Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House
April 23rd, 2012
08:07 PM ET
6 years ago

Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House

Washington (CNN) - House Speaker John Boehner is sounding some alarm bells, saying "there's a one-in-three chance" Republicans could lose control of the House of Representatives in 2012.

Boehner sounded less than confident he would retain his gavel in an interview slated to air Tuesday on Fox News.

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"I would say that there is a two-in-three chance that we win control of the House again but there's a one-in-three chance that we could lose and I'm being myself, frank," Boehner told Fox News, according to a transcript of the interview.

Until now the speaker has not raised any concerns about his party's chances to keep control of the House this fall, and it's unusual for a top party leader to publicly express a pessimistic outlook.

But a spokesman for Boehner's political arm said the speaker was being "candid" and his comments were a deliberate move to remind supporters and potential donors that House Republicans need support this fall.

"We're looking at both sides of the coin," Cory Fritz told CNN. "Of course there is a chance that we could lose and we want to make sure we're doing everything we can so that our members have the resources they need so they can run and win."

Fritz noted there's a perception among some supporters that the "House is kind of lock," but he stressed "it would be mistake for anyone to take that for granted."

Supporters and donors have largely focused on the race for the White House and taking control of the Senate rather than House races. House Democrats would have to pick up 25 seats to retake the majority in the House.

Boehner also told Fox, "we've got a big challenge and we've got work to do."

A senior House GOP leadership aide echoed the need to highlight the importance of the House to the party's agenda for 2012.

"If you're a Republican, no matter what you want to do it's not going to matter if we don't keep the House," the aide said. "We've got to be prepared and people need to realize that."

In the interview, the speaker pointed out there are 32 districts in states where "there is no presidential campaign going to be run, no big Senate race." Specifically Boehner called 18 Congressional districts in California, New York and Illinois "orphan districts," where Romney is not expected to win, and said they are "frankly pretty vulnerable."

Asked about the House GOP candidates in those districts, Fritz said, "The goal is to get others to see that we have a lot of members in these states that need help."

So far Democrats have shown some optimism about the odds of regaining the majority in the House, but have been careful not to sound overconfident.

Asked last week to predict if Democrats could win back the House, their campaign chief, New York Rep. Steve Israel told CNN, "the House is in range."

The number two House Democrat Rep. Steny Hoyer told reporters last month if the economic recovery continued, "our chances are reasonably good that we can take back the House."

Also see:

Giuliani endorses Romney, downplays being running mate

Huntsman compares GOP to Communist Party of China

RNC formally backs Walker in recall

Filed under: 2012 • John Boehner
soundoff (331 Responses)
  1. erik

    a bit delusional, are you John? have you looked at your approval ratings lately? wouldn't surprise me if the whole lot was thrown out.

    April 24, 2012 12:30 am at 12:30 am |
  2. ha

    Is he ok , am worried that he telling the truth . God bless u Mr. Speaker

    April 24, 2012 01:05 am at 1:05 am |
  3. danielwalldammit

    Here's hoping for the 1!!

    April 24, 2012 01:08 am at 1:08 am |
  4. mk1

    Here is hoping that his prediction comes true.

    April 24, 2012 01:27 am at 1:27 am |
  5. Canadian Jim

    Attention Democrats – if by chance you take back the house, will you please act like you have a majority and not waste 2-4 years with a majority, being told no by the whiner minority anc get nothing done? You know which Republicans are just going to say "NO" so work with the ones who have a brain and move the country forward and the debt down. SOme of us don't want to be ruled by Big Business and China.

    April 24, 2012 01:29 am at 1:29 am |
  6. Omar Dice

    ese people just have no credibility on ANY issue, least of all anything economically related.

    it is THEIR members who have declared war on women across the country, having introduced ELEVEN HUNDRED PIECES OF LEGISLATION AND COUNTING specifically designed to take control of womens' bodies away from them, and put it into the hands of totally strange old men.

    it is RIGHT WING EXTREMISTS who want to do things like take food away from pregnant women and children in order to give money to the rich. they want to take away medical care, food and housing from senior citizens by stealing the funds for these purposes they have paid into all their lives in order to give money to the rich. they want to take school lunches from children, knowing full well that lunch is often the ONLY meal a lot of children get in order to give more money to the rich. they want to take away the protection of food inspection, environmental protection, and workplace safety in order to give more money to the rich.

    these are just a few of the things the rich want to deny to the average person in order to give more money to the rich.

    there are more women and children living in poverty in this country, and the right wants to not only add to that number, they want to make life even more impossible for them.

