Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House
April 23rd, 2012
08:07 PM ET
6 years ago

Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House

Washington (CNN) - House Speaker John Boehner is sounding some alarm bells, saying "there's a one-in-three chance" Republicans could lose control of the House of Representatives in 2012.

Boehner sounded less than confident he would retain his gavel in an interview slated to air Tuesday on Fox News.

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"I would say that there is a two-in-three chance that we win control of the House again but there's a one-in-three chance that we could lose and I'm being myself, frank," Boehner told Fox News, according to a transcript of the interview.

Until now the speaker has not raised any concerns about his party's chances to keep control of the House this fall, and it's unusual for a top party leader to publicly express a pessimistic outlook.

But a spokesman for Boehner's political arm said the speaker was being "candid" and his comments were a deliberate move to remind supporters and potential donors that House Republicans need support this fall.

"We're looking at both sides of the coin," Cory Fritz told CNN. "Of course there is a chance that we could lose and we want to make sure we're doing everything we can so that our members have the resources they need so they can run and win."

Fritz noted there's a perception among some supporters that the "House is kind of lock," but he stressed "it would be mistake for anyone to take that for granted."

Supporters and donors have largely focused on the race for the White House and taking control of the Senate rather than House races. House Democrats would have to pick up 25 seats to retake the majority in the House.

Boehner also told Fox, "we've got a big challenge and we've got work to do."

A senior House GOP leadership aide echoed the need to highlight the importance of the House to the party's agenda for 2012.

"If you're a Republican, no matter what you want to do it's not going to matter if we don't keep the House," the aide said. "We've got to be prepared and people need to realize that."

In the interview, the speaker pointed out there are 32 districts in states where "there is no presidential campaign going to be run, no big Senate race." Specifically Boehner called 18 Congressional districts in California, New York and Illinois "orphan districts," where Romney is not expected to win, and said they are "frankly pretty vulnerable."

Asked about the House GOP candidates in those districts, Fritz said, "The goal is to get others to see that we have a lot of members in these states that need help."

So far Democrats have shown some optimism about the odds of regaining the majority in the House, but have been careful not to sound overconfident.

Asked last week to predict if Democrats could win back the House, their campaign chief, New York Rep. Steve Israel told CNN, "the House is in range."

The number two House Democrat Rep. Steny Hoyer told reporters last month if the economic recovery continued, "our chances are reasonably good that we can take back the House."

Also see:

Giuliani endorses Romney, downplays being running mate

Huntsman compares GOP to Communist Party of China

RNC formally backs Walker in recall

Filed under: 2012 • John Boehner
soundoff (331 Responses)
  1. jake

    ya good luck on that one boehner. the gop are toast in the house. 88% dissaproval rating. nice job gop.

    April 23, 2012 10:30 pm at 10:30 pm |
  2. Justjean

    The GOP has painted themselves into a corner. Nobody believes them any more and no one really knows what they're really getting when they vote for GOP'er. Dems will win down the line. As a people we understand now how badly the GOP hurt, and lmost killed our economy and how they are determined to benefit the wealthiest power people at the risk of everyone else. We have not yet forgiven them for what they to us did under Bush. Ripples from that administration continue to haunt us and make it very hard, but not impossible for the new present administration to improve things.

    April 23, 2012 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  3. Mona

    I sure hope his prediction is correct! What a wonderful thing to happen! Perhaps, voting out the party of "NO" & getting some new fresh thinking on both sides would be a plus-plus. But alas, even if that should happen, there is always someone
    waiting in the wings to screw things up!

    April 23, 2012 10:37 pm at 10:37 pm |
  4. Robyn

    For America's sake, Lose and Lose Big!

    April 23, 2012 10:40 pm at 10:40 pm |
  5. Sandra, Atl

    We can only hope. I don't like Nancy Pelosi but she is no worse than the Tea Party and Boehner!

    April 23, 2012 10:43 pm at 10:43 pm |
  6. Vern

    I don't get it...... Give us money so we can buy our way into office. This goes for both dems and repubs. Let's try a British type election. 6 weeks of campaigning with a $15,000 budget per person. Maybe the individual would spend more time saying what they could do and less time about what the other isn't doing. Politicians no longer can say what they stand for and why. When the national TV news is making fun of flip flopping time to try some hard core soul searching people.

