Poll: Obama holds double digit lead in Pennsylvania
June 6th, 2012
09:21 AM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama holds double digit lead in Pennsylvania

(CNN) - A new survey indicates President Barack Obama with a 12-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania.

According to a Franklin and Marshall College Poll released Wednesday, 48% of registered voters in Pennsylvania say they back the president, with 36% saying they support Romney, the former Massachusetts governor and presumptive GOP presidential nominee. Twelve percent were unsure.

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Among independent voters, the survey indicates Obama with a 49%-27% lead over Romney.

"The president enjoys significant advantages over Romney in his personal popularity and most voters believe he is better prepared to handle the presidency even though they are ambivalent about some of his major policy initiatives," says the poll's release.

A Quinnipiac University survey conducted April 25-May 1 indicated Obama with a 47%-39% advantage over Romney in the Keystone State.

Sen. John Kerry, the Democrat's 2004 presidential nominee, narrowly captured Pennsylvania in his election loss that year to President George W. Bush. Obama carried the state by ten points in his 2008 presidential election victory. But Republicans stormed back in the 2010 midterm elections, capturing the governor's office, a Senate seat and five House seats from the Democrats.

CNN's electoral map currently describes the state as Lean Obama.

The Franklin and Marshall College Poll was conducted May 29-June 4, with 412 registered voters in Pennsylvania questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Pennsylvania • President Obama
soundoff (19 Responses)
  1. Expat American

    Good news but it’s still too early to tell.
    Let’s revisit the polling in PA and other battleground states, come late summer when the Republicans shift into their tired, yet predictable fear mongering, character assassination, blind rabid patriotism and nationalism, and racial/religious bigotry mode.
    That’s always fodder for a good laugh abroad at the expense of the Republicans.
    Oh and let’s not forget the GOP laying out the groundwork for war in Iran on Day One. These PSAs should start popping up on the BrownFoxShirt Network around August.

    June 6, 2012 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  2. Devon

    The Reince man is a funny funny guy when he says Penn & Wisc are leaning Red. He & the Ras mussen Polls make me laugh. Fox s gloom & doom network is like watching a cartoon, Everything sucks & everything blows, no its my turn to say everything sucks & everything blows, no its my turn...... Let not yer heart be twobled. What a stupid ass Biased group of people. I especially crack up with the Hugs & kisses interview with Mr Personality. Make me Laugh!!!!!!

    June 6, 2012 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  3. Rudy NYC

    Is Mitt Romney a "job creator"? I'm not asking in a political sense. I'm asking does he meet the definition of one of those "job creators" that we have only heard about through conservative legends and theories. My assumption is that he does meet the description. Based on that assumption, I would have two questions for Mitt Romney.

    1. How many jobs have you created that have people working directly for you, or under you?
    2. How can you create jobs in America when you send your investment profits overseas?

    June 6, 2012 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  4. Anonymous

    Time and again, I hear GOP spokespeople talk pronounce the trillion dollar debt to be something created by Obama when he actually inherited it from Bush. Why do news outlets let them get away with this lie? How can we have any sort of country without at least some truth? I believe news outlets should set some basic ground rules about lying on the air because lying damages to social glue that could hold the country together. I suggest that you read up on Sissela Bok. Is truth possible? Is it not your duty – the duty of the press – to uphold it?

    June 6, 2012 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  5. Donkey Never

    He can hold triple digits and lose horribly, America is a Nation under God!! stray a little and other Nations will take over!

    June 6, 2012 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  6. jj

    Too may polls.

    June 6, 2012 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  7. jj

    Excuse me...too many polls.

    June 6, 2012 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  8. Lionel

    Go Obama. What a brave man with all those attacks from super Pacs.

    Can't believe Republicans outspent Democrats 7 to 1 in Wisconsin. A lot of out of state money. Remember this election is out we the people and not about billionaires. Romney is too out of touch with the average American. There is just something about him that is not right.

    Obama / Biden 2012

    June 6, 2012 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  9. registered voter polls...

    'Registered voter' polls are not as accurate as 'likely voter' polls, and are almost always skewed in favor of democrats. This lead is large enough that Obama would probably still be ahead even iif this had been a 'likely voter' poll, but the margin is misleading. If you don't believe me google "registered v. likely voter polls"....

    June 6, 2012 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  10. Randy, San Francisco

    President Obama's chances for a second term are good thanks to the GOP/Tea Party's war on women's health rights, immigrants, Hispanics, gays, and the middle class/poor .

    June 6, 2012 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  11. george_w_tush

    So Proud of my state...People who wanted Obama's birth certificate were called "birthers." Those of us wanting Mitt's tax returns are called "voters

    June 6, 2012 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  12. GFreas

    Anybody read how close the polls showed the Walker race was going to be? Or the polls that showed how close the gcy marriage vote was going to be in North Carolina?

    Polls are bs; Dems use them to raise money under false pretenses, and time and again they are disappointed. When are they going to figure out that they are being duped, starting with the clowns who report this drivel at CNN?

    June 6, 2012 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  13. Internet Child

    The sample size was 412? Really? And how many million people live in PA? No wonder people complain of corporations buying elections...

    June 6, 2012 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  14. Myviewis

    I can't imagine the people of Pennsylvania believing that a Professor, Author, Community Organizer is better to handle the presidency than Romney who has been a Governor and businessman. Seriously, who were these people interviewed?

    June 6, 2012 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  15. John, PA

    BS; like the exit polls in Wisconsin that were wrong, the working people and seniors (most of the population) of Pennsylvania won’t be fooled. The majority of Pennsylvanians see president Obama, the Obama administration as a complete FAILURE. Obama now has the lowest job approval of any president and we recognize that fact, 154 days to go; the 2012 election is going to be a massacre for Democrats.

    June 6, 2012 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  16. Joe M.

    Registered voters mean next to nothing. Polls of "Likely Voters" are the most reliable, and it seems that only Rasmussen has been bothering to do those – probably because those poll results are significantly less favorable for Obama.

    June 6, 2012 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  17. Sarah /Dumfries,VA

    Its a shame Romney's people don't have any knowledge about the WORD,GOD will never choose a mormon to lead the world because it will be a disaster for us all

    June 6, 2012 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  18. george of the jungle

    looks like penn is a smart state. Vote all repos out look what happened in wisconsin .

    June 6, 2012 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  19. Robert Moering

    Seems to me CNN polling means nothing to me given the exit poll results last night in Wisconsin. I've just finished reading multiple posts from people (seemed to all be conservative but only a guess by comments made) who advocated for lying to pollsters. If that turns out to be a trend, polls mean nothing.

    June 6, 2012 10:56 am at 10:56 am |