CNN’s GUT CHECK for May 30, 2012
May 30th, 2012
05:26 PM ET
2 years ago

CNN’s GUT CHECK for May 30, 2012

CNN's GUT CHECK | for May 30, 2012 | 5 p.m.
- n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle

NOT BREAKING… (But surely intriguing): The Edwards trial finished the eighth day without a verdict. Judge Catherine Eagles notified the courtroom that she received a note from a juror about an issue that came up and the judge said she would discuss the issue with counsel in a closed courtroom. A short time later, the court was dismissed.

DEVELOPING… Former Attorney General Alberto Gonzales questions if Marco Rubio has the wisdom to be vice president on CNN’s John King, USA, airing tonight at 6 p.m. ET:

GONZALES: If I were the nominee the person I would look to put on the ticket would be the person I know - they want - could be as president. As I look at the slate of candidates, there are a number of good people from the Republican Party who have more experience (than Marco Rubio) and would be better suited on day one and if you combine that with the principle that I don’t think Hispanics are going to vote for a nominee based upon who is number two on the ticket. I think it behooves Governor Romney to look at other candidates....

KING: But what you’ve said in the past, you’ve just hinted at it in more diplomatic language right now is you don’t think he meets the number one test to be ready to be president, why?

GONZALES: Again he’s extremely talented and I honor his service. But I think the job of president, and I’ve seen it first hand – how hard it can be. And how important it is to have someone with wisdom. Wisdom comes from experience. It comes from living, comes from success, comes from failure. And I think the country needs to have people in positions of leadership who have that level of experience that’s important to serve effectively as president and as vice president.

TRAIL TRIVIA
(Answer below)
What book is presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney reading right now?

MARK (@PrestonCNN) & MICHELLE (@MJaconiCNN)
What caught our eye today in politics

What color is Wisconsin?

In the red and blue world of presidential politics, Wisconsin is in neon right now, relishing the attention as the political world debates the possibility of its hue in this election year.

“We have to be considered a genuinely competitive state – real purple right now,” Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette University Law School Poll, told Gut Check.

“While we have had a long sweep of Democratic victories, 2000 and 2004 were anything but blowouts, and we’ve had a GOP governor for most of that time and a divided legislature,” Franklin points out. Franklin’s new poll puts Barack Obama 8 points ahead of Mitt Romney leading most news organizations to put Wisconsin in the “lean blue” category, however, Wisconsin does not have voter registration records by party – which adds interest in the state’s June 5th recall election, and what the electorate looks like.

With this in mind, we were struck by one simple question in the Marquette University Law School Poll:

“Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent?”

Today, the respondents broke down as: Republicans 28%, Democrats 33%, independents 36%.

In January, the same poll found Republicans 26%, Democrats 28%, independents 43%.

“The January poll was very tight on party id but that has bounced around a lot, tight in January and early May, back to +5 D now.” Franlin said. He then adds, “All in single digits and subject to change.” There you have it: subject to change – with six days to go.

the LEDE
Did you miss it?

Leading CNNPolitics: Will Adelson place a big bet on Romney?
As Mitt Romney leaves Las Vegas, he hopes he hit the jackpot. Following an hour and a half hour meeting Tuesday afternoon with Nevada billionaire Sheldon Adelson and a few aides, the presumptive Republican nominee was assured the casino magnate was fully supportive of him. – Kevin Bohn

Leading Drudge: 20,000 Apply For 877 Jobs At Auto Plant
It should not come as a surprise with unemployment over 8% that good paying jobs in manufacturing are harder than ever to land. At the Hyundai plant in Montgomery, Alabama, more than 20,000 people have applied for one of the 877 job openings. – Phil LeBeau

Leading HuffPo: How Congressman Sylvestre Reyes' Anti-Pot Lobbying Cost Him His Job
In early 2009, El Paso Rep. Sylvestre Reyes (D) warned city council members that, if they approved a resolution calling for a debate on marijuana legalization, the city would jeopardize its federal funding. Instead, what turned out to be at risk was Reyes' seat in the House of Representatives in 2012. – Ryan Grim

Leading Politico: Obama's negative feedback loop
A lot of politicians can go negative without losing too much altitude, but President Barack Obama doesn’t seem to be that guy. The comfy 6-point lead Obama enjoyed over Mitt Romney during the brutal GOP primary season has all but evaporated as the mercury rises, dropping to a 1.6 percent lead in the latest Real Clear Politics average of national polls. – Glenn Thrush

Leading New York Times: Republican Foreign Policy Establishment Slow to Embrace Romney
Reluctance by this group to more quickly come forward reflects an unease over some of Mitt Romney’s positions, including his hard line on Russia and opposition to a new missile treaty. – Richard A. Oppel Jr.

