Poll: Obama up in New Hampshire
June 25th, 2012
01:02 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Obama up in New Hampshire

(CNN) - President Barack Obama came out on top of Republican rival Mitt Romney in a new poll of Granite State voters.

The president received 51% support from those registered to vote in New Hampshire to Romney's 43%, according to an American Research Group poll released Monday.

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Obama held an advantage over Romney in the competitive state among independent voters, 62% to 31% and women 58% to 34%. Romney led Obama among men, 52% to 44%.

Despite his lead over Romney, only 46% of registered voters in the state approved of his overall job as president, while 48% disapproved.

Obama captured the state in 2008 with 54.3% of the vote to Sen. John McCain's 44.8% and has consistently led Romney in state-wide polling during this election cycle.

New Hampshire, with its four electoral votes, is rated as a battleground state on CNN's Electoral Map.

American Research Group surveyed 534 registered voters in the state between June 21 and June 24 with a sampling error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.


Filed under: Mitt Romney • New Hampshire • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (25 Responses)
  1. Sniffit

    "President Obama has failed to provide any leadership on immigration. "

    RIght. Because the following are Obama's and the Dems' failures:

    Increasing troops levels on the border to be the most on our borders in our country's history.

    Putting drones on the borders for the first time in our country's history in order to assist in spotting and locating attempted border crossers.

    Setting records for the number of deportations, with approx. 400K being deported in 2009, 2010 and 2011, the highest annual deportation numbers in our country's history.

    Shifting deportation priority to illegal immigrants found guilty of felonies and violent crimes so the worst get kicked out first.

    Proposing the DREAM Act, which THE GOP FILIBUSTERED WITHOUT PROPOSING ANY ALTERNATIVES.

    Defending federal sovereignty pursuant to the Constitution's Supremacy Clause from intrusion by states angry about rapidly increasing brown-ness that might threaten the GOP's stranglehold on that state's governance and electoral votes.

    Using executive authority to protect people who were brought here as children but who are, nonetheless, making positive contributions to our society by serving in our military, going to college, etc.

    Decrease in the number of illegal immigrants in the country from 12M in 2007 to 11.1M in 2011.

    ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION FROM MEXICO REDUCED TO NET ZERO (the numbers don't lie).

    Sooooo, essentially, Deputy Doublethink is just making false and misleading statements and spewing substanceless and baseless talking points intended to tap into race resentment, fear and frustration among his base that demographic shifts are threatening to reduce the GOP's relative of the voting market.

    June 25, 2012 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  2. Obama 2012 - BEND Forward America, take another 4 long years of OBAMA FAILURE

    Polls of "registered voters" are notoriously WAY OFF. Polls of LIKELY VOTERS are the ones that prove to be the most accurate. Which is why ALL of the polls that show Obama leading are polls of registered voters, most of which do NOT vote. All polls of likely voters have Romney and Obama statistically tied. Not a bad starting point for a challenger against an incumbent President. Obama is in trouble and the Democrats know it. Romney is now rasing more money than Obama, another very bad sign the Obama ship is sinking.

    June 25, 2012 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  3. Obama 2012 - BEND Forward America, take another 4 long years of OBAMA FAILURE

    Decrease in the number of illegal immigrants in the country from 12M in 2007 to 11.1M in 2011.
    ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION FROM MEXICO REDUCED TO NET ZERO (the numbers don't lie).
    ==========================================================================
    Yeah, but Obama sure as heck isn't going to run ads saying the at the economy of the USA is SO BAD that even illegals are going back to Mexico to get jobs, where jobs are more plentiful.

    Obama's new campaing slogan:
    Obama, Solving the Nations Illegal Immigration Problem by Destroying the Economy, FORWARD and OVER the CLIFF!!

    June 25, 2012 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  4. Gurgyl

    "Any one who has Brain and thinking capacity will go for OBAMA. Mitt is bad for the nation. Flip-Flop.

    June 25, 2012 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  5. These Sound About Right Actually

    Dear Obama 2012-BEND poster, I guess we don't like the polls when they are not in our favor, do we? On election night 2008, those same registered voter polls were showing about the same thing. And when all the voites were counted, they were just about exactly right. All polls of likely voters have Romney and Obama statistically tied? Surely you are kidding? There is not one single poll of registered votes or likely voters that show Obama and Romney in a statistal tie. If you are referring solely to New Hampshire, this may be true. But if you, in fact, are referring solely to New Hampshire, you seem to be really worked up over a state with only 4 electoral votes. Even if you are correct about New Hampshire, Obama's ship will not be sinking if he loses those 4 little electoral votes. Ohio would be a good place for you to worry about, really.

    June 25, 2012 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  6. Woman In California

    I have absolutely no faith in polls but let's hope people are finally waking up to Willard's phoney love of this country.

    Obama 2012 ALL the way.

    June 25, 2012 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  7. Reggiedw

    I doubt the results of these polls. CNN and the mainstream media want to make it look like Obama is really beating Romney. I DONT THINK SO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    June 25, 2012 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  8. MTATL67

    I don't believe in polls since you can make a rock more important than air. With that being said...It just makes me feel good here the President is a head.

    June 25, 2012 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  9. Jess Sayin

    Congratulations to the good people of NH for turning away from the party that caused the economy to crash. In spite of GOP obstructionism President Obama has helped us avoid a depression. Why woyuld anyone put a fox in the hen house now? Obama is at least trying to fix what he inherited. Gordon Gecko Romney will pull us back to September 2008!

    June 25, 2012 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  10. These Sound About Right Actually

    What I meant to say was: There is not one single poll of registered voters or likely voters that show Obama and Romney in a statistical tie in California and New York. I believe Obama is even slightly ahead in Florida at this point. I would hardly call that a sinking ship. Besides, have you ever heard the saying: "Loose lips sink ships." You best be worried about your candidate's loose and lying lips. The only ship he is sinking is his own. Every time he opens his mouth to speak, another lie comes out of it. If he thinks the American public are so stupid to not catch on to this pattern of lying, he's in for a rude awakening.

    June 25, 2012 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  11. Obama 2012 - BEND Forward America, take another 4 long years of OBAMA FAILURE

    These Sound About Right Actually - I guess we don't like the polls when they are not in our favor, do we?
    ===================================================================================
    I just see nothing of value in publishing polls taken in such a way that is well known to be inaccurate. If the people doing these polls are TRULY interested in conveying ACCURATE INFORMATION, then they will do them using the most accurate method known. If the people doing them are not using the most accurate methods known then they are doing so for a reason, and that is to sell bad information and deceive people in order to push an agenda. They rely on uneducated people to not know the difference in the polling methods in order to lead them to the wrong conclusion, namely that Obama is way ahead in the "INACCURATE POLLS", but of course they won't include the word inaccurat ein their "reporting".

    June 25, 2012 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  12. Name

    PRESIDENT BARRACK H. OBAMA is a gentleman and a decent human being and unfortunately this Country no longer aspire to those ideals. He has functioned as a President, not a party affiliate nor a race specific individual. Unfortunately the politics within the has reached the lowest of low or the lowest of low are now the voice of the land ; it shouldn't surprise us that children are no longer learning. Why should they; to become what? Look at the Nation examples. Shame on us.

    June 25, 2012 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |
  13. California Gary

    Polls won't mean much until after the debates take place. That's when the curtain will be pulled aside and the true Romney will be exposed for all to see. Once that happens, Obama will skyrocket in the polls and win this thing going away. Romney won't be able to answer the "where's the beef" question.......he has no beef.......just an empty suit.

    June 25, 2012 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  14. once upon a horse

    before it's all over Obama is going to be up in MORE places than just NH. Looks like slowly more people are not getting all their "facts" from FoxNews and right wing talk radio and doing some fact checking of their own. But I don't hold much credence in polls even those that may show who I support in the lead at the time. The only polling that counts is what lever you pull in Novemember

    June 25, 2012 02:05 pm at 2:05 pm |
  15. Silence DoGood

    Join the growing group of voters like me that go to the polls and vote for someone other than the Dem / Repub cartoon choices.

    This is starting in local elections but it will grow as people get fed up with the lies of BOTH Parties. Actually the same party of Status Quo.

    June 25, 2012 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  16. Sniffit

    "I just see nothing of value in publishing polls taken in such a way that is well known to be inaccurate. If the people doing these polls are TRULY interested in conveying ACCURATE INFORMATION, then they will do them using the most accurate method known. If the people doing them are not using the most accurate methods known then they are doing so for a reason, and that is to sell bad information and deceive people in order to push an agenda."
    ====

    Polls of "likely" voters allow polling are notoriouisly manipulated. "Registered voter" is a known binary quantity: you are either registered or not...and it is a measurable and verifiable fact one way or the other. "Likely voter" is a vague and subjective construct that allows polling companies to manipulate the manner in which they define "likely voter" and how they determine someone to be qualified to provide answers to their polling questions. It allows them to insert selction and sampling bias into their sampling and makes the polling data less reliable. Just take a look at Nate Silver's complete and utter take-down of Rasmussen's methodologies for sampling and push polling if you'd like a more in-depth explanation. Nice try though.

    June 25, 2012 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  17. Obama 2012 - BEND Forward America, NOT a third term of BUSH's years of FAILURE

    Poll: Obama up in New Hampshire despite Rmoney's bus tour/jamboree.

    Conclusion: American people are NOT as stupid as Rmoney thinks they are.

    June 25, 2012 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  18. Myviewis

    New Hampshire did go for Clinton and Kerry so this is no surprise.

    June 25, 2012 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  19. sayer

    NH is hardly a battleground. It is firmly in the blue column. Obama 2012!

    June 25, 2012 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  20. cali girl

    Hey Sniffit, right on with your posts
    Glad you are back.

    June 25, 2012 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  21. marko

    Honestly those with anti obama remarks have a lot of money. Sounds like YOU are finding a eradon to dislike him. He will defeat romney. There is NO time of any kind in New York California nor Massachusetts. If he was that good of governor should that state be in play?

    June 25, 2012 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  22. Core republican Values

    New Hampshire people are basically decent and well educated.

    Not only will it be difficult for Rove and his conspirators to deceive New Hampshire voters, but many of them will be offended by the lies, deception, and offensive behavior.

    June 25, 2012 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  23. These Sound About Right Actually

    If the people doing them are not using the most accurate methods known then they are doing so for a reason, and that is to sell bad information and deceive people in order to push an agenda. They rely on uneducated people to not know the difference..........
    ********************
    Okay, last comment to you on this subject from me, but seriously?????? Your candidate Romney is running around the country using the exact same method to deceive voters. I expect some fudging by a politician, that is what they do so well, but Romney is actually travelling the country and telling lie after lie about President Obama. He is repeating time and time again that Obama has doubled the federal deficit. This is a lie. Obama has actually reduced the deficit. I am not sure exactly how something can be doubled when it is actually reduced. This is a lie. A reporter actually called Romney on this, and Romney actually said that he did not say it. So....... He lied about lying. Then he went right back out on his next speech and repeated the same lie. Romney is clearly lying about facts in order to push an agenda. If you can tolerate that in your actual candidate for leader of the free world, I think you can give a pass to the same type of behavior in a little group of people reporting on the outcome of their polling. Yes, people will lie to push an agenda. The biggest liar out there pushing an agenda right now is Mitt Romney. You problem does not seem to be intolerance of liars. Your problem seems to be intolerance if the lying is not in your actual favor. Get over it. It's 4 electoral votes. When Romney overtakes Obama in the polls in California or New York, then you can start spewing out your Obama's ship is sinking load of drivel. Until then, you might want to stick to the facts yourself.

    June 25, 2012 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  24. Ol' Lefty

    Despite sluggish economic growth, Willard just not catching fire. Could it be that the majority of Americans don't want to see a replay of the GWB years? Or, Willard just has nothing to say, other than he's against Obama? Probably both.

    June 25, 2012 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  25. California Gary

    I agree with cali girl......sniffit is right on the mark with both earlier posts.

    June 25, 2012 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |