Poll: Obama way ahead in California
May 29th, 2012
12:10 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama way ahead in California

(CNN) – A new poll released Tuesday shows President Barack Obama with a wide lead in California, a state the president won by a landslide in 2008, along with its whopping 55 electoral votes.

According to the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll, Obama carries a 19-point advantage over Republican rival Mitt Romney, 56%-37%, a lead that comes as little surprise in the traditionally blue state.

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The survey, however, gives insight into voter attitudes in California and reveals big margins for Obama across a number of the state's demographic groups, such as women, Latinos and independents.

Among women, who make up 53% of the state's voting population, about six in 10 prefer Obama, amplifying national trends that indicate a gender gap between the president and Romney, although some recent national polls suggest Romney is picking up support among women.

As for California's Latinos, Obama has overwhelming support from the voting bloc with 75%, compared to Romney at 18%. Among independents, he also fares better against his likely opponent, 46%-37%.

Latinos and independents each represent 20% of the state's voters. The Times' analysis notes that George H. W. Bush was the last Republican candidate to win California (in 1988), prior to the state's surge in Latino and independent voters.

The survey also shows a lack of enthusiasm for Romney among GOP voters. Of those who said they would vote for the candidate, 51% said their choice was more of a vote against Obama than a vote in support of the presumptive GOP presidential nominee.

And just weeks after Obama made a groundbreaking announcement that he supported same-sex marriage, three-fourths of voters said the issue was not a major issue this cycle, despite the topic being a heavy point of contention in California politics with the ongoing fight over Proposition 8.

The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll, was conducted by Democratic polling firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Republican polling firm American Viewpoint between from May 17 and May 21. The full sample of 1,002 registered voters interviewed by phone has a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

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Texas gears up for Lone Star primary

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Filed under: 2012 • California • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (36 Responses)
  1. Woman In California

    And it will CONTINUE to grow. Pack your bags Willard and move out.

    May 29, 2012 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  2. Jerry

    Of course, was anyone expecting anything else?! That is exactly why he supported the gay community. Now, he is coming to collect and they are, as expected, simply reciprocating. It was all calculated.

    Oh well...

    May 29, 2012 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  3. Sniffit

    "Of course, was anyone expecting anything else?! That is exactly why he supported the gay community. Now, he is coming to collect and they are, as expected, simply reciprocating. It was all calculated."

    Article: latinos, women, and independents.

    You: blah blah gays.

    Did you even read it?

    May 29, 2012 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  4. Libs Are A Disease

    Well no duh. California is the biggest liberal hell-hole in the entire world. It's a place where hippies still rule with an iron fist and conservatives are persecuted just for speaking their mind. California is so far to the left the Soviets think they're too far to the left.

    May 29, 2012 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  5. ja

    romney is to shallow for the presidency, america is not asleep,

    May 29, 2012 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  6. Sniffit

    I mean, really:

    "And just weeks after Obama made a groundbreaking announcement that he supported same-sex marriage, THREE FOURTHS OF VOTERS SAID THE ISSUE WAS NOT A MAJOR ISSUE THIS CYCLE, despite the topic being a heavy point of contention in California politics with the ongoing fight over Proposition 8."

    And yet the first right winger to post goes straight to the "CA is entirely gay and that's why they're voting for Obama" argument.

    May 29, 2012 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  7. Jon

    In other news, water is wet, the pope is catholic, and the earth is round.

    May 29, 2012 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  8. grvol

    Going the way of Greece....going going gone.

    May 29, 2012 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  9. WiredweirdinSF

    Of course he is. It reflects the same mindset as he has. Spend your way in to oblivioin to win votes and reward the corrupt union bosses and their lazy, inocompetent membership then let those people who actually accept personal responsibility for their lives bail you out. That is the democrat liberal mindset.

    May 29, 2012 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  10. Four and The Door

    ...not in San Diego. Down here we care more about jobs, the economy and National Debt than class warfare.

    Romney 2012.

