New polls in 3 battleground states give Obama slight edge
May 24th, 2012
09:28 AM ET
2 years ago

New polls in 3 battleground states give Obama slight edge

(CNN) - President Barack Obama holds a narrow advantage over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in three crucial battleground states, according to new polling.

NBC News/Marist surveys indicate Obama with identical 48%-44% advantages over Romney, the presumptive GOP presidential nominee, among registered voters in Florida and Virginia. And the poll, released Thursday, indicates the president with a 48%-42% lead over Romney in Ohio.

According to the poll, majorities of voters in all three states say the worst of the economic downturn is behind us, rather than to come. That optimism may be benefitting Obama. But 40% or less say the economy will improve over the next year.

The NBC/Marist poll in Florida was released one day after a Quinnipiac University survey indicated Romney held a six-point (47%-41%) lead over Obama in the Sunshine State. And Quinnipiac's most recent polling in Ohio, released earlier this month, indicated the president at 45% and Romney at 44%, basically a dead heat.

Quinnipiac's most recent poll in Virginia, released at the beginning of the month, put Obama up seven points over Romney (51%-44%)

A combined 60 electoral votes are at stake in the three states.

The NBC News/Marist surveys also illustrate the gender gap seen in other national and state polling, with Romney up by single digits over Obama among men in Florida, Ohio and Virginia, while the president holds a double-digit lead over the former Massachusetts governor among women in all three states.

The NBC News/Marist polls were conducted May 17-20 by telephone. The Florida survey questioned 1,078 registered voters, with a sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. The Ohio survey questioned 1,103 registered voters, also with a sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. The Virginia poll questioned 1,076 registered voters, with the same sampling error.


Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Mitt Romney • Ohio • Polls • President Obama • Virginia
soundoff (26 Responses)
  1. GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE/ConservaFASCISTS

    Virginia is Obama Country and he'll win here hands down whether Gov. Transvaginal Probe is on Willard's ticket or not. As far as Ohio goes, the President will win there just because Willard is way too out of touch with people in rust belt states.

    May 24, 2012 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  2. SillyDance

    Thanks CNN for making my day. Obama 20102 Forward.

    May 24, 2012 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  3. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Face it, the worst of the Bush republican economic disaster is behind us, thanks to our president. All this without a single republican vote to help him.

    May 24, 2012 09:42 am at 9:42 am |
  4. Terry

    Yall gotta Press for an interview with the Mittster. He be Lovin all up in that Raping of Folks Pensions.

    May 24, 2012 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  5. jojo

    So why the discrepancy in polls?

    May 24, 2012 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  6. Al-NY,NY

    Unless it's Rasmussen, tightie righties don't care about any poll.

    May 24, 2012 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  7. mrgus

    Hooray!!!! More polls. the election is only 6 months away. I don't know what we would do without all of these useless polls. Keep them coming (I know you will)!

    May 24, 2012 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  8. Independant Texan

    Romney running our country makes as much sense as a mortician running a health food store..........

    May 24, 2012 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  9. he be floppin

    I notice that Mitt has done much better since he is able to limit his appearances and be low key. The end of the primary season helped him.. He seems to much more popular when people don't have to listen to him. I think after the first debate with Obama, and people compare his cardboard smile and lame answers to calm, cool, informed Obama, that his handlers will cancel any other debates and try hiding him as much as possible. My guess is that they will make his running mate them main focus.

    May 24, 2012 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  10. n

    Romney is a flip flop economy is getting better then when president bush was in office. When Romney was the governor of Massachusetts what did he do for them nothing employment was high job creation was low. Wake up America Romney is no good for America

    May 24, 2012 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  11. Ronda in Houston,TX

    I feel sorry for whoever Romney picks for his V.P. because they will go downs in flames also.

    Obama 2012!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 24, 2012 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  12. Terry

    Those Rasmussen / Fox polls make me Laugh, They so funny. can you say DENIAL????