    April 23, 2012 10:44 pm at 10:44 pm |
  7. S. B. Stein E.B. NJ

    I don't see the Democrats retaking the House, but there could be a reduction in the control the Republicans have in the House. It will be a tough fight come the fall. I doubt that the current speaker will still be after the November election no matter who controls the House.

    April 23, 2012 10:53 pm at 10:53 pm |
  8. Stevel

    He doesn't deserve to be the leader, he did a terrible job. He is follower not a leader, he did very little to help the economy get better. He made no effort to work with the other side of the isle. He seems like a nice guy, but he just can't do the job, he is way over his head.

    April 23, 2012 10:54 pm at 10:54 pm |
  9. rika33

    Just amping up the fear index like any good republican

    April 23, 2012 10:59 pm at 10:59 pm |
  10. GonzoinHouston

    One can only hope that the districts that elected the TP extremists will remove said folks from office. Even if it happens, it is doubtful that the democrats will come away with 60 healthy, reliable senators. Either Obama & Co. will have to change the filibuster rules and take the heat or face four more years of getting nothing done.

    April 23, 2012 11:08 pm at 11:08 pm |
  11. taylor

    i wouldnt vote for one of them to be dog catcher.

    April 23, 2012 11:10 pm at 11:10 pm |
  12. Keith

    This next election is going to frost a lot of folks, the Democrats are going to persevere and the Republicans will lose.

    America is tired of the lies while more working class people become working poor. I was a Republican since 1972, Bush and his buddies finally convinced me that the Republicans didn’t care about the Working Class.

    April 23, 2012 11:11 pm at 11:11 pm |
  13. petena

    I hope you lose Mr. Speaker.

    April 23, 2012 11:11 pm at 11:11 pm |
  14. roy

    And they should lose it, they have done NOTHING since they been elected...

    April 23, 2012 11:15 pm at 11:15 pm |
  15. LTNN7890

    The Ryan Budget ......... Thats what the Republicans are all about , if any one is noticing , Romney refuses to say what he's going to do to you or for you , he just says Vote for me ? he cant run on that ,OBAMA on the other hand has described just exactly what needs to be done and if we can take control of the Congress he can do it , and i'm saying we will need to take the Senate too , But i think people are finished with the Repub's this time .

    April 23, 2012 11:15 pm at 11:15 pm |
  16. JS

    The socialist Progressives have taken over the Democratic party, the media and universities. If we don't vote them out of office and hopefully open the way for responsible democrats and certainly a majority of conservatives, this country is going down to a self destructive path.

    I hope voters realize that Obama and company do not represent the good values of the Democratic party

    April 23, 2012 11:20 pm at 11:20 pm |
  17. Pete/Ark

    Still trying to claim an edge ? Mr. Speaker ,I don;t have Mitts 10 grand but if you want to make a little side bet on it ONLY being 1 out off 3 that you lose.....lemme check the piggy bank.

    April 23, 2012 11:22 pm at 11:22 pm |
  18. Mom to 3

    The odds are higher than one in three that the GOP will lose the House. The GOP is just too extreme for America.

    April 23, 2012 11:24 pm at 11:24 pm |
  19. Tony

    It doesn't matter if they win or lose. Voting has beocme a matter of deciding which liar will do the least damage. And sadly they seem to be in a contest to out do the other in the damage department.

    April 23, 2012 11:38 pm at 11:38 pm |
  20. rickinmo

    Without republican control of the House, where will all the useless legislation that has no chance of passing in the Senate come from?

    April 23, 2012 11:57 pm at 11:57 pm |
  21. citizen9

    At last, someone from the right is telling the truth.

    April 24, 2012 12:04 am at 12:04 am |
  22. Mike H.

    It would be better for the country if the Republicans were sent home.

    April 24, 2012 12:08 am at 12:08 am |
  23. Former Republican, now an Independent

    It would sure be good for the nation to get these obstructionists out of office. It should start with Boehner and Cantor and proceed through Paul Ryan and the rest of these do nothing losers!

    April 24, 2012 12:09 am at 12:09 am |
  24. Detached in Canada

    Whatever the result, the GOP obsructionists do not deserve to even be in Congress. They really paint a very poor image of the USA for the rest of the world.

    April 24, 2012 12:22 am at 12:22 am |
  25. Damien

    The GOP better hope for an economic downturn. Maybe they'll even give it a push. I wonder if there is some debt limit deadline looming – The Republican't Party could get our credit rating dropped again and blame it on Obama.

    April 24, 2012 12:28 am at 12:28 am |
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