Brown-Warren race remains tied, poll shows
June 2nd, 2012
02:06 PM ET
2 years ago

Brown-Warren race remains tied, poll shows

(CNN) - The Massachusetts race for a U.S. Senate seat remains neck and neck between Republican Sen. Scott Brown and Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren, a poll released Saturday showed.

Brown had 39% of the voters likely to cast ballots in the November election, while Warren, who leads several Democrats vying to unseat him, had 37%. Their two-point difference was well within the poll's sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

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The Boston Globe poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire, is in line with recent polling which shows a race which has tightened since a February survey had Brown over Warren by nine points.

Brown has a dramatic lead among independent voters, who favor him 51% to 13%, according to the Globe poll. He is also favored by voters who say their vote is definitely decided - 53% to 46% - and is seen as more likeable, 52% to 26%.

Warren has an advantage - 37% to 43% - among those who are leaning towards a candidate. Their difference among voters who are extremely interested in the race is within the sampling error.

Despite the closeness of the race, the perception among voters is that Brown, who replaced the late Sen. Ted Kennedy in a 2010 special election, will win reelection. Of those surveyed, 52% see that outcome as likely, while only 27% expected a Warren win.

Two-thirds of voters say they are familiar with a recent storyline in the race involving Warren's description of herself as a Native American. After facing questions for weeks, Warren, a professor at Harvard University who is on leave while running for office, acknowledged to the Globe on Wednesday that she identified herself to Harvard and the University of Pennsylvania as Native American but said it did not influence their hiring decisions.

Thirty one percent of independent voters and 8% of Democrats surveyed said the reports made them less likely to vote for Warren.

The Senate race has attracted the interest of national political watchers, and five months out from the election, Massachusetts voters are apparently highly interested, too. The poll shows 83% of voters likely to vote this fall are either "extremely" or "very" interested in the race.

In the generally Democratic-leaning state, Brown has sought to portray himself as an independent, including touting bipartisan votes in two television ads.

The survey included 651 likely voters reached by telephone between May 25 and May 31.

Also see:

Obama campaign launches assault on Romney's Massachusetts record

Obama campaign releases third set of Spanish ads

Gonzales says Romney must make personal connection to Hispanics

Wisconsin guv up in third straight poll


Filed under: 2012 • Elizabeth Warren • Massachusetts • Scott Brown
soundoff (5 Responses)
  1. MaryM

    Elizabeth, we are voting for you.

    Obama 2012

    June 2, 2012 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  2. Obama/Romney race tied....

    ....Hear this "But Obama's supporters are more energized"....according to the Media and theirs polls...Americans...or
    Amercians are unto it....

    June 2, 2012 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  3. Gurgyl

    mass, just vote for Elizebeth. Drive republican idiots out.

    June 2, 2012 02:34 pm at 2:34 pm |
  4. PalinBrown

    Brown hasn't done half of what Ted Kennedy used to do for Massachusetts: bringing to the state of MA the sort of federal fundings that help secure thousands of jobs in the defense and medical research. Republican Brown has been busy fighting against women's reproductive rights yet approximately 40% of voters still want him just because of the image he has fooled them with: pickup truck, brown barn jacket, red sox caps, etc. Pathetic!

    June 2, 2012 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  5. Snooze70

    If Mitt was legal to use the tax laws to horde wealth, the she is perfectly legal to use the AA laws to get into school. Republican hipocracy is without limits.

    June 2, 2012 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |