CNN's GUT CHECK | for June 27, 2012 | 5 p.m.
– n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle
DEVELOPING… Contempt vote on Holder will proceed in House: The U.S. House will proceed with a vote Thursday on holding Attorney General Eric Holder in contempt of Congress for withholding documents involving the failed Fast and Furious weapons crackdown, Speaker John Boehner said Wednesday.
HAPPENING TONIGHT: On the eve of both a congressional vote on whether to hold the Obama administration's chief law enforcement official in contempt of Congress and a Supreme Court decision on the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, the annual congressional picnic is taking place at the White House. #Awkward
OBAMA LEADING IN SWING STATES: Polls released Wednesday showed President Barack Obama narrowly edging his Republican rival Mitt Romney in Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio – three battlegrounds that went for Obama in 2008 but will be toss-ups in November. The polls from Quinnipiac University showed Obama with a 4-point advantage in Florida, 45%-41%. That was within the poll's 2.8 percentage point sampling error. In Pennsylvania, Obama led Romney 45%-39%, and in Ohio, the Democratic incumbent was ahead 47%-38%.
What famous international presidential trip began on this day in history?
The tea party became the most influential political movement in the 2010 midterm elections, fueled by outrage over government spending and frustration about the dismal economy. Social issues were barely, if ever, mentioned. But there was a connection between the self-identified tea party activists and social conservatives.
David Brody, chief political correspondent for the Christian Broadcasting Network, coined the term for these evangelicals who were attracted to the tea party movement: teavangelicals.
Our CNN colleague and Belief Blog co-editor Eric Marrapodi gives us five reasons why we need to watch this group heading into November:
1. Remember 2010?
2. They might swing the presidential election for Mitt Romney.
3. Teavangelicals made the GOP primaries more interesting.
4. They're planning to stick around for a while.
5. They’ll be a crossword puzzle clue soon.
Now, do they have your attention?
Did you miss it?
Leading CNNPolitics: House GOP leaders prepare for high court health care decision
House Republican leaders know that immediately after the Supreme Court rules on the health care law Thursday, they'll need to answer questions about what happens next on Capitol Hill - and they're ready. – Deirdre Walsh
Leading Drudge: Massive Cyber Raid Hits 60 Banks; $75 Million Stolen
Sixty million euro has been stolen from bank accounts in a massive cyber bank raid after fraudsters raided dozens of financial institutions around the world. – Pete Norman
Leading HuffPo: Super PAC Mega-Donors Increase Their Influence In May
Super PAC mega-donors continued to dominate the independent spending playing field in May as their percentage of total giving to super PACs increased. There are now ninety-five donors or collections of related donors that have given more than $500,000 to super PACs, according to a review of reports filed on June 20 with the Federal Election Commission (FEC). – Paul Blumenthal
Leading Politico: Dems go AWOL in class war
Labor unions hoped to turn the Wisconsin recall election into a rallying cause for their ailing movement. But a Democratic president couldn’t be dragged off the sidelines for the fight. – Jonathan Martin
Leading New York Times: Inquiry Looks Into a Shield for Donors in Elections
Attorney General Eric T. Schneiderman of New York has begun investigating contributions to tax-exempt groups that are heavily involved in political campaigns, focusing on a case involving the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which has been one of the largest outside groups seeking to influence recent elections but is not required to disclose its donors. – Nicholas Confessore
The political bites of the day
– Third party groups barrage McCaskill –
SEN. CLAIRE MCCASKILL IN AN INTERVIEW ON MSNBC’S “MORNING JOE”: “Since October, almost $7 million in negative ads from anonymous money against me in Missouri. It is enough that frankly, if I were running this race 10 or 15 years ago, I'd be in a fetal position on the floor right now because it's a little overwhelming. Frankly on my side, I'm not really worried about the messaging being out of sync by third party groups on my side because there are so few of them. There's nothing there.”
– Say a little prayer for… health care reform? –
REP. XAVIER BECERRA, VICE CHAIRMAN DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS, AT AN EVENT ON CAPITOL HILL: “We should all take some time tonight to pray a little to make sure that the Supreme Court doesn’t come out with another 5-4 decision which once again unmasks its political tendencies more than its desire to uphold the Constitution.”
– Biden really likes the term God-awful –
VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN AT A CAMPAIGN STOP IN IOWA: “My problem is I think Romney’s social policy is right out of the ‘50s. Seriously, right out of the ‘50s. I think his foreign policy is right out of the Cold War and his economic policy is just doubling down on the eight years of the last administration that put us into this God-awful mess in the first place. I honest to God believe that is the fundamental difference between us.”
What stopped us in 140 characters or less
Another endangered Dem, John Barrow of Ga., will vote for contempt: "The Attorney General has decided to withhold relevant documents."—
Jonathan Weisman (@jonathanweisman) June 27, 2012
The Queen and Martin McGuinness http://t.co/aLPjTQIf—
Peter Hunt (@BBCPeterHunt) June 27, 2012
Europe's gross debt levels as a percentage of GDP: Comparable to U.S. and UK, so is it really a "debt" crisis? http://t.co/0NTEPfQr—
Pedro da Costa (@pdacosta) June 27, 2012
GOP in no rush to legislate if ACA goes down politi.co/OwTTQG So much for "replace."—
David Roberts (@drgrist) June 27, 2012
Fun Trend: How Political Rhetoric Follows Gas Prices in Two Charts bit.ly/N2CAQq—
Shane Goldmacher (@ShaneGoldmacher) June 27, 2012
Wow: 45% of Latinos in NBC/WSJ/Telemundo poll say a candidate's race is important to their vote. 17% say it's most important factor.—
Aaron Blake (@FixAaron) June 27, 2012
On June 27, 1963, John F. Kennedy, the first Catholic president of the United States, arrived in Ireland for a presidential visit.
During the trip, Kennedy, an Irish-American, made a special visit to his Irish family’s home in Dunganstown, County Wexford. In what the BBC called “an emotional visit,” Kennedy enjoyed a choir of 300 boys singing “The Boys of Wexford,” a ballad about the Irish rebellion of 1798.
“The president left his bodyguards to join them in the second chorus, prompting one American photographer to burst into tears,” the BBC wrote. “Once the singing was over, Mr. Kennedy shook hands with as many schoolchildren as he could reach.” LINK
Also during the trip, Kennedy met with 15 of his cousins in a farm outside Dunganstown. “Tea had been laid out on trestle tables in the yard and a banner declared ‘Welcome home, Mr. President,’” reported the BBC.
The trip also included a foreign policy milestone when Kennedy delivered a speech in Dublin that challenged Britian’s historical persecution of Irish Catholics.
GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE
(why aren’t you in it)
Congratulations to Bernard Lin (@blin11592) for correctly answering that JFK’s trip to Ireland started on this day in history. Gut Check assumed that Lin was observing the NBA off-season.
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