Leading WisPolitics: Walker moves another $100,000 to legal defense fund
Gov. Scott Walker transferred another $100,000 from his campaign account to his legal defense fund, according to his latest campaign finance report. The transfers of $70,000 May 3 and $30,000 two weeks later push his contributions to the Scott Walker Trust to at least $160,000.

TRAIL MOMENTS
The political bites of the day

– Romney talks about paying others more than himself while at Bain –
MITT ROMNEY TALKS ABOUT COMPENSATION IN AN INTERVIEW WITH FOX NEWS: “I couldn't describe that, but I didn't see myself as a boss. I saw myself as someone who would help organize extraordinary people and the people I worked with and the firm I worked in were exceptionally bright, highly motivated with extraordinary insights, a number of them better than I on a series of dimensions and I was not always, I was the guy that set the compensation but I paid other people more than I paid myself because I thought they were doing a better job.”

– Carney: ‘The president misspoke’ about Holocaust death camps –
PRESS SECRETARY JAY CARNEY AT THE WHITE HOUSE NEWS BRIEFING: “The president misspoke. He was referring to Nazi death camps in German-occupied Poland. As we've made clear, we regret the misstatement and that simple misstatement should not at all detract from the clear intention to honor Mr. Karski and beyond that, all those brave Polish citizens who stood on the side of human dignity in the face of tyranny.”

– Sununu charges Obama administration of dumb policies –
ROMNEY SURROGATE JOHN SUNUNU ON CNN’S “STARTING POINT”: “I think it's an effort by the Obama administration not to talk about the laws they passed that are strangling specific segments of the American job market. We have in New Hampshire and Massachusetts up here a great medical device industry. The Obama administration puts a tax on it. About 43,000 jobs can leave the country. And it just shows how dumb those policies are that you impose a tax, those jobs leave, you don't get revenue and you've lost the jobs. That kind of lack of smarts is typical of what the Obama administration has been doing.”

– Holder on voting rights: ‘the achievements that define the civil rights movement now hang again in the balance’ –
ATTORNEY GENERAL ERIC HOLDER AT A CONGRESSIONAL BLACK CAUCUS SUMMIT ON VOTING RIGHTS: “Despite our nation's long tradition of extending voting rights to nonproperty owners and to women, to people of color, to Native Americans, and to younger Americans, today a growing number of our fellow citizens are worried about the same disparities, divisions, and problems that nearly five decades ago so many fought to address. In my travels across this country, I've heard a consistent drumbeat of concern from citizens who often for the first time in their lives now have reason to believe that we are failing to live up to one of our nation's most ideals and that some of the achievements that define the civil rights movement now hang again in the balance.”

– Colbert doesn’t doubt Obama’s birth certificate, he doubts Hawaii as a state –
STEPHEN COLBERT JOKES ABOUT TRUMP ON HIS COMEDY NEWS SHOW: “Real estate billionaire and basketball with tooth veneers Donald Trump has found some dramatic new evidence that Barack Obama was not born in Hawaii. No surprise to me. I always found that whole Hawaii thing pretty implausible. By that I mean, the state of Hawaii. And their word for hello is the same as goodbye? Bull(bleep) - or as the Hawaiians say, ‘Aloha.’ ”

TOP TWEETS
What stopped us in 140 characters or less

TRIVIA ANSWER

Mitt Romney told members of the traveling press corps Tuesday that he is reading "The Next 100 Years" by George Friedman, according to CNN's Rachel Streitfeld. In the past, Romney has mentioned that he was reading "The Escape Artists: How Obama's Team Fumbled the Recovery" by Noam Scheiber and "Decision Points" by former President George W. Bush.

In "The Next 100 Years," Friedman, the chief intelligence officer and founder of Strategic Forecasting Inc. (Stratfor), analyzes how demographics, economies and war will change in the next 100 years. One of his major predictions is that neither Europe nor China will be major players in the 21st century.

Among Friedman's other surprising predictions is that three countries - Poland, Turkey and Japan - will emerge as the major powers in Eurasia. Friedman writes that Turkey will increase its influence in the Arab world and that Japan will do the same in Oceania and mainland Asia. These new powers, which Friedman called the "Polish Bloc," will grow fearful of United States dominance and eventually, he writes, that there will be a third world war between allies of the United States and the "Polish Bloc."

Other issues Friedman writes about: the Pakistan/India conflict, the increase of renewable energy and the future of the European Union.

Gut Check Winner’s Circle
(why aren’t you in it?)
Congratulations to Christopher S. Brown (@chrisbrowntv) for correctly answering today’s trivia. Christopher will receive some CNN swag for his correct answer. The prize will not be “The Next 100 Years,” though.

GOT NEWS?
Our inbox awaits: gutcheck@cnn.com
Tips or comments? Send them to Michelle; send complaints to Preston, because he is already in a bad mood. We also want to give a shout out to Dan Merica, who runs our Twitter account @gutCheckCNN and enriches this product every single day.


Filed under: CNN's Gut Check
soundoff (8 Responses)
  1. Alger Dave

    I'm a life long GOP voter, but am not really sure what to think of Romney. His ever-changing opinions make me seriously wonder what he'd do as President. I'm certainly no fan of Obama, but I think I've got a pretty good idea of what he'd do with 4 more years. I'm not excited about that – but wonder if I'm more worried about what Romney might do. I think there's a lot of social conservatives like me, that might just not vote for President, and fill the remainder of the ticket instead.

    May 30, 2012 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  2. Willis

    My name is Bishop Willard Pinocchio Romney & I take credit for saving the Auto Industry, Yea, thats the ticket....

    May 30, 2012 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  3. Four and The Door

    As Mitt Romney leaves Las Vegas, he hopes he hit the jackpot. Following an hour and a half hour meeting Tuesday afternoon with Nevada billionaire Sheldon Adelson and a few aides, the presumptive Republican nominee was assured the casino magnate was fully supportive of him.
    _________________________________________________________________________________________________
    Sheldon Adelson is a patriotic American and certainly knows that 100% of the support he provides for Mitt Romney will help replace the Obama Administration. And he knows that putting Mitt Romney in office in November is the best thing we can do for the future of our nation. We've got to start actually managing the federal government and put the partisan politics aside. Romney 2012 and as many Republican Senators as we can seat.

    May 30, 2012 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  4. Willis

    Ya Gotta love those Gimmie a Kiss Interviews that fox has with Mitt. They make me Laugh. Mittens, yes Gretta & Let not yur Heart be Twoubled, GROUP HUG, KISS KISS, You funny Funny Neteork.

    May 30, 2012 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  5. The REAL Truth...

    @Four – gotta love the right wing rant.. so typical ! Adelson is patriotic because he wants Obama gone??

    "We've got to start actually managing the federal government and put the partisan politics aside. Romney 2012 and as many Republican Senators as we can seat." Let's start with a REWIND of the last 4 years of the Grand Obstructionist Party that has obliterated or credit rating, filibustered everything possible and want the Republican-based ACA (Obamacare) thrown out. and oh.. BTW – Let's get as many GOP teatards elected to Congress as possible so we can go back to the "wayt it was" when the GOP could rape and pillage the country, rack up $10 TRILLION in debt, send our kids off to fight wars so we can "nation build" (and come home in boxes), give uncharted $MILLIONS to friendly dictators, no-bid contracts, too-big-to-fail (yet somehoe they did and need a GOP-iniitated $850 BILLION TARP bailout)... and you think Obama is BAD ?????????????? Look in the mirror boys!!!!!!!!!!!

    It's the same old song and dance... let's change it.. as long as YOU do it OUR way.. typical teapug!

    May 30, 2012 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  6. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    I think back to those who supported America, and it does not bode well for Romney family history. Mittens grandfather denounced his American citizenship to keep his 4 wives, Mittens' father was born in Mexico, and Mittens immigration plan is to self deport. Obama's grandfather served with Patton in the second world war for our country.

    May 30, 2012 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  7. fred ca

    I know what you mean Willis. It is not the same as the hard-hitting and unfair coverage of NBC, CBS, ABC, CNN, MSNBC, etc., of the obama administration.

    Their laser focus on gifts of taxpayer money to donors, the fraud of the unem-ployment numbers, the attempted bribe of Rev. Wright, the off-site meetings with lobbyist to maintain 'transparency', the creation of laws to protect big banks, Fast & Furious, taking money from corzine who ruined of thousands of people (come on, there had to be a new crook buddy so they can buy him his next house), the laughing of foreign countries at an inept foreign policy, the selling out of American oil production so we can become Brazil's largest buyer (paying soros back for his support), the trampling of religious liberties, etc.

    With the intrepid and skilled reporting by the msm you would think they are trying to get obama defeated.

    Uh, maybe in a parallel universe.

    May 30, 2012 06:16 pm at 6:16 pm |
  8. Pete

    Romney bring his pitbull Trump with him to the Fox interview,hope he's paper trained..Let him talk awhile and they'll be escorting him and Romney off the set,maybe not they're birthers too,and a bunch of racists also!!Can't wait to the debates,then you'll hear Rush crying,Coulter whinning and the rest of those hypocrites at Fox looking at each other saying, is he our guy,man are we in trouble,well there's always 2016,that's not that far away ,is it!!!Then Pres.Obama will say to the Fox crew,say hi to my friend Hillary,she's decided to run in 2016,see ya there boys and girls,have fun,we are!!!

    May 30, 2012 07:48 pm at 7:48 pm |