Poll: Does McDonnell on ticket change race in Virginia?
June 7th, 2012
07:10 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll: Does McDonnell on ticket change race in Virginia?

Washington (CNN) - A second straight survey indicates a pretty close race right now between President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney for Virginia's 13 electoral votes.

According to a Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday morning, the president holds a 47%-42% margin over Romney in the battleground state, with 6% unsure. Obama's five point margin is down from an eight point 50%-42% lead over Romney in Virginia in Quinnipiac's previous poll in the state, which was conducted in March before the former Massachusetts governor became the presumptive GOP presidential nominee.

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The new Quinnipiac survey is in line with an NBC/Marist poll conducted in the middle of last month which indicated the president holding a 48%-44% margin over Romney in Virginia.

The state's Republican governor, Bob McDonnell, is thought to be one of the people Romney may be considering as a running mate. But the poll indicates that putting McDonnell on the ticket doesn't change the race in Virginia. According to the survey, a Romney-McDonnell ticket trails the Obama-Vice President Joe Biden ticket 48%-43%.

The survey also indicates that Virginia voters oppose same-sex marriage 49%-42%, but only one in four say it's "extremely" or "very" important to their vote for president. And only 24% say that the president's support for same-sex marriage makes them less likely to vote for him, while 60% say it won't affect their vote.

According to the poll, the president has a 16 point lead over Romney among female voters, while Romney has a five point advantage over Obama among male voters.

"President Barack Obama remains ahead in Virginia, but he is hearing Gov. Mitt Romney's footsteps. His lead over Romney is built upon a continuing gender gap that favors him – essentially the president stays close among men while he is very strong among women," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "For Romney to take the lead he will need to reverse the gender gap. Often when Republicans win, they use a solid lead among men and narrow their loss among women."

The survey also indicates that Obama a 45%-37% advantage over Romney among independent voters.

CNN's electoral map indicates Virginia is a toss up.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted May 30-June 4, with 1,282 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Bob McDonnell • Mitt Romney • President Obama • Virginia
soundoff (9 Responses)
  1. Tony

    According to the exit polls from Tuesday's recall election in Wisconsin, the same voters who voted to keep Scott Walker as governor, 53% to 46%, also would vote for Obama over Romney, 51% to 44%. The election's results nearly matched the predictions of the Marquette University poll about a week before the election, which gave Walker a 7-point lead over Barrett and gave Obama a 8-point lead over Romney. Republicans should consider recalling a nominee who is much less popular than Scott Walker.

    June 7, 2012 07:20 am at 7:20 am |
  2. Gurgyl

    Absolutely "No".

    June 7, 2012 07:26 am at 7:26 am |
  3. John, PA

    Surveys and polls like the exit polls in Wisconsin that were wrong, a waste of time.

    Romney will easily beat Obama in 2012. I’m guessing that’s a fact that the voters in Virginia knew but the pollsters’ missed. In 2008; Obama was the first Democrat to win Virginia since 1964. In 2011 every Republican incumbent in the Virginia state House and Senate won; only the second time since the Civil War. 153 days from now the American voters will clean up Washington based on Obama and the Democrats record in Congress since 2007.

    June 7, 2012 07:42 am at 7:42 am |
  4. Wake up people

    Personally I don't expect President Obama to win VA. If he does good, but it definitely will not surprise me if he doesn't. Good luck President Obama and God bless you!

    OBAMA 2012!

    June 7, 2012 07:54 am at 7:54 am |
  5. Southeast

    He'll be able to sell off the rest of Va. like he sold our tunnels

    June 7, 2012 08:01 am at 8:01 am |
  6. Marie MD

    If the bishop from Kolob decides to go with the new rising confederacy governor he is going to be in trouble with women all over the US and their men, except the downtrodden rethug wives, of course.
    The VA governor was in favor of passing an invasive probe of pregnant women to keep them from their choice and rights as women. They backed down because of the backlash and protests but they still make women have a NOT needed ultrasound which is probably not covered by insurance.
    Repression of women is what the teapublikkkans are all about. Good luck!

    June 7, 2012 08:12 am at 8:12 am |
  7. The GOP opens mouth and inserts foot

    How could anyone with any common sense or love for America EVER vote for anyone on the GOP ticket? These people are out to destroy this country and elevate themselves to the top 1%.

    June 7, 2012 08:22 am at 8:22 am |

    Gov. Transvaginal Probe will hurt Willard's cause here in Virginia. He went off script last weekend when he stated that stimulus money is the reason why our unemployment rate is low in Virginia. I'm not sure Willard will want him as a running mate when he's giving compliments to the President. Virginia is Obama Country!

    June 7, 2012 08:32 am at 8:32 am |
  9. SafeJourney3

    Bob, ultrasound, Mcdonnell. hmmmm, you know the majority of women will NOT vote for bob

    June 7, 2012 08:39 am at 8:39 am |