    April 24, 2012 01:34 am at 1:34 am |
  7. Omar Dice

    Republicans lied by getting elected to Congress on the pretext of jobs, then once they got in it became a vendetta against women, women will not forget come Nov.

    April 24, 2012 01:43 am at 1:43 am |
  8. Richard "BONEHEAD" Cheney

    The sky is falling, the sky is falling, send more money. The sky is falling, send even more money now!

    April 24, 2012 01:55 am at 1:55 am |
  9. pat carr

    you better believe the GOP will lose the House and rightfully so

    April 24, 2012 01:55 am at 1:55 am |
  10. s

    Oh you finall work up from tht Tan Dream

    April 24, 2012 04:06 am at 4:06 am |
  11. Orwell knows

    John, let's go for a 100% chance all the republicans loose their elections. Ok there are a few party loyalists who expouse high ethical standards, are not hypocrites, can compromise and are respected by democrats, like the ones in the senate who supported the nuclear weapons treaty, broke with the WACKO GOP nutline to do what is best for the country. The GOP forfeited its credibility so it could play stupid. Go back to your country of Republistan, and don't let the door hit you in the ALEC.

    April 24, 2012 04:14 am at 4:14 am |
  12. mb2010a

    If the House is swept clean of all the tea party representatives elected in 2010, which I fully expect to happen; the House will indeed go back to a Democratic majority. The typical American voter is sick and tired of the tea party and their antics and is quite ready to vote them all out...

    April 24, 2012 05:47 am at 5:47 am |
  13. corncop

    Good!!! Drop the gavel and exit quietly. Realization that the Republican extremist views are bad for the country? Realization that a majority of voters are not the wealthy eletists that they have been catering to? Campaign around that this fall. I'll be happy to see them go. Just hope that the Democrats don't get the same inflated egos and sense of mandate. How about doing the work of the people once again? Not the work of the party extremists ofr the rich and powerful?

    April 24, 2012 05:55 am at 5:55 am |
  14. Chris

    Since the GOP took over the House in 2010, they have been considered the most despised, the most useless Congress in American history. Their approval ratings are in the single digits. Their biggest "accomplishments" after ther first year in office is to get the country's credit rating downgraded and to declare pizza a vegetable.

    And Republicans honestly expect the American people to not only reelect these clowns but also to elect even more of them?

    April 24, 2012 06:10 am at 6:10 am |
  15. Don

    The odds are better than that John.

    April 24, 2012 06:20 am at 6:20 am |
  16. Rick 7809

    Just what positive actions have the House Republicans done in the past two years that makes them deserving to be re-elected?

    April 24, 2012 06:22 am at 6:22 am |

    Weeper of the House continues to lie to the American people like Mitt McCain so they should be afraid come Nov.
    Americans are waking up to their radical extremism.

    April 24, 2012 06:23 am at 6:23 am |
  18. Blindersoff

    "Put Something On The Table" Hic-up!

    April 24, 2012 06:31 am at 6:31 am |
  19. Rafli

    God, please open people eyes to vote for Democrat . Please not let evil republican keep their seat, we need you God.

    April 24, 2012 06:52 am at 6:52 am |
  20. cecilia

    you are going down – finally we will have a Congress that will work for the people

    April 24, 2012 07:01 am at 7:01 am |
  21. bearced

    As usual its all about winning not governing!

    April 24, 2012 07:19 am at 7:19 am |
  22. gregory21

    With the do nothing congress and tea party, I can,t see how they could win. Things will not get any better with those bumbs.

    April 24, 2012 07:24 am at 7:24 am |
  23. John

    John Boehner I don't think the Republican keeping the house chances are even that good. The American People can get dogs to do has good of jobs you Republican have done In the last three years. We can get dogs to bark NO all the time.

    April 24, 2012 07:25 am at 7:25 am |
  24. JustSaying2U

    Knowing the Tea Partiers, they will be quick with condemnation of Boehners' comments. After all, theyare not partial to reality...

    April 24, 2012 07:32 am at 7:32 am |
  25. neil

    That's good news.Boehner can spend the rest of his days on thegolf course instead of obstructing progress.Maybe we can get rid of the rest of the tea partiers while we are at it.That was most certainly one failed experiment.

    April 24, 2012 07:39 am at 7:39 am |
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