Poll gives Obama edge in Pennsylvania
June 12th, 2012
07:43 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll gives Obama edge in Pennsylvania

(CNN) – The latest poll in Pennsylvania gives President Barack Obama a six point lead over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney, though voters in the Keystone State say Romney would do a better job fixing the nation's troubled economy.

The poll from Quinnipiac University indicated Obama leading Romney 46%-40%. The president's lead was bolstered by strong advantages over Romney among women and independents – 51% of women back Obama, compared to 36% who support Romney. Forty-three percent of independents say they would vote for Obama, compared to 35% who would go for Romney.

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Voters were more confident in how a President Romney would handle the economy. Forty-nine percent say the former Massachusetts governor and two-time presidential candidate would better handle the economy, compared to 41% who named Obama. Forty-five percent said Romney would create more jobs as president, while 43% said Obama would be stronger on job creation.

Obama still rates far higher than his Republican rival on likeability – 77% percent of Pennsylvania voters say Obama is a likeable person, compared to 58% who say the same of Romney.

"President Barack Obama is holding his ground against Gov. Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania," Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, wrote in a statement accompanying the poll's release. "While almost four-fifths of voters, including 58 percent of Republicans, say the President is a likable person, where the rubber meets the road on the campaign trail – the economy – Romney has the lead."

Malloy continued, "Pennsylvanians may like the president more than they like Mitt Romney, but the warm and fuzzy feeling gives way to the cold hard truth of a still shaky economy."

Obama's lead in Pennsylvania has remained relatively consistent since the last Quinnipiac survey of the state – in a poll taken at the beginning of May, Obama led Romney by eight points, 47%-39%.

In Pennsylvania's race for U.S. Senate, incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Casey leads his GOP rival Tom Smith 51%-29%. Smith, a coal mine owner, has run ads in Pennsylvania linked Casey to Obama, making the case the Democrats' policies have lead to hard economic times.

Pennsylvania carried 20 electoral votes in November's general election, and is rated "Leaning Obama" on CNN's Electoral Map. Obama carried the state by 11 points over Sen. John McCain in the 2008 presidential election. But Republicans won big in the state in the 2010 midterm contests, grabbing the governor's office and five congressional seats.

Both Obama and Romney will make campaign stops in the state this week. Obama will hold a campaign event and a fund-raiser in Philadelphia Tuesday, and Romney will campaign there Saturday as part of his six-state, five-day bus tour.

The Quinnipiac University poll was taken by telephone between June 5-10 from 997 registered voters. The sampling error was plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Pennsylvania • President Obama
soundoff (6 Responses)
  1. Gurgyl

    Obama12. Period.
    PS: bain capital to china is nonsense!!!

    June 12, 2012 07:51 am at 7:51 am |
  2. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    When it is all said and done in November, and the populace has had their chance to put forth the only poll that counts, their vote, the President will end up definitively ahead by a lot more than a mere "edge".
    Obama 2012. Because the alternative is a bad joke on "AMERCIA".

    June 12, 2012 08:03 am at 8:03 am |
  3. King

    all the repubs presdents since Reagan use government jobs to pull us out of recession, now those repubs are shouting small government and killing hundreds of thousands of government jobs, leaving local small businesses with less customers. big corporation are international now, most of their jobs are in. China. Obama needs to focus modernizing our country to pulled them back in, because I am tired of seeing companies leave in search of spenders, it's times we pull them back in, along with others countries companies for a change, and modernizing the greatest country on the planet Will have them breaking down our doors

    June 12, 2012 08:15 am at 8:15 am |
  4. GROVER NORQUIST IS A ENEMY OF THE STATE/ConservaFASCISTS

    With Romney's record at Bain as a community destroyer, and a manufactuing jobs killer, I don't see how he can win any rust belt states. He is the enemy of the middle class.

    June 12, 2012 08:36 am at 8:36 am |
  5. rla

    From the outcome of Obamas 3 years I expect people will not be using LIKABILITY as their deciding factor.... Sure have a beer with him but don' elect him to run the nation again!

    June 12, 2012 08:38 am at 8:38 am |
  6. Namejkane fl SEND THE THREE TIME LOSER HOME AND MAKE IT FOUR.

    Dem landslide coming in Nov ,thanks teaparty bafoons !!!!

    June 12, 2012 09:36 am at 9:36 am |