North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map
August 27th, 2012
06:28 PM ET
2 years ago

North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map

(CNN) – CNN Monday turned the important battleground state of North Carolina from "lean Romney" to true "toss up" on its Electoral Map, following the release of a new CNN/Time Magazine/ORC International poll that indicated the race for the state's 15 electoral votes was a dead heat.

The move by CNN comes one week before the Democratic convention kicks off in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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The poll, released earlier on Monday, indicates it's all knotted up in the Tar Heel state, with 48% of likely voters supporting Republican challenger Mitt Romney and 47% backing President Barack Obama.

Other polls from other organizations conducted earlier this summer also indicated a close contest in North Carolina.

"It's hard to imagine the perfect storm that helped then Sen. Obama narrowly carry the state in 2008. But at the moment the polling shows a tossup, and both campaigns say their numbers are in the same ballpark as our survey," says CNN Chief National Correspondent John King. "That, plus all the attention Democrats are about to give the state, gives us ample reason to move North Carolina to tossup."

"It's a must win for Romney, and even top Obama aides privately say it is a lot harder to see it going blue this time. But Romney can't take it for granted and the poll backs up what we see in the recent ad wars in North Carolina: It's a tight battleground," adds King.

Obama was the first Democrat to carry the state in a presidential election since 1976.

North Carolina now becomes the ninth state CNN considers a true toss up, joining Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. CNN considers Michigan, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania as states that lean towards Obama, with Arizona, Indiana, and Missouri as states that lean towards Romney.

With North Carolina's move to true "toss up," the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 191 electoral votes, and states with 110 electoral votes are up for grabs. Two-hundred and seventy electoral votes are needed with win the White House.

– CNN's Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

soundoff (445 Responses)
  1. Rob Charlotte, NC

    Very good. lets do it again ;-)

    August 27, 2012 06:52 pm at 6:52 pm |
  2. Mitt Romney

    Obama 2012

    August 27, 2012 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  3. Sphy

    It is increasingly looking like 2012 will be an electoral college repeat of 2008.

    August 27, 2012 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  4. Today

    Fake

    August 27, 2012 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  5. Hank

    CNN readers get more temporary "hope" and "change" from CNN polls than Obama ever gave them but ultimately will end up with the same sensation of being duped.

    August 27, 2012 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  6. Roger

    When is Michigan going to join the toss up states? It too came in as a tie... I'm sure CNN can recognize that....

    August 27, 2012 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  7. Anonymous

    So CNN misses the new poll in Michigan which shows it's now a toss up instead of lean Obama. Typical left wing media crap.

    August 27, 2012 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  8. matt

    LOL at this being breaking news, liberal bias anyone. Was it breaking news when Wisconsin when from Obama lean to toss-up? No, no it wasn't. But CNN is just trying to find something good to report on the Obama campaign. Getting desperate CNN i think so.

    August 27, 2012 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  9. skeptic

    Wonder if this would have been reported if Obama was in lead in NC?

    August 27, 2012 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  10. E Christopher

    Hard to believe in a state that just passed a constitutional amendment essentially banning gay marriage. NC is being dragged kicking and screaming into the 21st century. There is still hope that the GOP will eventually see the wrong of their ways.

    August 27, 2012 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  11. DrDave

    Nate Silver has it at 70-31 (rounded), not a tie but an avalanche. Someone has made a terrible mistake! I suggest CNN go through their polling records and show how accurate CNN's similar polls have been in the past. After all, the public needs to know these things.

    August 27, 2012 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  12. Bob Hope's Ghost

    woo hoo! Go Romney!

    August 27, 2012 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  13. Lev

    what an embarrassment....whenever Romney moves up in the polls CNN for some reason doesnt make it "breaking news". how's that for media bias?

    August 27, 2012 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  14. Name obama's OK

    Way to go NC! OBAMA 2012

    August 27, 2012 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  15. Iamnotfooled

    Come on North Carolina-You know it's the House GOP (Who sets the agenda) that did absolutely nothing to help President Obama. They are with the big corporations and President Obama is with the middleclass and poor. How many of his promises could he have kept if they had helped him instead of fought him at every turn? Romney will help the corporations again. Ryan will cut everything from the poor and give it to the rich in tax cuts. 62% of his Programs (which Romney has endorsed) cut Programs from the poor and middleclass. Obama's programs are fairer.

    August 27, 2012 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  16. Anonymous

    Funny how this is "breaking news" on the opening day of the GOP convention....interesting side note, the polls in NC have been within 1% since July 20. Why is this breaking today? Hmmmmm, CNN, are we trying to push things a certain way? Nice timing....I love media! NOT!!!!

    August 27, 2012 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  17. @getmecash

    YES WE CAN OBAMA

    August 27, 2012 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  18. matt

    LOL at this being breaking news, democrat bias anyone. Was it breaking news when Wisconsin when from Obama lean to toss-up? No, no it wasn't. But CNN is just trying to find something good to report on the Obama campaign. Getting desperate CNN i think so.

    August 27, 2012 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  19. Karl

    Didnt know Obama's team had direct posting access to the CNN 'breaking news' feature.

    CNN, could you at least pretend for a minute that there is no bias in your coverage?

    August 27, 2012 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  20. John

    CNN show us your polling data like all other polls do.

    August 27, 2012 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  21. Edwin

    Roger: moving a state from one column to another is more than just one poll. Wisconsin, for example, still shows a "lean Obama" from polls; the reason CNN lists it as a toss-up is because polls are moving one direction (pro-Romney) because Ryan was picked. Likewise, a poll might show Michigan as a tie, but past polls have not shown this, and there are no external reasons to believe the voters' preferences are shifting enough to change it's status.

    Michigan might end up moving to a toss-up, but most good predictions still place it in the Obama category.

    August 27, 2012 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  22. 4pease

    The GOP is scaring women left and right! What woman in her right mind would vote against health care for her family and the right to cntrol her own body?

    August 27, 2012 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  23. Keep us all on our heels...

    Obama will win re election.. CNN, TIME, MSNBC,FOX. USA TODAY... all of them want this to be a close race.. it sells papers and magazines. Republicans have put up a puppet candidate that can't relate to people... You can talk about unemployment rate all you want.. but another fact is that no one has ever been elected with the low favorable ratings Mitt is getting.

    August 27, 2012 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  24. Patrick in Wisconsin

    Anyone who has been to Wisconsin in the past decade knows Wisconsin is not a toss-up. Everyone points to Walker's recall victory as proof Romney will win. The same people forget the Republicans LOST their State Senate majority in the same recall election. It will go to Obama just as it has in 2008. If you don't believe me, pay a visit to Milwaukee or Madison.

    August 27, 2012 07:07 pm at 7:07 pm |
  25. WLB2012

    So CNN makes this breaking news even though the polls in NC since July 20th have been within 1%? Wow, sounds to me like left wing media slanting things a certain way....why not "breaking news" when Wisconsin shifted from "lean obama" to "toss up"? Always astounds me how a new media orgnization plays certain stories at certain times....sorry CNN, respect just dropped dramatically!

    August 27, 2012 07:07 pm at 7:07 pm |
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