    May 29, 2012 12:35 pm at 12:35 pm |
  11. Cowboy Bob

    Politcally The Only Difference Between California & France is that France is Europe & California is in the USA..
    California is more Liberal then Vermont, NY, Massachusetts & Connecticut COMBINED....
    It definitely STICKS OUT LIKE A LEFT SORE THUMB....
    This is also why it's 16 BILLION in Debt & going for 20 BILLION FAST....
    They're hoping for an Obama Win so they can get a Government BAILOUT!
    It's going to be very interesting when Romney Wins & states like California have to declare BANKRUPTCY....
    Finally maybe it'll be the END of PUBLIC UNIONS.....

    May 29, 2012 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  12. Fair is Fair

    I question why anyone would waste good money to do voter preference polling in, of all places, California.

    May 29, 2012 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  13. Sniffit

    "...not in San Diego. Down here we care more about jobs, the economy and National Debt than class warfare."

    You forgot to finish: "...which is why we want deep deep tax cuts for the wealthy that reduce their income tax liability to virtually zero while we pay for the lost revenue to cuts to programs that help the middle-class, poos, sick, elderly, students, etc."

    May 29, 2012 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  14. Cowboy Bob

    That's like Saying Romney is "Way Ahead In Oklahoma & Nebraska".....

    California made itself insignificent in National Politics when it went so far Left they wanted to rename the Capital of Sacramento "Athens".....

    May 29, 2012 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  15. FB

    Get ready for US tax payers to bail out not only Greece but Spain and Portugal. Thanks liberal OWS flea baggin democrats for spending my tax dollars to save the people of Greece who now can continue retiring at 50 while Ill need to work to 70 now.

    May 29, 2012 12:43 pm at 12:43 pm |
  16. Sniffit

    "California made itself insignificent in National Politics when it went so far Left they wanted to rename the Capital of Sacramento "Athens"....."

    1. How is it "so far left" to want to rename Sacramento after the birthplace of democracy? Admittedly, it would be a little bit strange, but no stranger than billionaires demanding that they pay zero taxes, which they are literally demanding.

    2. Greece tanked because of massive, draconian austerity measures implemented when the economy was in recession. This is not debateable and is accepted by expert economists the world over. The only ones who don't accept it are the conservative ideologues who pushed for those austerity measures int he first place.

    May 29, 2012 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  17. Sniffit

    edit:

    haha...I meant "poor" not "poos" above lol

    May 29, 2012 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  18. Four and The Door

    Sniffit
    "...not in San Diego. Down here we care more about jobs, the economy and National Debt than class warfare."
    You forgot to finish: "...which is why we want deep deep tax cuts for the wealthy that reduce their income tax liability to virtually zero while we pay for the lost revenue to cuts to programs that help the middle-class, poos, sick, elderly, students, etc."
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________
    No, actually we prefer to see a 20% federal tax cut for every working American paid for by improving efficiencies of the expensive bureaucratic nightmare that the federal government has become. Why suffocate the economy so Washington politicians can avoid getting spending in control? America deserves better.

    May 29, 2012 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  19. Sniffit

    "I question why anyone would waste good money to do voter preference polling in, of all places, California."

    Because CA is a window into the future in terms of demographics and the shifts that will take place over the next couple decades. The GOP may now return to its regularly scheduled freakout over that very fact.

    May 29, 2012 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  20. Physically Conservative & Socially Liberal

    @ Libs Are A Disease

    Actually it's where conservatives cheat on their wives and get the maid pregnant ... you ignorant fool!

    May 29, 2012 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  21. phoenix86

    California is a failed state. No wonder they support Obama.

    May 29, 2012 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  22. FB

    Get ready for US tax payers to bail out not only Greece but Spain and Portugal. Thanks to o d u m b o and liberal OWS flea baggin democrats for spending my tax dollars to save the people of Greece who now can continue retiring at 50 while Ill need to work to 70 now.

    May 29, 2012 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  23. Holly in CA

    It's shocking really. Our gas and food prices are the highest in the country, so is our unemployment. Housing has fallen to a new low with record foreclosures. Teacher, Police, and Firefighter layoffs are rampant. And yet, Californians will still vote Democrat. What happened to this state?

    May 29, 2012 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  24. Jules

    Of course, Obama is ahead. One of my sons who has always voted for the GOP will be voting for President Obama. Not only that, he says Romney not fit to be president and he thinks it is giong to be a landslide.

    May 29, 2012 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  25. Jack

    pretty soon Californians will be hopping the fence to Mexico to find jobs

    May 29, 2012 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
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