Poll: Mack ahead in Florida GOP Senate primary
June 21st, 2012
11:22 AM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Mack ahead in Florida GOP Senate primary

(CNN) – While Rep. Connie Mack has a solid lead in the crowded Florida field of GOP Senate hopefuls, a new poll indicates he falls slightly behind incumbent Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson, his would-be opponent.

Mack, a four-term congressman, has the backing of 41% of Republican registered voters in the primary race, while his Republican competitors trail far behind in the single digits, according a Quinnipiac University survey released Thursday.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

The poll was conducted entirely before one of the Republican contenders, former Sen. George LeMieux, announced Wednesday he was dropping out of the race, citing low name recognition and low poll numbers.

With LeMieux still in the survey's mix, however, he pulls eight percent of support among voters, while retired Army Col. Mike McCalister has five percent and former Rep. Dave Weldon takes two percent.

The results come less than two months before the state's primary election on August 14, just days before Republicans flood the state for the GOP's national convention.

Mack enjoys the support of many high-profile Republicans, including those from both the establishment and more conservative wings of the party. Presumptive GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Rep. Michele Bachmann, and Rep. Rand Paul are among those who fall in Mack's column.

"At this point, the Republican Senate nomination is Congressman Connie Mack's to lose," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "In politics, anything is possible and we still have two months to go until the Senate primary, but it would take a major change in public opinion for one of the other candidates to stop Connie Mack."

If he wins the primary, Mack would be challenging two-term Sen. Nelson in a race that could "go down to the wire," according to Brown.

The poll results show Democrat Nelson with a small edge over Mack, 43%-39%, a margin that falls within the survey's sampling error.

The same poll also indicates a similar trend in the presidential race. President Barack Obama similarly comes out with a four percentage point lead over Republican rival Romney in Florida.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted between June 12 and June 18, with 1,697 registered voters in Florida questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.

Also see:

Romney set for biggest fund-raising day yet

Miriam Adelson gets a refund

Obama campaign: Setting expectations for a brawl

Pro-Obama super PAC raises $4 million in May


Filed under: 2012 • Bill Nelson • Connie Mack • Florida • Senate
soundoff (11 Responses)
  1. Obama 2012 - BEND Forward America, take another 4 long years of FAILURE

    The poll results show Democrat Nelson with a small edge over Mack, 43%-39%, a margin that falls within the survey's sampling error.
    ============================================================================================
    A challenger in a statistical tie with a sitting Senator is usually very bad news for the incumbent. Double digit leads are the norm. It looks like this will be ANOTHER Republican Senate seat soon! That will be very good news for President Romney because he'll need a Senate that actually does something for this country, unlike what we have now with the Do-Nothing Democrat Senate. It will be sooo nice to see Harry Reid tossed to the curb, just like Pelosi was in 2010.

    June 21, 2012 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  2. Obama 2012 - MOVE Forward America, NOT another round of DUBYA's FAILURES

    Yawn.... yet another poll that shows the Grand Obstructionist Party is up to their usual statistical tricks. Polls mean nothing. Nelson will be re-elected in a landslide.

    June 21, 2012 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  3. Rudy NYC

    Woo! Game on.

    Florida needs to realize that it violates federal law to remove people from the voter roles within 90 days of the election because it does not give them sufficient time to get back on the roles in the event of errors.

    June 21, 2012 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  4. Obama 2012 - BEND Forward America, take another 4 long years of FAILURE

    Rudy NYC - Florida needs to realize that it violates federal law to remove people from the voter roles within 90 days of the election because it does not give them sufficient time to get back on the roles in the event of errors.
    ==============================================================================================
    Provisional ballots Rudy. You know how they handle it. Tell the full truth once in a while please.

    June 21, 2012 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  5. Namejkane fl SEND THE THREE TIME LOSER romney HOME AND MAKE IT FOUR.

    The three STOGES from the republican bafoon party ,Scott mack and Rubio will be kicked to the curb with the rest of the teabags in their next election!!!

    June 21, 2012 12:10 pm at 12:10 pm |
  6. John, PA

    Like the exit polls in Wisconsin that were wrong, the voters at large won’t be fooled. The majority of Americans see all Democrats, president Obama, the Obama administration as a complete FAILURE. The Democrats and president Obama now has the lowest job approval rating and we recognize that fact, the 2012 election is going to be a massacre for Democrats.

    June 21, 2012 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  7. John, PA

    @Rudy NYC – violates federal law to remove people from the voter roles within 90 days of the election

    We are 146 days out from the election.

    June 21, 2012 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  8. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Republicans and Bush took us to the brink of a great depression with their tax cuts, unfunded wars, cowboy diplomacy, and class warfare. Talk about republican failure, that is the epitome. Mittens is another Bushie.

    June 21, 2012 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  9. Obama 2012 - BEND Forward America, NOT a third term of BUSH's years of FAILURE

    Rmoney is happy to propagate the Republican dogma where the rich keep their stupid followers stupid while the stupid followers keep their rich masters rich. It seems both the rich and stupid Republicans are doing a remarkable job.

    June 21, 2012 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  10. Obama 2012 - BEND Forward America, NOT a third term of BUSH's years of FAILURE

    Newt Gingrich was right when he said that, “there is something so grotesquely hypocritical about the Romney campaign. We’re not going to beat Barack Obama with someone who owns Swiss bank accounts and Cayman Island accounts. Mitt Romney should know that we aren’t that stupid and he isn’t that clever. To have his campaign take on a lifetime of lies, frankly I do find infuriating. I think it is one of the most dishonest things I’ve seen in politics.” – Newt Gingrich (01/26/12

    June 21, 2012 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  11. Rudy NYC

    John, PA

    @Rudy NYC – violates federal law to remove people from the voter roles within 90 days of the election

    We are 146 days out from the election.
    --------------
    Read the article please. We are less than 90 days from the primary for a state wide office, Senator. Florida had their window of opportunity and sat on their laurels. Their time is up. You folks are amazing. Laws don't matter when they work against your motives. Sorry, time is up.

    As far as provisional ballots go, they're not handing out provisional ballots on eleciton day to people whose names do not appear on the roles. You've gotta be Mitten me to try to pass that idea off as credible.

    June 21, 2012 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |