Poll: Romney, Obama dead even in dozen swing states
May 7th, 2012
09:24 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Romney, Obama dead even in dozen swing states

(CNN) - With just under six months before Election Day, a new poll indicates President Barack Obama is nearly dead even with rival Mitt Romney in 12 battleground states.

Obama holds a slight two-percentage point advantage–47%-45%–over Romney among registered voters, according to the USA TODAY/Gallup Swing States Poll. The margin is well within the sampling error.

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The margin is smaller than when the poll was last conducted in March, when Obama held a nine-point lead over Romney. Since then, however, two of Romney's Republican opponents – Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich – dropped out of the race, paving a clear path for Romney to the GOP nomination.

The dozen states surveyed in the poll were Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

In terms of performance, 46% of voters said Romney would do a good job handling the economy, while 34% said the same about Obama.

The president, however, scored higher in favorability ratings, with 58% saying the president is likable and 31% describing Romney as likable.

Also notable, Democrats have made ground in the enthusiasm gap, according to the poll. For the first time in the last five battleground surveys, more Democrats (57%) than Republicans (46%) said they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting.

The results came the same day as a Politico/George Washington University poll showed Romney with a two-percentage point margin over Obama, a difference also well within the sampling error.

For the USAToday/Gallup Poll, 951 registered voters were questioned by telephone in the 12 swing states between April 26 and May 2. The sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

Also see:

Romney adviser left after being silenced, source says

Ayotte: I'm more qualified than Obama

Gingrich steps up support for Romney, predicts Mourdock wins in Indiana


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (103 Responses)
  1. gg

    romneys a little off shore–where do they do these poll,s cayman islands

    May 7, 2012 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  2. Democrat Class Warfare - Destroying the economy, destroying the country

    The REAL Truth...
    Dean – think you may have not read up on the definition of a lemming... and the economy IS being saved. It's just going to take a little longer...
    ==============================================================================================
    Can the country and millions of unemployed wait another 4 years? Two terms of Obama will amount to the "Lost Obama Decade". If he had any clue of how to fix the economy he would have done it by now. He's tried every stupid trick in the book, except those that are proven to actually work. He won't do those because they don't align with his far left socialist agenda.

    and honestly, I'd rather keep my job and not have Bain/Mittens send it offshore.
    =============================================================
    Then you shoulod be working very hard and pleasing your boss and company. Romney has nothing to do with your job performance. But I hope you don't work in one of the Obama designated evil businesses that must be attacked and destroyed because then you are up the creek without a paddle.

    May 7, 2012 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  3. Pander Bear

    Don't worry. Romney will flip flop his way to defeat in November. The man has no plan and no spine.

    May 7, 2012 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  4. Andy

    It's NOT the candidates. It's the political parties that are represented by individuals. The Republicans choose Palin as VP last time around. Who in their right mind would choose such an individual for the second-in-line? It's just Republican person vs. Democrat person. Sad too because there are only two choices. The US deserves more and better!

    May 7, 2012 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  5. The REAL Truth...

    @Four and The Door – "Which American company is creating the most jobs in China? General Motors. Ironic, isn't it? Good paying manufacturing jobs, too."
    --------------------------
    What does this have to do with the topic at hand? This problem is called globalization. To compete globally with cheap non-US labor EVERY US company has to cut costs, and (while I don't agree with it) one of the most effective ways to do that is to offshore. This is what happened with steel, textiles, et al. It's happened with technology (IT) and other sectors. There is no pain-point (ie. taxes hiut) for US companies off-shoring labor, and at $40 an hour to pop rivets, I can build an entire car in China. Isn't this what the GOP is all about.. ?? You can't have it both ways now.. and somehow this is Obama's fault ?

    May 7, 2012 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  6. Fair is Fair

    @ Tom Paine –

    "The sooner you can get a kid out in the world and productive in society ( which requires some post-secondary education) and contributing to it, the better."
    ------–
    I agree, Tom... to a point. The problem is that there are no jobs available for recent college grads, save for a few fields such as healthcare / nursing. Case and point – when I was in high school, the colleges were telling us that if you degreed in IT you'd never have to worry about having a job. Then the Clinton administration came around and started issuing H1-B visas faster than the Obama administration prints money. Poof – all of the IT jobs are overseas. Yes, college is "more" necessary in today's world, but not to the exclusion of many other occupations & trades.

    May 7, 2012 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  7. Anonymous

    "Romney has nothing to do with your job performance."

    Should Mitt get elected President you had better be secure in whatever job you have. Otherwise you might end up one of the thousands Mitt has been known to fire, regardless of job performance.

    May 7, 2012 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  8. Dave

    There may be a time when Romney will be president but not now. We just can't go back to a GOP government at this time. They have too many issues and agenda's and quite frankly too many nuts in the party to be effective. Clean-up and fix-up the party and as an independent I will be glad to look at voting GOP once again.

    May 7, 2012 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  9. Woman In California

    Myviewis wrote:

    People answer according to what is realistically happening around them and their family and friends. Young college kids favor Obama because they are unaware of real life that if they went out today to find a job they wouldn't find a job. College kids base their voting decision on their superficial, unrealistic lives like hanging out all day under the trees discussing philosophy, text messaging, partying and this is the vote Obama needs to win a second election. The rest of us look at our checkbooks and vote according to our checkbooks.

    You're right Myviewis . I looked at my checkbook when W left office and I'm looking at it right now and I'm DELIGHTED at the progress. As a matter of fact, my stocks make me even more DELIGHTED than they did in 2008 – and yes, I am over the age of 21 (twice) plus some years to spare. Face it – your party is detrimental to this country and you know it. As far as insulting young people by calling them ignorant – they will show you just how ignorant they are in November when they send your boy Willard packing.

