Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House
April 23rd, 2012
08:07 PM ET
6 years ago

Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House

Washington (CNN) - House Speaker John Boehner is sounding some alarm bells, saying "there's a one-in-three chance" Republicans could lose control of the House of Representatives in 2012.

Boehner sounded less than confident he would retain his gavel in an interview slated to air Tuesday on Fox News.

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"I would say that there is a two-in-three chance that we win control of the House again but there's a one-in-three chance that we could lose and I'm being myself, frank," Boehner told Fox News, according to a transcript of the interview.

Until now the speaker has not raised any concerns about his party's chances to keep control of the House this fall, and it's unusual for a top party leader to publicly express a pessimistic outlook.

But a spokesman for Boehner's political arm said the speaker was being "candid" and his comments were a deliberate move to remind supporters and potential donors that House Republicans need support this fall.

"We're looking at both sides of the coin," Cory Fritz told CNN. "Of course there is a chance that we could lose and we want to make sure we're doing everything we can so that our members have the resources they need so they can run and win."

Fritz noted there's a perception among some supporters that the "House is kind of lock," but he stressed "it would be mistake for anyone to take that for granted."

Supporters and donors have largely focused on the race for the White House and taking control of the Senate rather than House races. House Democrats would have to pick up 25 seats to retake the majority in the House.

Boehner also told Fox, "we've got a big challenge and we've got work to do."

A senior House GOP leadership aide echoed the need to highlight the importance of the House to the party's agenda for 2012.

"If you're a Republican, no matter what you want to do it's not going to matter if we don't keep the House," the aide said. "We've got to be prepared and people need to realize that."

In the interview, the speaker pointed out there are 32 districts in states where "there is no presidential campaign going to be run, no big Senate race." Specifically Boehner called 18 Congressional districts in California, New York and Illinois "orphan districts," where Romney is not expected to win, and said they are "frankly pretty vulnerable."

Asked about the House GOP candidates in those districts, Fritz said, "The goal is to get others to see that we have a lot of members in these states that need help."

So far Democrats have shown some optimism about the odds of regaining the majority in the House, but have been careful not to sound overconfident.

Asked last week to predict if Democrats could win back the House, their campaign chief, New York Rep. Steve Israel told CNN, "the House is in range."

The number two House Democrat Rep. Steny Hoyer told reporters last month if the economic recovery continued, "our chances are reasonably good that we can take back the House."

Also see:

Giuliani endorses Romney, downplays being running mate

Huntsman compares GOP to Communist Party of China

RNC formally backs Walker in recall

Filed under: 2012 • John Boehner
soundoff (331 Responses)
  1. Killdeer

    I think the House is already lost. As an independant voter I would not vote for any party of NO in this election.

    April 24, 2012 07:42 am at 7:42 am |
  2. mark

    His major problem is he believes he ought to be there

    April 24, 2012 07:51 am at 7:51 am |
  3. Mike

    If the economy recovery continued?

    Didn't realize it was actually going on right now. Funny how politicians view the economy through a different lens.

    April 24, 2012 07:52 am at 7:52 am |
  4. Robert Ingram

    Make it so, Lieutenant. Make it so.

    April 24, 2012 07:53 am at 7:53 am |
  5. Brandy

    Since The House is where the agenda comes from, why hasnt Boehner pushed for jobs bill

    April 24, 2012 08:00 am at 8:00 am |
  6. Marlee

    Too bad only one-third goes up for election at a time! We could get some real change for good if the officials were more accountable to the people.

    April 24, 2012 08:01 am at 8:01 am |
  7. idb

    Since the Senate is blocking everything the House does, thanks to Reid and his cronies, the House seems ineffectual. This is something that is conveniently ignored by the leftist media. The advantage is that nothing gets done, which actually benefits the economy. Time to vote the lot of them out.

    April 24, 2012 08:01 am at 8:01 am |
  8. chilly g

    Boehner has been the worst speaker ever,they got nothing done his main goal was to defeat the president at all cost

    April 24, 2012 08:27 am at 8:27 am |
  9. max33333445555

    im shocked

    April 24, 2012 08:31 am at 8:31 am |
  10. Scot

    Let us hope that the "tea Party" radical get swept out of the office and at least get some moderate republicans in there that will tone down the retoric and get to work. That goes for the other side. We need to get the Maxine Waters and alike out of the congress too.

    April 24, 2012 08:42 am at 8:42 am |
  11. Harry Wreckdom

    I sure hope he is right.........

    April 24, 2012 08:45 am at 8:45 am |
  12. Anne-Florida

    I heard some good words for anyone who votes Republican – "I will pray for you". What that does mean though that even if Republicans win, someone needs to be praying for the rest of us since their programs will affect all of us. With their pledge to never raise taxes and Romney's plan to cut more taxes for the rich, their trickle down programs will doom all of us. For the last 40 years this has been their mantra and people swallow this hook line and sinker. If anyone ever took the time to see charts showing the disparity of monies between the poor, middle class and rich, they would realize what I am saying. Good luck people, remember we are all in this together!!!

    April 24, 2012 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  13. Republican who supports President Obama

    The GOP are an EPIC FAILURE to this country. If they worked together for the good of the country instead of acting like children things would be different.

    Obstruction and betting on failure is not the path for my vote. I will be voting for 'D's this year.

    April 24, 2012 08:54 am at 8:54 am |
  14. Rudy NYC

    Uh, oh. Spkr. Boehner just might be speaking some truth. Unwise career move. He might have to answer to Limbaugh.

    April 24, 2012 08:54 am at 8:54 am |
  15. Yuri

    We think he gete his numbers all mixed up. There is no chance in hell they will win, and there is every cahnce they might lose.

    April 24, 2012 08:56 am at 8:56 am |
  16. SNAPPA

    With any luck John, with any luck at all your prediction will come true and we can all breath a sigh of relief.

    April 24, 2012 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  17. Randy, San Francisco

    Tea Party negatives in the polls must be dragging down GOP candidates.

    April 24, 2012 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  18. Debby

    Its reverse logic, and if people are that stupid to vote Dems. in full control again then something is definitely wrong with this country.

    April 24, 2012 08:58 am at 8:58 am |
  19. James

    Good job Boehner as the Senate hasn't even produce a budget in 3 years......Outrageous incompetence...

    BTW, it looks like the Republicans have a good chance of taking the Senate too...

    April 24, 2012 09:01 am at 9:01 am |
  20. lgny

    Yawn, this is hardly surprising news.

    Party leaders always try to scare their supporters into donating more money to support their party.

    The equivalent for the minority party: "We might win the majority if we all donate and vote!"

    April 24, 2012 09:02 am at 9:02 am |
  21. Dominican mama 4 Obama (the real one)

    You're all alone. Nobody looooves you. You're gonna have to buy friends, if you wanna have friennnnnnds!!

    April 24, 2012 09:03 am at 9:03 am |
  22. Edward

    The best news I`ve read on CNN since they rescued those miners.

    April 24, 2012 09:03 am at 9:03 am |
  23. pkbkr

    Let's pray that he is right in his predictions. Obama/Biden/ Democratic Congress/ 2012 to get things moving again!

    April 24, 2012 09:07 am at 9:07 am |
  24. Billy, NYC

    GOP is proven to be on the side of the RICH and use the name of the American people as the cover of their far right agenda. In November, the American people are going ot the voting booths to speak loud and clear of the failure of the GOP controlled House of Presentatives. Boehner, you are fired!

    April 24, 2012 09:07 am at 9:07 am |
  25. NClaw441

    The GOP cannot be singled out as the party of "No." The Dems in the Senate have said No to a budget for over 1000 days. The Dems in the House offered No budget while they held control before 2010. Mr. Obama has hardly been the uniter he promised to be. As President it is his job to lead and to bring the parties together. That cannot be done without give and take. Mr. Obama has been all take and no give– that is, when he has been engaged. There should have been non-stop meetings with leaders of Congress on both sides of the aisle until mutually acceptable terms could be reached on the serious issues that confront us. Of course there cannot be full agreement, but I have seen little effort to bring compromise to the process, and that must be laid at the feet of the President.

    April 24, 2012 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
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