New poll: Obama has double digit advantage
June 20th, 2012
12:06 PM ET
3 years ago

New poll: Obama has double digit advantage

Washington (CNN) - A new national survey indicates President Barack Obama has opened up a double digit lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney in the race for the White House, an advantage for Obama that no other major poll released this month has found.

According to a Bloomberg National Poll released Wednesday, 53% of people likely to vote in the November presidential election say they support the president, with 40% saying they back Romney, the former Massachusetts governor and presumptive GOP nominee.

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The survey indicates Obama has a 13-point lead over Romney even though those questioned gave him low marks on his handling of the economy and the deficit. Six in ten said the nation is headed down the wrong track.

According to the poll, by a 55%-36% margin, likely voters view Romney as more out of touch with average Americans than Obama. And only 39% have a favorable view of Romney, with 48% saying they see him in a negative light. Fifty-five percent say the have a favorable opinion of the president, with 36% saying they view him in an unfavorable way.

The Bloomberg poll was conducted June 15-18, with 1,002 adults nationwide, including 734 likely voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error for questions only of likely voters is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

The Bloomberg horse race numbers are very different than most of the other national polls released over the past month, which indicated the race was tied or showed Obama with a slight advantage.

A new CNN Poll of Polls, which averages the three latest national horserace surveys, puts Obama at 48% and Romney at 43%. The three surveys included in the CNN Poll of Polls are Bloomberg (June 15-18), Gallup Daily Tracking Poll (June 12-18) and Reuters/Ipsos (June 7-11). The CNN Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

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Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (332 Responses)
  1. Reggiedw

    I will no even touch this poll woth a ten foot pole.. Polls can be set so most the people being questioned could be known Obama supporters so of course most of them will support him.

    June 20, 2012 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  2. Tr1Xen

    Bloomberg, LP is owned by Michael Bloomberg, a left-leaning Democrat. Consider the source.

    Gallup and Rasmussen both show a statistical tie:
    Romney 47%
    Obama 45%

    June 20, 2012 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  3. Anonymous

    "Interesting that CNN has chosen to focus on only the Bloomerg poll which puts Obama ahead 53% – 40%. If the average of the three surveys puts Obama ahead only 48% to 43% it suggests that in remaining two polls Romney leads by an average of 46.5% to Obama's 44.5%."

    Maybe it's my math that's wrong, but I can't see how you got those numbers. For Romney to average 43% when one of three polls says 40%, the other two would average out to 44.5%. For Obama to average 48% when one of the three polls says 53%, the other two would average out to 45.5%. Romney could certainly be ahead in one of those other polls, but not both.

    Knock it off with the liberal media nonsense, by the way. You figured this out entirely with data in the CNN article, so they're not hiding anything from you and did not focus only on one poll. The article is ABOUT how unusual the results are, for crying out loud.

    June 20, 2012 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  4. Charlotte

    Yes, let's. Won't change the facts, though, whatever you petulantly name it :)

    June 20, 2012 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  5. Brad

    Pole? Republicans are so cute when they try to spell big words.

    June 20, 2012 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  6. Dadster

    The problem with this poll is that a large number of people that this poll represents will be denied the right to vote due to Republican efforts at voter suppression. It is impossible for Romney to win without it.

    June 20, 2012 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  7. enfilmigult

    "Interesting that CNN has chosen to focus on only the Bloomerg poll which puts Obama ahead 53% – 40%. If the average of the three surveys puts Obama ahead only 48% to 43% it suggests that in remaining two polls Romney leads by an average of 46.5% to Obama's 44.5%."

    Maybe it's my math that's wrong, but I can't see how you got those numbers. For Romney to average 43% when one of three polls says 40%, the other two would average out to 44.5%. For Obama to average 48% when one of the three polls says 53%, the other two would average out to 45.5%. Romney could certainly be ahead in one of those other polls, but not both.

    Knock it off with the liberal media nonsense, by the way. You figured this out entirely with data in the CNN article, so they're not hiding anything from you and did not focus only on one poll. The article is ABOUT how unusual the results are, for crying out loud.

    June 20, 2012 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  8. Susan

    Jim...I'm sorry you're so put out by this "wishful thinking" pole, but we had to put up with Bush for 8 years. Learn to deal!

