Florida remains neck-and-neck, new poll shows
July 14th, 2012
12:57 PM ET
2 years ago

Florida remains neck-and-neck, new poll shows

(CNN) – A new poll released Saturday shows the battleground state of Florida remains a dead heat for President Barack Obama and presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney.

Obama's advantage is a single percentage point in the survey, though Romney could claim that small advantage for himself should he select Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida as his running mate, the poll indicated.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

– Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

The Mason-Dixon Poll/News 13 poll of likely Florida voters put Obama at 46% and Romney at 45%. The poll also included Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson, who scored 2% support and previously competed in the Republican primary.

Romney would have a slight one point advantage if he picked Rubio, a Hispanic senator who is popular among conservatives, to join his ticket. Should that happen, Obama's seven point edge over Romney among Latino voters could turn to a one-point advantage for Romney, 43%-44%, and the percentage of undecided Latino voters would increase from 9% to 13%, according to the poll.

Two other polls released last month showed Obama over Romney, but the results were within each poll's sampling error. In the separate Quinnipiac University polls, Obama had 45% and 46% to Romney's 41% and 42%.

Half of voters disapproved of the president's job performance, while only 46% approve. A larger number - 54% - told the pollsters the country was on the wrong track, and just shy of four in 10 said it was on the right track.

Forty-one percent said Obama's policies had worsened the country, 35% thought they had improved the country, and 22% thought his policies had no effect.

In the horserace, Obama led among likely voters who are black, female, and are younger than 50. Romney's advantage included voters who are white, male and older than 50, the poll showed.

The poll included 800 likely voters reached by telephone between July 9 and July 11. It had a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, the pollsters said.


Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Marco Rubio • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (23 Responses)
  1. Strangways

    we remember 2000, Florida.

    July 14, 2012 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  2. Ed1

    If that's the case then the voters in Florida need to wake up and vote for Mitt the only person running with anykind of work background.

    All I hear is Bain did he break any laws, by having an account in another country illegal, would you put your money in US banks and earn 1/2%, and if you answers is yes to any of the questions that Obama and his out of control spending buddies is all they can make up. Obama is not telling the truth and he knows it if you vote for Obama in 2012 then you deserve what you get which is more of the same BS.

    Look around the people that was voted in 2010 to Congress are doing what they were told to do stop the out of control spending by Obama and his buddies.

    Did you know that 29 billions of our tax money went to Denmark, Finland, and Mexico just to name a few talk about outsourcing Obama is the king.

    July 14, 2012 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  3. willis

    I King Tabby of Mass am Bound & Determined to Surpress the vote of Blacks, minorities, Hispanics, The Elderly & Especially the Disabled Caus I am The biggest Slimeball on the Face of the earth.

    July 14, 2012 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  4. WiredweirdinSF

    And now we hear that the most incompetent, inept, corrupt, union toady regime in the history of this country is nullifying the Welfare Reform Act to get more dope smoking, non working, non taxpaying, welfare frauds to vote for him, while he raises the taxes on my 401K program. He is punishing me for being a responsible person. The abject failure must be defeated in November.

    July 14, 2012 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  5. Bootstomper

    Larry,Moe,Curly,Mitt, it was the 4 stooges not 3.

    July 14, 2012 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  6. SafeJourney

    Just wait until all the good people of Florida vote., The majority of the people in Florida hate their Repub Gov.
    This will be reflected in their votes in November

    July 14, 2012 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  7. Like-able...vs...Capable..................

    America will choose CAPABLE almost 100%....over like-able...Which .does not put food on the table....so lets go for Capable_Romney....means jobs, growth and prosperity for America once again.......and "Yes" who the hell is Grover Norquist...?

    July 14, 2012 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  8. Thomas

    This is news ?

    Florida , the land of Rick Scott and Katherine Harris !

    Rubio will only help in regard to the Cuban vote , other latinos don't like him..

    July 14, 2012 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  9. Free Man in the Republic of Texas

    Hey y'all FREE FOOD no work required !!!
    Get your share of the Obama stash
    and stick it to those working tax payers
    who still have a job...

    MOVING FORWARD
    To eternal life on the government plantation !!!

    July 14, 2012 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  10. Anthony

    There is no explaining away Romney's words, which are inconsistent with his record. He said Obama's healthcare plan is bad policy, yet Obama's plan is basically the same as Romney's Massachusetts healthcare plan, except Obama's plan covers the whole nation. Romeny said that he left Bain completely in February 1999 to run the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City, but the Boston Globe reported that Romney kept a part-time role at Bain after February 1999, and his wife Ann said in a Boston Globe interview in November 2000 that Romney remained involved with Bain after February 1999.

    July 14, 2012 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  11. 2012liberal

    Bain capital had an outsourcing director position. An actual tile chair JOB! And just ask john mccain 4 the 23 yrs of tax returns of mitts that he got when he was vetting mitt. Something must hv been pretty fishy if he chose palin over him. Lol

    July 14, 2012 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  12. Gurgyl

    Florida, do not be idiotic. Mitt wil take entire nation to CHINA, INDIA. True. Obama12.

    July 14, 2012 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  13. indie52

    Why won't Willard show his tax returns, I smell a rat.

    July 14, 2012 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  14. GI Joe

    I guess those old people want Romney to get rid of their SS and Medicare. That's exactly what his ryan budget will do. ha ha ha ha ha ha ha aha ha ha ha

    Can't wait to see all the strokes and heart-attacks after that. Anger at oneself can bring on that heart-attack Sweetie.

    July 14, 2012 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  15. fred37ify

    Hope all the retirees in Florida remember Barack was the first president to suspend Social Security cost of living increases ! No COLAS for 3 years ! Remember when you vote !

    July 14, 2012 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  16. T'sah From Virginia

    ►Florida remains neck-and-neck, new poll shows◄
    But you can only select ONE VP – This is something Romney should know
    He wants Rubio for Florida – Portman for Oh – and McDonnell for Va too
    But even after selecting either one of them – NONE of them would pull him through!

    Obama 2012 – The Only Trusted Way Forward – Yes We Can!!

    July 14, 2012 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  17. CNN The Masters of Spin

    If the general public knew the truth, Obambi is behind in inner polling by double digits! Why? ANYONE but Obambi! Romney will win in a Landslide......because he is NOT Obama nor is he Democrat!

    July 14, 2012 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  18. gg

    florida does not need social security or medicad –there all seniors

    July 14, 2012 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  19. Name bullock

    Obama will be punish for dishonest annd his job for nothing 3 year

    July 14, 2012 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  20. mike.g.hall

    Awesome! Obama's going down in the Sunshine State!

    July 14, 2012 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  21. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    There are some clueless republicans in FL who support the lying job outsourcer from Bain.

    July 14, 2012 02:40 pm at 2:40 pm |
  22. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    Because our interest is invested in America and not in Swiszerland, Cayman Island, Bermuda or China, Mr. President, keep your foot on Romney's neck. We deserve to have this man exposed for who he really isn't and it doesn't make any difference what party one belongs.

    July 14, 2012 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  23. Richard T.

    Hey now! This is Florida that is being discussed. I am sure the GOP and Marco and Rick Scott will ensure that the GOP will win by suppressing low-income, youthful, and minority voting. If that does not work there is alway thier Sec of State or Supreme court that will corrupt the election.

    July 14, 2012 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |