CNN's GUT CHECK | for July 10, 2012 | 5 p.m.
– n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle
BREAKING: ROMNEY AND OBAMA ON OUTSOURCING: I KNOW YOU ARE BUT WHAT AM I:
… MITT ROMNEY AT A CAMPAIGN STOP IN GRAND JUNCTION, COLORADO: “He likes to talk about outsourcing. He's run some interesting attack ads on me on that topic. … It’s interesting when it comes to outsourcing, this president has been outsourcing good deal of American jobs by putting money into energy companies that end up making their products outside the U.S. If there’s an outsourcer in chief, it’s the President of the United States, not the guy running to replace him”
… AND PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA BRINGS UP ROMNEY’S HISTORY WITH THE AUTO BAILOUT IN CEDAR RAPIDS, IOWA: “Governor Romney said we should let Detroit go bankrupt. I refused to turn my back on a great American industry and great American workers. I bet on American workers, I bet on American manufacturing, and three years later the American auto industry has come roaring back. That's what this election is about.”
JUST IN… LIBERALS JOIN CONSERVATIVES IN MEDIA DISTRUST: A new study by Gallup finds that public trust in media is at a new all-time low. In particular, self-described liberals and moderates have experienced the largest decline in trust. “Liberals and moderates lost so much confidence in television news this year - 11 and 10 points, respectively - that their views are now more akin to conservatives' views. This marks a turnaround from the pattern seen since 2009, in which liberals expressed more confidence than conservatives.”
What election led to the largest majority in the House of Representatives since the New Deal era?
How to address or even discuss the issue of illegal immigration has dogged the GOP for election after election after election. This year it is no different. Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney staked out a very strident position on illegal immigration setting himself apart in the Republican primary from his rivals such as Texas Gov. Rick Perry. And, of course, then there was the Arizona law.
Even though the GOP can boast that there are two governors - Brian Sandoval of Nevada and Susana Martinez of New Mexico – with Hispanic roots, there is no question that President Obama will easily win the Hispanic vote in November.
But what about in the long term? In 2010, Latinos made up 15.5 percent of the U.S. population, but by 2050 this group is to grow to 25 percent of the population.
Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Florida, is clearly positioned to be the Republican leader in helping make inroads into this traditionally Democratic constituency. And there is a chance he will be joined by another Florida native who now calls Texas home: George P. Bush.
George P. Bush is the son of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, nephew of former President George W. Bush and grandson of former President George H.W. Bush. Politics is in his blood and he has a unique perspective on the immigration issue. His mother, Jeb’s wife, was born in Mexico. And George P. Bush was careful, but clearly frustrated during a CNN editorial board meeting today at how Romney has approached the issue of immigration.
“There are reservations and concerns,” Bush said of Romney’s stand on immigration. “A lot of Republicans would like to see a return to the days of George W. Bush on this issue. I am an optimist in this issue, but pessimistic on the time timing due to the election year.”
George P. Bush is referring to the efforts of his uncle, who worked closely with the late Sen. Edward Kennedy and Sen. John McCain on legislation to address illegal immigration. It failed.
A Texas businessman, who also serves in the Naval Reserves, George P. Bush is the co chair of Maverick PAC, which supports GOP candidates and seeks to engage young people in the Republican Party. And he has an anti-Washington pitch.
“Younger people are skeptical of political windbags,” he said, noting that some of his PACs “most successful events” have been involved young business people.
So, what is his next step? It is unclear, but he acknowledges that he is interested in running for office.
“I love politics and I can’t get it out of my blood,” he said. “I’ll be honest, I’ve been asked to look at some specific races in 2014 in Texas.”
As to what offices, he wouldn’t say. But it is fair to say that expect to hear more from the George P. Bush in the years to come.
Did you miss it?
Leading CNNPolitics: House Republicans to mount all-day offensive ahead of health care repeal vote
Ahead of a planned vote on Wednesday, House Republicans plan a round of hearings and news conferences on repealing President Barack Obama's signature health care reform law, even though they know the measure has no chance of winning Senate approval.
Leading Drudge: Godfather Under Fire As Murder Rate Soars
Chicago's mayor and police superintendent publicly defended their new gang-fighting strategy Monday amid growing criticism that the changes are failing and a big reason why the city's homicide rate has soared this year. – Don Babwin
Leading HuffPo: Bush Tax Cuts Extension Bill Would Be Vetoed By Obama
President Barack Obama would veto legislation that extends all of the Bush administration's tax cuts, including those for the middle class, White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said Monday. But top Republican aides said they don't buy it. – Jennifer Bendery
Leading Politico: The week in fake Washington
President Barack Obama stood at the White House Monday and held a thinly veiled campaign event, claiming that Republicans want to raise taxes on the middle class. On Wednesday, Republicans will hold their own political event – voting to repeal the president’s health care law, again. – Jonathan Allen
Leading The New York Times: Parties’ Tactics Eroding Unity Left and Right
President Obama and Congressional Republicans pressed ahead on Monday with politically charged proposals on tax cuts and health care, in competing efforts to frame the election-year debate. But each risked opening fissures in their own ranks, as lawmakers played up alternatives to the aggressive approaches of their leaders. – Mark Landler and Jonathan Weisman
The political bites of the day
- Romney hits Obama for inaction on post-Arab Spring plan -
MITT ROMNEY IN AN INTERVIEW ON THE “THE JOHN FREDERICKS SHOW”: “It’s a great concern that the president has watched the Arab Spring develop, and it has not developed in a path or course we would have hoped for. We, as a country, have a great deal of interest in seeing the Middle Eastern nations that are taking control away from, in many cases, despotic dictators. We want to see them become more representative forms of government. We also want to see them become more modern. And we don’t want to have them turn to the radical violent jihadism, which has lead to death and destruction around the world.”
- Obama plays media critic -
PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA AT AN IOWA CAMPAIGN RALLY: “There is more money flooding the system than ever before, there's more negative ads, more cynicism, most of what you hear in terms of the news is who's up and who's down in the polls, instead of how any of this relates to your lives and the country that you love.”
- ‘Watch out,’ says Maine governor -
MAINE GOV. PAUL LEPAGE RESPONDS TO CRITICISM OF HIS ‘GESTAPO’ COMMENT IN AN INTERVIEW WITH WGME: “You never want to hurt anybody’s feelings, but I am very, very passionate about American freedom and the American dream, very passionate, and if somebody steps in the way, ‘watch out.’”
- Mitt Romney: America’s next bachelorette contestant? -
JIMMY FALLON JOKES ABOUT MITT ROMNEY ON HIS LATE NIGHT TALK SHOW: “Here's some political news. Last week, House Speaker John Boehner said that Americans won't fall in love with Mitt Romney before the election. Yeah. Which explains Romney’s new campaign slogan, ‘Mitt Romney, will you accept this rose?’ That's right. Boehner said voters won't fall in love with Mitt Romney. Then it got weirder when Boehner was like, “at least not like I have.’”
What stopped us in 140 characters or less
Dems' Hoyer on Wed. hlth repeal vote: "This is another one of [Republicans'] message weeks devoted solely to the politics of their base."—
David Lightman (@LightmanDavid) July 10, 2012
On WH blog @pfeiffer44 writes Obama "will veto any legislation that extends the ... Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest in our country"—
Mike O'Brien (@mpoindc) July 10, 2012
Jon Ralston (@RalstonFlash) July 10, 2012
Happy Birthday, Wyoming! Today in 1890: Wyoming became the 44th state. ow.ly/c8vDv—
(@amhistorymuseum) July 10, 2012
Why you should be careful in comparing fundraising figures: There are strings attached to much of Romney's money... pwire.at/L64sU1—
Taegan Goddard (@politicalwire) July 10, 2012
Being pulled by the coattails of then-President Lyndon B. Johnson's lopsided victory over Republican Barry Goldwater, Democrats in the House picked up 36 seats from the Republicans in 1964. With over two-thirds of the House controlled by Democrats, this was largest majority in the House of Representatives since 1936.
While Democrats made gains in states such as Ohio, Illinois, Michigan and New York, the 1964 election was one of the first times the Republican Party made gains in the Deep South: Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and South Carolina. This trend in the House was similar in the presidential election, where Goldwater won those states as well. Those House Republicans who came in on the losing coattails of Goldwater came to be known as "Goldwater Republicans."
GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE
(why aren’t you in it)
Congratulations to Christopher S. Brown (@chrisbrowntv) for correctly answering today’s Gut Check Trivia Question. “The big one,” Brown called it, when he answered the largest House majority was obtained by the Democrats in 1964.
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