    June 20, 2012 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  9. Reality Check

    Even with these poll results, the lame liberal media: NBC, MSNBC, CBS, ABC, and even CNN will have to do much more campaigning, spinning, and out-right lying in favor of Obama in order for him to be re-elected this fall. If one thinks "journalism" is biased now, wait until this fall when it becomes more apparent that Obama is a loser as POTUS.

    June 20, 2012 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  10. lolo

    @ me again, because your republican party is becoming like dinosaurs, extinct and crazy to boot. If your party would quit telling lies and stop being so racist it may look better. Everyone sees how your kind are sending out codes over the airwaves. You were hoping that everyone would fall in the stupid trap you set up but it is not working.

    June 20, 2012 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  11. charles

    Isn't it funny how my repug friends all of a sudden don't trust polls because its not what they want to see. Please rational people don't vote for the most out of touch candidate ever,Bush on steroids.Who in his rightful mind will vote for this etch-a-sketch robot, stiff, flipper and mean spirited lier mormon bishop?

    June 20, 2012 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  12. They ought to change from the elephant to the hippo...

    Surprising. When you think of all Mitt has to offer, I'm surprised it's not triple digits!

    June 20, 2012 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  13. Tr1Xen

    Oh, and the question didn't ask who the respondents supported in the presidential election. It asked," Who is more out of touch with average Americans?" Obviously, Mitt Romney's wealth adds a bias to that question (probably intended). You can't generalize people's answers to that question to mean they're not voting for Romney. I'd rather vote for someone with whom I share less in common financially than for someone who thinks he's king.

    June 20, 2012 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  14. Mike

    Listen to all the Republican whiners now! Where's your Republican leadership and inovations? Oh yeah! It's non-existant! They're too busy trying to Sabotage the President and all his efforts to help EVERYONE not just the few who are already doing well for themselves. Can't believe they were so arogant to not see this coming! Republicans wrecked our economy by driving it off a cliff under their watch and policies and "NO!" you still can't have the keys back.

    June 20, 2012 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  15. EX Republican

    Romney will never get my vote I am switching to Obama. I just dont trust Romney he is phoney.

    June 20, 2012 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  16. wkndthg

    To jim, get over it.

    June 20, 2012 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  17. DPCA

    The poll took place at a party thrown by Debbie Wasserman Schultz. No way Obama has that kind of a lead after all he has failed to do and all the problems his administration is facing.

    Giving Obama a second term is financial suicide for our country. Sure he is probably a nice person but nice is not going to cut it anymore. Time to retire and enjoy his POTUS pension and protection for the rest of his life while the rest of us dig out of the hole he's left us in.

    June 20, 2012 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  18. ejktexas

    How did Gary Johnson do in the poll? Maybe include him and we'll find out!

    June 20, 2012 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  19. Palicorp

    I just hope it's not so for the sake of America

    June 20, 2012 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  20. jefftee

    Goes to show how stupid American voters have become..."Six in ten said the nation is headed down the wrong track.", and they're still voting for him. I'm surrounded by idiots!!!!!

    June 20, 2012 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  21. Anonymous010

    Polls like these are meaningless. I might happen to like the results of this one, but calling 1002 people cannot possibly be an accurate representative sample of the American population. They're sampling less than 1% of the American public and saying that because that 1% feels this way, the rest of Americans will probably feel the same way proportionately.

    In short, they're saying that a whole cake tastes good based on the taste of one small crumb. What if the rest of the cake has nuts or fruit in it? What if it has a different flavored frosting? What if it has ice cream in the center? The crumb won't tell you any of those things.

    Don't get me wrong – I know that sampling more people is too costly and time consuming to be done in a reasonable fashion; that's totally understandable. My point is, though, that you shouldn't publish the results of a poll if you can't take an adequate sample of your intended target. In short, they shouldn't bother polling at all if they can't get enough people.

    June 20, 2012 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  22. DB in HS

    Jim it's Poll not Pole. Oh, what's the point. You know what u are.

    June 20, 2012 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  23. latina

    Nobody has polled me and I am sure as hell not voting for Osama. I am voting for Mitt"""""""'. How can people vote for this crooked Prez., (osama) just look at all that is happening in his administration and people can vote for this idiot.

    June 20, 2012 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  24. Josh

    Gallup today has Romney by 46-45. This is before the Executive Privilege announcement which can only hurt the president.

    June 20, 2012 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  25. Jim, San Antonio

    Can you imagine listening to Romney every night on the news for four years? Let's face it, he's a very unlikable man.

    June 20, 2012 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
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