    May 7, 2012 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  10. NinetyNinePercent

    If Romney should happen to pull out this near impossible election win in November, you all better tighten those belts unless you're in his filthy rich inner circle. Public schools and healthcare will take a huge hit, and the middle-class will cease to exist. There will only be rich, poor and dirt-poor. The man is completely out of touch with the working class.

    May 7, 2012 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  11. gg

    just seen the fortune 500 hundred profits –yep-companys are hurting under obama–RIGHT

    May 7, 2012 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  12. Lolo

    The poll means that they are tied within the redneck states. These are the only people they are polling who still have LAN lines. Give me a break with this foolishness.

    May 7, 2012 12:10 pm at 12:10 pm |
  13. PaulCat

    Dead even! It will never last. We're just trying to make him feel good right now. Obama is going to eat him for lunch in the debates.

    May 7, 2012 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  14. Democrat Class Warfare - Destroying the economy, destroying the country

    Obama – Proven incompetent, proven non-leader, proven divider, proven fiscally irresponsble.

    Romney – Proven highly competent, proven leader, proven uniter, proven fiscally responsble.

    The choice is clear as day for those that have eyes and a brain and choose to use them.

    May 7, 2012 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  15. sgraves1984

    Hmmm I'm pretty sure the primaries are going on. why is CNN going out of its way to not mention Ron Paul even though most of the delegates out of Romney's home state

    May 7, 2012 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  16. cab7g

    Reblogged this on City On A Hill D.C..

    May 7, 2012 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  17. tibs

    Stimulus will ultimately prove to be a failure.

    Contrary to popular belief, the boom is the problem and the bust is the solution. A recession is necessary for the economy to come out sound on the other side.

    The economy is hooked on QE and easy money. The withdrawal is an unpleasant experience which will hurt a lot of people, but just like the drug addict, its necessary to go through it to get cured.

    Short term pain for long term gain, Not the other way around.

    May 7, 2012 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  18. Four and The Door

    Dave
    There may be a time when Romney will be president but not now. We just can't go back to a GOP government at this time.
    _________________________________________________________________________________________________
    What we can't go back to are the skyrocketing unemployment and national debt of 2009 and 2010. That took America to it's knees. Obama did inherit problems but he found a quick way to make them worse. Against strong Republican opposition. He pulled these bet-the-farm stunts ( $850 Billion Stimulus spending bill and ObamaCare ) without bipartisan support. The Democrats learned some things about accountability in 2010. He will learn about accountability in November.

    Romney 2012 and as many Republican Senators as we can put in office.

    May 7, 2012 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  19. Anonymous

    In India the outsourcing industry is seeing it as a boon for business ... including claims processing, supply management and transcription services.

    Until such time as jobs are no longer being outsourced, and regulations are put in play to stop jobs going overseas, there will always be a job shortage crisis in America. The GOP blocked a Obama sponsored bill which was meant to penalize corporations outsourcing overseas. As Governor, Romney was responsible for sending state jobs to India. Hundreds of thousands public sector jobs have disappeared because of Republican controlled state legislation. What we're left with is:

    GOPers stamp their feet yelling "the government shouldn't be in the job creating business" while simultaneously bleating "where are jobs, Obama?"

    May 7, 2012 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  20. Dominican mama 4 Obama (the real one)

    You're right Myviewis . I looked at my checkbook when W left office and I'm looking at it right now and I'm DELIGHTED at the progress. As a matter of fact, my stocks make me even more DELIGHTED than they did in 2008 – and yes, I am over the age of 21 (twice) plus some years to spare. Face it – your party is detrimental to this country and you know it. As far as insulting young people by calling them ignorant – they will show you just how ignorant they are in November when they send your boy Willard packing
    -------------------------------------------------
    Woman in California nailed this response to myview, and I'll second it.

    May 7, 2012 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  21. Indy

    Democrat Warfare wrote: Romney – Proven highly competent, proven leader, proven uniter, proven fiscally responsble

    Romney proven highly competent at at sending American made profits to offshore accounts, Proven highly competent at being 47th in job creation as Governor,proven highly competent at destroying jobs for personal profit,proven highly competent at running for President for six straight years and following the real leader around in a bus

    May 7, 2012 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  22. Veteran for Obama

    @I Want America Back

    I can't believe you people and your Obama 2012.... He is a leader? No he is the direct issue.
    -------------------------------------

    My first question is where has America gone, did we lose it? and my second question is do you really want a president who keeps this money in off shore accounts? just another way of of not paying his fair share of taxes, but President Obama is unamerican?

    May 7, 2012 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  23. Independent Voter

    No Romney, No Way!

    May 7, 2012 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  24. JT

    Romney said he would have made the same call to kill Osama Bin Laden. It is easier said than done after the fact. Note that Mr. Gates a man with decades of security experience and others advised the President not to do it. The Ghost of the the failure to free the hostages by Jimmy Carter and its deleterious effect on his reelection weighed heavily in the discussions a day before the President made the call. There were no concrete satellite data and pictures about the siting of Bin Laden in the compound. After reflecting over the odds weighing heavily against a successful operation the President came the next morning and said "All systems go". Mr. Romney I bet you will not be able to make such gutsy decisions judging from your shifting sand policy positions when you are under pressure. Chuck you are a prophet Romney is going down in November. Go Obama Go.

    May 7, 2012 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm |
  25. Rudy NYC

    Well, at least Republicans seem to have stopped saying, "we need to take our country back." Back from who or what is what I want to know, and when was it taken. If I didn't know any better, it seems that it was taken Election Day 2008.

    May 7, 2012 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
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