Poll: No instant impact from Ryan on horserace
August 15th, 2012
03:35 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: No instant impact from Ryan on horserace

(CNN) - A new national poll indicates that Mitt Romney's announcement of House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan as his running mate has not made an immediate impact on the race for the White House.

According to Gallup, 47% of registered voters supported Romney and 45% supported President Barack Obama in the four days of their daily tracking poll following Romney's Saturday morning announcement that the seven-term congressman from Wisconsin would be his running mate on the Republican ticket.

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That's little changed from the four days before the August 11 announcement, when numbers from the Gallup Daily Tracking poll indicated 46% of registered voters saying they would back Romney and 45% saying they supported the president. The slight change is well within the survey's sampling error.

Will the Republican ticket enjoy a delayed bounce?

"While the initial indication is no increase in Romney's support after naming Ryan, the data suggest the possibility that Romney may get a delayed bounce, as he fared slightly better in Aug. 13-14 Gallup tracking than in Aug. 11-12 tracking," says the release from Gallup.

Neither Gallup polling or CNN/ORC polling found any real change in the race for the White House immediately after the naming of Sen. Joe Biden of Delaware and Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as the running mates in the 2008 campaign. But polling did indicate that the vice presidential choices had a bigger impact in the 1996, 2000 and 2004 elections.

The Gallup Daily Tracking Poll was conducted August 7-14, with 1,863 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

– CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report


Filed under: 2012 • Paul Ryan
soundoff (32 Responses)
  1. Kenny K

    Palin did not have any prior video to downplayher; she downplayed herself when she started talking. On the other hand, Ryan has videos where he acknowledged his idols as well as record of his plans.

    August 15, 2012 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  2. The Other Dale

    Ryan has been a "golden boy" for the GOP for quite a while now and anyone bothering to pay attention to politics, budgets, and Obama-bashing certainly would have heard of Ryan and his tea-party roots. The problem for Romney is that he is already seen by the general public as someone dancing with the Tea Party (one reason his numers are down) and he really needed a centralist as VP pick in order to boost his potential with voters. Instead, he went with Ryan, a guy well known for grandstanding but also for getting marble-mouthed and visibly angry when questioned on anything. He also is seen by the general public as "this rich guy who never had to work a day in his life yet is telling me what to do with my money," thanks to his earlier ideas on the budget, et al. The only people Romney has won over with Ryan is Tea Partiers who would have voted for Romney anyway. Hence, a complete wash-out and another stumble for the Romney campaign (which has made so many that they only thing they have left is to discuss their hurt feelings in commercials ... nothing about how Romney will work to make the country better, but all about how mean ol' Obama is to him). Let's face it, Romney is dead-meat when it comes to November.

    August 15, 2012 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  3. Kenny K

    Romney really knows how to distance himself from people and facts. He even run away from his own Romneycare with which he could have been remembered as the father of healthcare for all Americans. However, this time Ryan is glued to him; he can't run or distance himself from him and his Budget.

    August 15, 2012 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  4. drake mallard

    romeny+horse=$77000 Tax Deduction

    August 15, 2012 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  5. Nelson Colorado Springs Co.

    I am sorry for the miss leading statement from your CNN Political Unit A new national that 47% of registered voters supported Romney and 45% supported President Barack Obama. Please let me know. how many did you poll, where did you poll ,what race you poll, rich or poor middle class what ever that is. Your poll can't speak the hold United States Of America. your poll didn't and can't for EVERYONE So your "STATEMENT IS MISLEADING" CNN you won't print this?????

    August 15, 2012 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  6. Jim Peters

    Last Thursday, CNN's own poll had Obama with a 52-45 lead. Now Gallup has Romney with a two point lead. So either Ryan's selection had an immediate and large impact of 9 points, or CNN's poll that it reported with much fanfare last week was a piece of garbage. Which one is it CNN?

    August 15, 2012 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  7. Mickey

    In any case, pundits are saying Paul Ryan wasn't chosen for his appeal to voters, he was chosen for his appeal to the super rich businessmen who are funding Romney's campaign because Ryan has a well-proven track record of policies that will make the rich richer (and the poor poorer.) The Romney campaign isn't trying to WIN the election, they're trying to BUY the election.

    August 15, 2012 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
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