    May 24, 2012 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  13. Brian

    obama's campaign is a sinking ship.

    May 24, 2012 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  14. Gurgyl

    "Any one who has brain will vote for Obama. Handout of 20 billion dollars pumped to Pakistan, why didn't you cry? GOP looted this nation. Yes, on obama2012. Period.

    May 24, 2012 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  15. ST

    The difference of 4% or 6% is the huge number if translated to people. There is no way Romney can win without Latinos. He betrayed them during GOP primaries and my friends Latinos are so clever that they can not be swayed back.

    May 24, 2012 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  16. sithlord1

    "Wire Palladin, S. F.
    Face it, the worst of the Bush republican economic disaster is behind us, thanks to our president. All this without a single republican vote to help him."
    -–
    You must seriously be on something if you believe that.

    May 24, 2012 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  17. Pete

    People will be going over to the incumbent ,increasingly more in time because with the pressure being put on Romney by his own political statements and his repeated gaffs his "production" of viable voters will suffer significantly in the latter months of this campaign.Wiggling is not a campaign strategy,dodging either,maybe he's just feeling uncomfortable being slammed for his constant disconnect with your average middle class voters with his "I can relate to you" sarcasm being exposed by the Democrates everyday,his comments being questioned and examined, made public by the presidents campaign and their constant backstepping on all the issues he's become involved in politically...

    May 24, 2012 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  18. Expat American

    Too many polls – too early. It will ultimately come down to those who do not want a return to the policies of 2000-2008 and those who do.

    May 24, 2012 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  19. Patriot Awesome

    Obama's lead will widen once the debates get going. Especially since Romney flip flops so much he won't be able to keep his answers straight.

    May 24, 2012 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  20. Fair is Fair

    n

    Romney is a flip flop economy is getting better then when president bush was in office. When Romney was the governor of Massachusetts what did he do for them nothing employment was high job creation was low
    ------–
    When Romney became governor in January, 2003, the MA unemployment rate was 5.6%. When he left in December, 2007, it was 4.5% – which is considered to be full employment. Get your facts straight.

    May 24, 2012 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  21. sithlord1

    Obama has done nothing. 79% of the 800 billion dollar stimulus went to foreign countries, the biggest chunk went to a bankrupt wind energy company in CHINA! Wake up America, Obama is the outsourcer in chief and will bring America down.

    May 24, 2012 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  22. gavin

    The amateur Barack Obama is in big trouble because he doesn't have the leadership or job experience to create jobs and improve the economy. What job or leadership experience did this man have that qualified him for President? He never had any significant experience in government or the private sector that would equip him for the job. It is clear after three years and a dismal record with the economy and jobs he doesn't deserve another term. If we continue with his FORWARD message we can only expect more of the same. Independents will be a major voting bloc in this campaign and most of us are ready for a change.

    May 24, 2012 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  23. Mike Mazzla

    I like Obama and will vote for him..but how about we stop with these incessant polls every freaking day. Just the other day Romney was ahead in Florida. It is just so pointless. if the parties want to poll for their own knowledge that makes sense..but really do we have to read every day about some poll... it is just so pointless.

    May 24, 2012 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  24. niet32

    Yesterday MOSt news networks (including yourself) had a poll out that showed Romney up 4 in FL! Why do you guys keep pushing pro-Obama polls? It makes you look like you have chosen a side....oh...you have. Romney is winning in the real poplls (not some college poll).

    May 24, 2012 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  25. Nik

    These poll numbers make sense. NBC news programming is liberal bent in it's programming. Of course there will be higher percentages as Righties would be turned when receiveing a invite from NBC to participate in a survey. Conversely, numbers would be higher in favor of Romney if this were a Fox News Poll. Polling by news entertainment groups are never insightful but used a tool to incite the public. People the only poll that count is the Voting polls.

    May 24, 2012 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
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