Poll: Ahead of GOP convention, presidential race in dead heat
August 21st, 2012
08:06 PM ET
2 years ago

Poll: Ahead of GOP convention, presidential race in dead heat

(CNN) - The latest developments in the presidential campaign - such as Mitt Romney's selection of a running mate - has little moved the presidential race, a new poll released Tuesday.

This NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey - conducted entirely after Romney's announcement that House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan would join his ticket - shows President Barack Obama at 48% and his Republican challenger at 44%. That margin is within the poll's sampling error of plus or minus three points.

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The results are in line with the other two polls included in the latest CNN Poll of Polls, which averaged the three most recent surveys to find Obama at 47% and Romney at 43%.

And the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found that 62% of voters were "very interested" in the presidential race as the two parties prepare for their back-to back conventions, which begin with the Republican National Convention next week. On a 10-point scale, another 18% rated their interest level at an 8 or 9. Public interest grew between April and May, the survey showed, as the presidential race entered the general election phase.

Six in 10 registered voters included in the poll said the country was off track, while 32% said it was "headed in the right direction." Those numbers nearly mirror the poll's monthly results since January (with the exception of February, when this survey was not taken).

The president's approval ratings have also remained largely unchanged. This month, 48% approved while 49% disapproved of "the job Barack Obama is doing as president," the poll found. On foreign policy, he had a positive approval rating, but on the economy, a negative rating.

Views of Romney were split, the poll found: 38% gave him a positive assessment and 44% gave him a negative assessment. The six point difference is equal to the poll's sampling error.

The results of this poll have been largely unchanged since June of 2011. In each of the months since, the margin between Romney and Obama has been no larger than six points.

CNN's Poll of Polls, which includes the NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey, as well as Gallup's daily tracking numbers and a survey released conducted August 15-19 by Monmouth University shows the race in a dead heat since the announcement of Ryan on the GOP ticket. Obama stood at 47% and Romney at 43%.

The poll included 1,000 registered voters contacted between August 16 and 20.

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Filed under: 2012 • CNN Poll of polls • Mitt Romney • President Obama
soundoff (33 Responses)
  1. Reggie from LA

    Sad
    People actually believe in Romney and Ryan. Ryan was just ushering some trickle down economics nonsense and people applauded. OMG they're spending a lot of time and money hypnotizing weird people into supporting their cause. You are some really weird people

    August 21, 2012 11:31 pm at 11:31 pm |
  2. Craig

    Amazing! Republican & Democrat 'neck and neck' in a bad economy. If the Republican power machine selected someone a little more exciting without financial secrets the spread would be large and in favor of the Republican.

    August 21, 2012 11:37 pm at 11:37 pm |
  3. Wagner

    We got to beat romney he thinks he can win because he is superwealthy.

    August 21, 2012 11:45 pm at 11:45 pm |
  4. concerned_statistician

    "shows President Barack Obama at 48% and his Republican challenger at 44%. That margin is within the poll's sampling error of plus or minus three points."
    The difference is 4% ......how is this within the sampling error of plus or minus three points??? Does anybody proof the articles before they are published???

    August 21, 2012 11:47 pm at 11:47 pm |
  5. Tish NC

    Oh please CNN! Romney is going no where! He,s a Trojan Horse! Oh, allot Of us you people.....oh, it has changed,small minded people want to see those tax records!

    August 22, 2012 12:06 am at 12:06 am |
  6. RudyG

    As if anyone believes CNN and NBC polls are objective and accurate!!

    August 22, 2012 12:20 am at 12:20 am |
  7. jonny

    Every national poll shows obama 3-5 points behind...dream on CNN

    August 22, 2012 07:54 am at 7:54 am |
  8. Steve

    CNN correspondents should take a math class: "[The poll] shows President Barack Obama at 48% and his Republican challenger at 44%. That margin is within the poll's sampling error of plus or minus three points." A 4% difference is not within a 3% margin of error. Sounds like the writer prefers it to be a dead heat- which is just as statistically likely as a 8% Obama lead. What ever happened to the facts?

    August 22, 2012 07:56 am at 7:56 am |
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