2009, Democrats announced they were going to tackle one of the biggest costs to the government and working Americans, health care. Republicans immediately balked at the idea of health care reform. There are sound bites of every leading Congressional Republican stating that they would not participate in the "destruction of Democracy" and other nonsense.

    In other words, the Republicans excluded themselves from drafting the health care reform bill. When the bill was rolled out by Spkr. Pelosi, she was asked by a conservative reporter that Republicans had been complaining for months that they didn't know what was in it. Pelosi very cynically replied, "They have to pass it to find out what's in it."

    April 24, 2012 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  10. Thomas

    What brand of cigarets dose he smoke , Virginia Slims Menthols ?

    It's time for House Speaker John Boehner to do what he dose best , Run a Saloon and hit golf balls at the same time.!

    April 24, 2012 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  11. REG in AZ

    Just for the people's best interests and to curtail the concentration on blocking and faulting all efforts while withholding bipartisan cooperation and compromise to serve only political ambitions and the interests of "the money", their strong supporters, they should loose the house. What Boehner, McConnell, Cantor, Ryan and several others have done as "puppets" for "the money" has been irresponsible, obnoxious and literally criminal and, if no other way, they should be held accountable by voting them out of office.

    April 24, 2012 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  12. JohnnyInSNJ

    That is the single most honest thing Boehner has ever said. Although it may be more like 50/50

    April 24, 2012 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  13. Angela Birch

    9% approval rating for the GOP in the house. What gave him the first clue. Actually grandoo Gingrich eliminated the dems Pelosi didn't eliminate the GOP from legfislation. That was how we ended up with over 600 GOP amendments to the health insurance reform. Boehner back to the GOP eliminate the opposition party.

    April 24, 2012 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  14. Observer1991

    Good riddens. Maybe if they loose control of the House then they will actually try and work with Democrats to try and help the...Hahahahaha, I'm sorry. I just couldn't keep a straight face.

    April 24, 2012 03:13 pm at 3:13 pm |
  15. LikeHorseMeatBetter

    -LikeHorseMeatBetter, interesting how you argue that ignorance is bliss. Your statements reveal the alternate reality and ignrance the Right lives in. Unemployment is down, much to your annoyance, I'm sure, as well as the fact that Obama's annual deficeits are about 300 billion per year lower than Bush. Is everything wonderful? Nope, but its a damn sight better than it was when he took office. The banks and Wall Street have been doing everything they can to ensure they go back to the Happy Time they enjoyed under Bush when regs were a joke and enforcement was non-existent. Frankly, I think you hate the fact your heros are being held accountable.
    _________________________
    I see the koolaid gang is in full force. Considering this Obama admin has not passed a budget in over 3yrs where exactly are you getting your facts. Defecit spending is up by over 30%. Unemployement was 7.2% when Obama took office. He spent over $1Trillion in stimulus and promised the unemployment would not go above 8%. When Obama took office gas prices was $1.80. U know what it is today. Obama said Bush was unpatriotic for running up our debt & that our poor children would be left with this to pay off. Well he won and now he says s.c rew the children and spent over $5Trillion in 3 yrs!! More than any other president. Obama wants to spend oops I mean "invest" $6Trillion should he get a second term. So keep drinking that kool aid loser. U r a liberal. That means logic and facts do not matter!

    April 24, 2012 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
  16. LikeHorseMeatBetter

    WatchDawg

    @Jude,
    Unemployment is higher, the deficit is higher and spending is much higher or are you ignorant of facts.

    Again...STOP watching Faux, President Obama inherited a 10.7% unemployment rate...that number just didn't appear the day he took office...with the 23 months of straight growth unemployment numbers hover around 8.3%
    _______________________________________
    A BIG FAT LIE!!! Hey Obama lapdog, unemployment was 7.2% in Jan 2009 when Obama was sworn in. Go to the National Labor of Statistics. Why don't you put the kool aid down and stop watching the liberal MSM. You might learn something. Then again u r a liberal learning is not something u r capable off.

    April 24, 2012 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  17. LikeHorseMeatBetter

    Rudy NYC – Another liberal lie. Republicans were not included in anything are were also excluded for adding any amendments to Obamacare. They tried and were denied by Princess Pelosi. The Bill was drafted in the backrooms with deals flying left and right to pass the bill so we can read it. It was shameful what they did and is the main reason today why Congress is not working. When Dems did that, not only was it disrespectful to their colleagues who were voted in just like them, it was a slap in the face to the American people that voted for them. That set the tone for Congress and is the sole reason why this govt. run by this president is NOT working.

    April 24, 2012 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  18. Andy

    The idea that wealth trickles from the top to the bottom was an absolute failed experiment. Instead of creating jobs it weakened the economy. The rich got richer kudos to them, but to all the numbnuts arguing about socialism, well if we want to keep the rich wealther, is that not also a form of socialism? Regardless of where the tax breaks are given, reverse socialism was a failed experiment for 2 terms under Bush. GOP get out or make your time worthwhile. Moderate GOP guys like Huntsman don't even have a chance in your party. Is that not a shame?

    April 24, 2012 03:28 pm at 3:28 pm |
  19. WatchDawg

    @LikeHorse...in typical TGOP fashion, you forget about any carry over from Bush's failed polices...but hey...please pat yourself on the back for doing a little research...now...learn to adjust and carry over...I would suggest you might be one of the smart TGOP'ers...but than I remember there aren't any...lol

    April 24, 2012 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  20. Realist

    @ LikeHorseMeatBetter

    Everyone is biased, you just prefer the red kool aid and right biased news programmimng. as opposed to blue kool aid and left biased news reporting.... Apples and oranges, and both made of excrement

    April 24, 2012 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  21. Robert

    I realize Congress wants to play lame duck for the rest of the year and do stupid things like speculate about who gets control next year. Just once I'd like to be surprised by seeing someone actually giving a damn about getting things done for the American people NOW and up to and past the election this fall. For example, yesterday there's more dire news about the solvency of social security and medicare...certainly nothing new. But instead of wasting time making dire predictions about whether he'll be out of a job, Speaker Boehner should be rallying the troops to solve real problems now.

    April 24, 2012 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  22. Ol' Yeller

    @LikeHorseMeatBetter- The trend of job loss went steadily downward throughout the bush administration... look at your own numbers to see that. Unless you are ignorant, which I don't think you are, then you know the spike in unemployment was caused by the terrible mismanagment of the bush administration. When bush came into office we had a surplus ((from Clinton) after 8 years of tax cuts to the rich and two wars, we were in debt again. A lot of the debt you mention is the fact we now have to pay interest on all the money borrowed for the bush wars. The almost trillion dollar bail ot of the banks happened on bush's watch (just like his daddy did- remember the Keating scandal?) Obama did NOT create this world wide recession.... c'mon.
    Shouting lies do not make them true.

    April 24, 2012 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  23. LikeHorseMeatBetter

    The Real Tom Paine – all u libs ever do is point to Bush. Is Bush the level that you use to set the tone? Seriously, the man is long gone and none of you can run on the record of this president that was suppose to usher in the great HOPE & CHANGE. Obama said he was going to be a stark contrast to Bush, yet all you lapdogs do is justify Obama's actions by pointing to Bush. Where is the CHANGE? U voted for CHANGE and got ur CHANGE. But all you say is "well Bush did this too" & "Bush did that too". Republicans lost b/c of what Bush did. You guys voted for CHANGE? So where is the CHANGE?

    April 24, 2012 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  24. Jude

    Sorry but unemployment was 7.8% when Obama was inaugurated. It is verifiable through all your favorite media outlets that extol the idiocy of Obama's message daily. No doubt Bush spent terribly but that was baby stuff compared to the anti-prosperity President.

    April 24, 2012 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
  25. The Real Tom Paine

    -LikeHorseMeatBetter

    -LikeHorseMeatBetter, interesting how you argue that ignorance is bliss. Your statements reveal the alternate reality and ignrance the Right lives in. Unemployment is down, much to your annoyance, I'm sure, as well as the fact that Obama's annual deficeits are about 300 billion per year lower than Bush. Is everything wonderful? Nope, but its a damn sight better than it was when he took office. The banks and Wall Street have been doing everything they can to ensure they go back to the Happy Time they enjoyed under Bush when regs were a joke and enforcement was non-existent. Frankly, I think you hate the fact your heros are being held accountable.
    _________________________
    I see the koolaid gang is in full force. Considering this Obama admin has not passed a budget in over 3yrs where exactly are you getting your facts. Defecit spending is up by over 30%. Unemployement was 7.2% when Obama took office. He spent over $1Trillion in stimulus and promised the unemployment would not go above 8%. When Obama took office gas prices was $1.80. U know what it is today. Obama said Bush was unpatriotic for running up our debt & that our poor children would be left with this to pay off. Well he won and now he says s.c rew the children and spent over $5Trillion in 3 yrs!! More than any other president. Obama wants to spend oops I mean "invest" $6Trillion should he get a second term. So keep drinking that kool aid loser. U r a liberal. That means logic and facts do not matter!
    *************************************************************
    Wow. Nice to see the cult members are out in force today. I guess you missed the fact that TARP was a creation of Bush, something that Cheney said was needed to stop the bleeding. I also see that you've completely ignored the books off the wars and other various untracked expenses taht were dumped in Obama's lap when he took office. Obama said, point blank, that the situation would get worse after he came into office because the recession had not bottomed out. It bottomed out, and we've seen over 2 years of continuous job growth since then. Has it been fast enough to offset the pain of decades of wilfull neglect by the GOP? Nope, but its a start, and I will take that any day over returning to the methods and ideas that got us into that mess in the first place. By the way, name any place in the country where gas prices were $1.80 in 2008: they were hitting over $4 a gallon where I live. Your memory has been scrubbed of the truth, and been replaced with the fantasies of the Right where the last decade was some kind of paradise. The fact is that the GOP is offering nothing new in terms of ideas that has not already been tried and failed, but, if you want to think the world came crashing down when Obama was elected, be my guest. The fact is, we are trending in the right direction, and the only thing that can screw that up is the GOP getting back in control of all 3 branches of government and handing everything back to the same people who ran the government and the nation into the ditch. If you count that as progress, than you probably have pictures of Herbert Hoover on your bedroom wall. What is unpatriotic is deliberate obstruction of a national economic recovery, and that is EXACTLY what the GOP is doing. They don't care about you or me, only the exercise of power masquerading as fereedom. Too bad you are too filled with hate and ignorance to understand that, but you seem to very selective in cherry-picking facts to build a reality for yourself. Now, run along and take your meds, your hourly propaganda dose on FOX ( Saudi-owned media) is coming up, and I'm sure you need your thoughts for the day handed to you since you obviously lack your own.

    April 24, 2012 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
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